Not buying META; expects range-bound trading (550-750) due to lack of breakout above ATH and insufficient proof of AI monetization relative to CapEx.

Meta stock rose nearly $80,000 today.

Secondly, we will talk about meta stocks in this video. I am not actively buying Meta stocks right now. I am not actively buying meta stocks. I've already established my position in those companies, right?

But, there are several stocks that I see as the next big opportunity, like I saw with Meta or AMD a few years ago, right?

Meta stock fell 64% in 2022.

Stocks like Palantir, Meta, and AMD are what brought my portfolio to $5 million, right?

Okay, then let's talk about Meta stock, then AMD, and finally some of the stocks that I'm most interested in buying, okay? Meta has advanced at an incredible pace. Isn't that right?

Incredible momentum in this stock. There has been a great upsurge today. One thing to keep in mind about Meta is that this stock is still more than $40 below its all-time high, right?

So, this is completely different from the situation with Nvidia, which has reached a new all-time high. We haven't reached that new height in terms of meta yet, have we? We are still a long way from there.

So, the first thing I'll say is, don't get too excited until we actually see that breakout, okay? If you see the stock price reach the 800 mark, then we can talk, okay? But until that happens, we're still in the same old place when it comes to this particular stock, okay?

There was a lot of excitement about Meta's 'Muse' personal AI agent, and it surpassed ChatGPT, Grok, and Claude in terms of downloads. Oh, this is really exciting, isn't it? The Matter Muse AI personal agent tool surpassed ChatGP on the list of iOS free apps in the United States on Friday.

According to the analytics firm, the app was downloaded 730,000 times in about 5 days after its release on September 8. The app is powered by the Matter Muse Spark AI model, which is a big step for Mark Zuckerberg in the AI agent market, right?

Now, the real issue is. Okay, I've been on Instagram multiple times now. It's right on my home page telling me to download this Muse product, you know? So, from what I hear, this app has been downloaded less than two million times so far, right?

Despite being launched less than 2 weeks ago, it's not bad at all when viewed on a larger scale. You might think, "Okay, 10 to 2 million people have downloaded it, which is n't too bad.

But, when you consider the power of Meta, who can deliver something to the home page of almost a billion users, right? I do n't think it's really that impressive. The fact that it's ahead of OpenAI's ChatGPT and other products means that the product is brand new.

ChatGPT has been around for a few years now. Grok and Claude are there too. So I don't want to make it too big or say, "Oh my god, this is a game changer for Meta." It's a game changer, right?

For Meta to be a game changer, you need hundreds of millions or billions of users, right? So, that's fine, it's a step in the right direction, but when a product is new and competing for downloads with established products in the market, imagine a new social media network that became very popular very quickly in the first few weeks, right?

And it's getting more downloads. It's getting more downloads than Facebook. It's getting more downloads than Instagram. Great, but that doesn't mean it's a game-changer, right?

It does n't mean it's going to be bigger than Facebook or bigger than Instagram, right? It just means, "Okay, let's see what happens, right?" "It's like, 'Great, this is getting a lot of downloads.'"

"Let's see, right? The way I look at this product is, 'Okay, I mean I'm personally a shareholder of Meta.'" I haven't downloaded it yet, have I? And despite the fact that they keep showing it on my front page on Instagram, right?

But, when you consider the power of Meta, who can deliver something to the home page of almost a billion users, right? I don't think it's really that impressive.

So, that's fine, it's a step in the right direction, but when a product is new and competing for downloads with established products in the market, imagine a new social media network that became very popular very quickly in the first few weeks, right?

And it's getting more downloads. It's getting more downloads than Facebook. It's getting more downloads than Instagram. Great, but that doesn't mean it's a game-changer, right?

It doesn't mean it's going to be bigger than Facebook or bigger than Instagram, right?

Okay, I mean I'm personally a shareholder of Meta." Now, to give you some idea, Meta Threads is definitely a big success for the company. And it's pretty much their competitor to X, right? So, by mid-2026 it will have

When we talk about the scale or scope of a company like Meta, that's exactly what we mean, right? 100 million sign-ups in the first 5 days, right? And for this product, we're talking about maybe 1 to 2 million downloads in a week and a half.

That doesn't mean it's a failure, but it doesn't mean it's a success.

Now, the best news for this product that I really want to say, what makes me happy is that it has received a 4.9 rating on the App Store so far. I think the best news about this whole situation is that it started with very good reviews, not bad reviews, right?

This means that the product has the potential to be successful in the long term.

I'm not impressed at all by the download numbers. I am influenced by this. This means that at least you have a chance to survive the competition, right?

Now, there's another thing you have to understand as a shareholder of Meta, who has bought this stock occasionally over the years, right? Listen. Between what the company has spent in the last few years and what it's going to spend this year, it's probably going to spend a little less than $300 billion in capital expenditure (CapEx), right?

Listen, if you're going to spend that much money, you need to have one or more game-changing or groundbreaking products coming out of that capital expenditure. So, that's what should be expected.

We should expect one or more groundbreaking products to come from Meta, because they've spent a lot of money on it and have some amazing people on their team.

Zuckerberg, I don't know if you know, but in the last few years he has bought out the most talented people in the emerging technology sector. He has no shortage of money and is investing heavily in these new opportunities.

Many of the world's most talented people are working for his team in various emerging technologies. So we should expect success.

But when I look at it, I don't feel too excited, because it was expected. If you spend so much money and have such skilled people working on it, you're bound to get results, right?

Therefore, it is important to keep this in mind. Again, this does not prove whether Meta has been completely successful in this or not. Rather, the point is, "Let's see what happens."

But what would you say if I said that Meta stock is stuck between 550 and 750 this entire year, unless one of two things happens? I have talked about this topic many times this year on this channel.

What are those two situations? First, Zuckerberg will reduce capital expenditure (CapEx), or investors will understand what the real opportunities are and how Meta will exploit them.

There has been controversy from the beginning about whether the new product has been somewhat successful, right? At least it gives a hint that, "We might be successful here." That's enough to get investors a little excited in the short term.

Is this enough to take the stock to 1000? I don't know. But that's at least enough to warrant a major relief rally and close to an all-time high, right?

So the more new products and services Zuckerberg and his team can show, the more investors will understand why $300 billion has been spent in this sector, and perhaps even more will be spent next year.

The better the stock will perform. But if people are still cautious or confused, I don't know if this is a big opportunity, as if the stock will continue to soar, right? Which means it will remain a stock within a certain range, right?

Pushing it into the 750s or so, and then everyone is feeling bullish, and then coming back down, right? Everyone then started to feel bearish, dropping to the 550s or maybe a little below. And this is the reality of Meta.

So, that's fine, but as a shareholder, I'm not going to be overjoyed and say, "Oh my God, we turned the game around for Meta." No, not at all.