$NKE

NKE's significant exposure to the struggling China market poses a major obstacle to its share price.

Bearish
“Huge News for Nike Stock Investors! | NKE Stock Deep Dive Part 3”
Parkev Tatevosian, CFAPublished Sep 19 · 8 passages

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We have important news for Nike stock investors, as the management team has stated that they are taking decisive action in the supply chain to reduce costs, streamline operations, and adjust the size of the distribution network to match future demand.

In other words, demand doesn't seem strong, and we are adjusting our operations to meet this slower demand. Therefore, I believe that the Nike management team is adapting wisely to the macroeconomic environment they are facing.

Tariffs, wars, rising oil prices, and inflation all make things more difficult for consumers. The quality of products that Nike sells is not necessarily basic. When you face a difficult financial situation , and your job prospects are bleak, and when artificial intelligence threatens thousands or hundreds of thousands, and perhaps millions, of jobs around the world, you look around and see your colleagues being laid off.

You see your company restructuring its size, downsizing its operations, and cutting costs, etc. These are not times when you're looking to go out and buy a pair of sneakers for $ 200 or $300.

That's why Nike is evaluating this situation. They see this in real time and make adjustments to deal with the situation they are facing.

The competitive situation is particularly bleak for Nike in China. In Greater China, Nike reaffirms its commitment to winning in this category. They don't say, you know, China is very difficult for us.

The competition has improved and our position is not good. Therefore, we will withdraw, accept the loss, and head towards our main markets. Nike doesn't say that. They say we are committed to winning this market.

Their teams in China are carrying out a comprehensive reset. They are working with partners to assess new ways to accelerate our return to growth. This means it will take a lot of time because they are still evaluating new ways to accelerate growth.

They haven't even found the right strategy that they feel confident moving forward with. They are still studying the situation. After studying the situation, they need to come up with a plan.

Then they need to implement that plan. All of this will take time to bear fruit. Therefore, this market is likely to continue to be a hurdle for Nike. Given that it constitutes a large part of Nike's business, indeed a significant part of its business, I must say that this will pose a major obstacle to the share price.

This was once a huge market opportunity, one that investors were very excited about. The fact that Nike has even managed to enter this market , where Chinese companies, consumers and the government are, frankly, not friendly towards American companies.

Relatively few companies have gained access to the Chinese consumer, so investors were excited about Nike's opportunity in this category given their access to a market of nearly 1.5 billion consumers and a growing middle class.

But this market has turned into a hurdle for Nike in the short term.

And it's not limited to the market in China only. They are not just geographical obstacles. But they are also obstacles related to specific products. Nike expects its sportswear and Jordan streetwear businesses to remain negative for the current fiscal year, with an improvement in the second half.

The reason Nike feels confident about the second half of the year is that it will be introducing more than a dozen new shoe styles, each with a distinct consumer journey. This will take time to translate and expand into consistent results.

This is something Nike customers have been demanding. Nike customers have grown tired of the company re-releasing old models that were popular in the past. For example, reintroducing previously popular Jordan models and relaunching them in slightly different colors and different stock units, but still based on the same Jordan brand that consumers may have started to get tired of.

That's hard to say, is n't it? Because the Jordan brand was a large part of Nike's sales, through the ability to offer those products which often sold out completely , and then people in the secondary market would sell those products at higher prices than Nike was selling them to customers.

This is the level of rarity that existed with Jordan shoes in the past. Currently, you can go to Foot Locker or Nike stores and find several models of Jordan shoes still on the shelves, with multiple sizes available.

So, these products are far from running out. This is evidence that Nike has flooded the market with products, relying excessively on this product beyond what consumers want. Therefore , they relied too heavily on this category.

And now they are backing away from that . They want to introduce new models and styles , and it remains to be seen whether these new styles will appeal to customers, but the management team is heading in the direction customers are pointing.

Customers indicate that they are a little tired of these updates, and of these shoes being offered in slightly different colors than the popular previous models.

What this channel has said about $NKE

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has 2 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-09-19BearishThis one
We have important news for Nike stock investors, as the management team has stated that they are taking decisive action in the supply chain to reduce costs, streamline operations, and adjust the size of the distribution network to match future demand.
Direction flip
2026-09-18Bullish
Listen, I think the main reason everyone is talking about Nike stock is that it's trading at its lowest level in 52 weeks.
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