$NOW

ServiceNow has margin concerns due to high subscription cost growth relative to revenue; investor prefers Salesforce until margin recovery is proven.

“Stock Recovery? Dell SKYROCKETS, Yields/Oil Drop”
Meet KevinPublished Sep 2 · 4 passages

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I think Service Now is a like Salesforce. I like Salesforce a little bit better. Uh, because it, you know, some of the transitions we've seen in their margins compared to Service Now. But I don't think Service Now is bad.

So, Service Now, let's go throw them in here. I've got them at a fair value, although let me see what growth rate I have for them. I've got um average growth rate of 21%. That's reasonable, but I only have Why do I only have um I had a 14 peg.

That's low. Let me see why. That's got to be a margin story.

So, what's going on with the margins? So, 24% growth. Oh, yeah. That's what it is. It was the margin problem. That was my problem with Service Now. 24% growth on revenues while subscription costs are up 64%.

I think that's because of the token costs if I remember correctly. So, that was one of the issues I had with them.

Balance sheet I called. Not great, not terrible. So, kind of a yellow flag. They're still doing cash uh stock buybacks here. See, this is the the change. They're saying margin should get better as hyperscaler costs go down.

And then I wrote, notice they're not saying that we're able to charge more. So that's what what we analyzed uh with course members when we had a preference for uh Salesforce that was the rationale for that right so I always like saying you know I'm not trying to bag on anybody's stock just trying to suggest for me that was still something I wanted to see play out a little better

Watchpoints

margin improvement as hyperscaler costs go down

What this channel has said about $NOW

Meet Kevin has 3 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-09-02Bearish
Bath at 0.92, ServiceNow at 153.92. Aya 1.53, I have an intention at. 0.9 , Axon 2.1. 2.19. What did you say about Intuit? I had already forgotten. I don't want to write it incorrectly and then get reprimanded. 0.9. You know, Snow is the anomaly here, isn't he ? So, Snow is the anomaly in this insane assessment. But it's strange because these companies are making really good money , and they're being punished either because of fear, lack of margins, or because people think the bubble is over. The only thing I can guess is. You know, when we look at this graph we have here. There is a fear that this shift in programming may not last. So, you know, I think if I look at this, I still like my opinion, and my conclusion is that I still like software right now. But at some point, devices will become ridiculously cheap , to the point that they will once again become the new opportunity. Hmm, not yet. Perhaps we need an " anthropic retreat". Good. I mean , Dell is doing well, but you also have the risk of splitting, right? Also, with regard to devices, this is where the risks of division come from. We've talked before about the risk of splitting here, where AI and frontier inference growth slows, while low-margin institutional inference explodes. This may be what the markets are trying to explore, I don't know. if . My opinion remains that the software is really interesting. Snowflakes are really expensive. At some point, hardware becomes more desirable, but software is great. I still believe that reaching the bottom in the third and fourth quarters is still possible. And depressions like Balantir are exploitable. In my opinion.
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2026-09-02This one
I think Service Now is a like Salesforce. I like Salesforce a little bit better. Uh, because it, you know, some of the transitions we've seen in their margins compared to Service Now. But I don't think Service Now is bad.
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