How The Compound’s view on $MSFT changed

2026-09-04Bullish
“How to Pick Stocks Like Morgan Stanley | TCAF 258”
Microsoft's recent stock recovery is attributed to its separation from Sam Altman and end of OpenAI exclusivity, improving positioning for cheaper AI models.

To say how much you hate Microsoft. Suddenly we were We talk about it, and we talk About it, then it comes The elections are going ahead, and... Someone is back talking about it.

Is there a difference? Among companies like Oracle And Microsoft? certainly. Microsoft "and Johnson & Johnson" They are the only two names The two remaining in the market Rated AAA.

2026-08-28Bearish
“The Four Horsemen of the AI Apocalypse | TCAf 257”
MSFT AI revenue is primarily from OpenAI/Anthropic; organic demand for MSFT AI products is weak relative to $260B+ capex.

How much does Microsoft? They're spending billions of dollars on capex. How much does this make?

I think Microsoft's OPEX is like 150 billion Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, cranked up prices, changed ad auction stuff.

Analyst expectations uh from like UBS, Barkclays and uh Wells Fargo have $440 billion of cloud revenue across Google, Amazon and Microsoft coming just from open air and anthropic to unprofitable startups who need to constantly raise money

Direction flip
2026-08-25
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