Uber COO's large personal investment is a bullish signal reflecting confidence in the company's strategy and current valuation.
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The case of an Uber insider buying shares is truly remarkable. The company's Chief Operating Officer recently took a big risk by investing more than $5 million. This is a huge portion of his total wealth. And that is why it is so significant.
I want to analyze this particular purchase and why insiders are starting to buy Uber shares now. which lists all my stock purchases , including an explanation of why I bought Uber shares this year and why I am increasing my investment.
This is Uber technology. The share price fell 3.3% today. So, I think this is a curious move, even after such a large investment by Insider.
President and Chief Operating Officer Andrew McDonald purchased about 70,000 shares worth more than $5 million on the open market. This is notable because it is an open market share purchase.
We actually have to go back to February to see this. At that time, the CFO bought shares worth about $1.6 million.
So, what you're seeing here is a consistent thing among all these executives, they're actually increasing the amount of stock because they're exercising their options and only selling the portion that's necessary to pay taxes.
So, this is something that I found quite significant in the history of these files over the last few months. And there are two separate purchases here. One for 54,325 shares, the other for 15,675 shares.
Both are acquisitions and both are forms of direct ownership. And that brought his stake up to 426,320.
First, it is an increase of about 20% in his ownership stake in the company. Another thing is that according to reports, his total assets are between $30 and $32 million. A large portion of this is held in Uber stock.
So now he is investing another $5 million in Uber shares.
Again, insiders may sell for a variety of reasons, but they generally buy when they see an opportunity in a stock. There has been a consistent increase in the percentage of shares.
We have consistently seen insiders exercising their shares and actually increasing their stake in the company, but this is a pretty large purchase of stock on the open market.
So why is he so optimistic about the stock now ? Let's look at valuation. The price-to-earnings multiple is 16 on a trailing basis and around 17.5 on a forward basis. Price to free cash flow is 12.2.
We've heard a lot about disruption from other autonomous vehicles, especially Waymo and Tesla, but we're not really seeing it in the numbers. As you can see, growth for Uber has been pretty consistent.
Despite this, there are some disadvantages , which are due to the way they account for some of their sales. This was actually somewhat unfavorable for revenue, although it was not a drag on free cash flow or operating margin.
We can see that this operating profit has also improved. The company had an ongoing operating loss as of June 2023. That operating loss is now $6.7 billion. If we look at free cash flow , that number would now be over $10 billion. Uber's free cash flow is now $10.1 billion.
Now the company's strategy going forward is to aggregate demand not only for human-powered vehicles, but also for automated vehicles. And I think this is where there is a big debate within the market.
This is why shares are trading around 15, 16 or 17 times earnings, or even lower in terms of free cash flow, because the market thinks there could be a major disruption from companies like Homeo or Tesla.
And Uber will have multiple suppliers. They are working with about a dozen companies around the world. I think they will have autonomous vehicles in 12 cities by the end of this year, and more than double that by the end of next year.
They are going to increase the number of automated vehicles in their fleet. So, I think when you look at the management and their actual actions, they're saying, "This is our strategy for autonomous vehicles.
We're going to have a lot of different suppliers. We're going to modularize those suppliers. We're going to aggregate demand." Strategically this is very reasonable.
They are working hard on this every quarter. They have continued to invest in this sector. They are now launching autonomous vehicles in various countries around the world. And those insiders are buying shares.
They're saying, "You know what? We're not just believing the stories we're told , we're actually investing our money there."
So, if you add all of this up , as an Uber shareholder I think it's a big reflection of trust. That's why I think this is a very significant insider share purchase.
This is not a nominal purchase where someone with a billion dollars is investing just one hundred thousand or one million dollars in shares. This is a person who is investing a significant portion of his net worth in the companies where he works and knows more information than anyone else.
Such an investment from an insider is a big positive signal.
But let me know your opinion on Uber stock today. Do you think it is worth buying at this price ?
What this channel has said about $UBER
Asymmetric Investing by Travis Hoium has only this one call on this stock.