$ABBV

ABBV 处于历史高位、上行空间有限,因此当前不增持,仅持有现有仓位以获取股息收益。

《Saudi Arabia is Secretly Loading Up on THESE 5 Stocks! 🚨》
Ale's World of Stocks发布 2026-09-27 · 11 段内容
01:53/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

11 段内容
1:535:24

我们从医疗保健板块的一个真正巨头开始,这是一只传统的防御性股票,为长期投资者创造利润、印钞。它就是生物制药巨头“AbbVie”,代码为ABBV,上个季度沙特央行将其押注翻倍,增持约90%,仅一个季度就花费了估计1400万美元。

We begin with a true giant in the healthcare sector , a traditional defensive stock that generates profits and prints money for long-term investors. It is the biopharmaceutical giant “AbbVie” , which carries the symbol ABBV, and on which the Saudi central bank doubled its bet last quarter, increasing its stake by about 90% and spending an estimated $14 million in just one quarter.

事实上,我持有多年前买入的AbbVie股票,但如果你像我一样关注它,你就知道围绕这只股票最大的威胁一直是Humira专利到期这一可怕的幽灵,Humira曾是美国失去独占权之前全球最畅销的药物。

In fact, I own shares in AbbVie that I bought many years ago , but if you follow it like I do, you know that the biggest threat surrounding this stock has always been the scary specter of the expiration of the patent for Humira, which was the best-selling drug on earth before it lost its exclusivity in the United States .

是的,这确实令人担忧。例如,上个季度药品销售额下降了约36%。但AbbVie并没有袖手旁观,看着自己的收入蒸发。相反,他们打造了一个完全替代的引擎来弥补这一点。

Yes, it is a real concern. In the last quarter, for example, drug sales fell by about 36%. But AbbVie didn't stand idly by and watch its revenues evaporate. Instead, they built a completely replacement engine to compensate for that.

例如,下一代免疫抑制剂“Skyrizi”和“Rinvoq”实现了数倍于以往的总销售额,同比增长接近25%。管理层甚至认为全年将创造超过310亿美元的收入。再说一次,这仅仅是两款药物。

通常,一款药物只要实现10亿美元的销售额就被视为“重磅炸弹”。而这两个产品将创造大约30倍于此的金额。

For example, the next- generation immunosuppressants , "Skyrizi" and "Rinvoq", are achieving several times greater total sales, with growth approaching 25% year-on-year. The administration even believes it will generate more than $31 billion for the entire year.

And again , that's just two drugs . Typically, a drug is considered a "blockbuster " if it achieves sales of just $1 billion. These two properties will generate approximately 30 times that amount.

而且他们并不止步于此。例如,在神经科学领域,他们的偏头痛药物同比增长超过30%,最近在治疗月经相关偏头痛的三期试验中取得成功,可能开辟一个拥有数百万新患者的市场。

And they don't stop there either . In the field of neuroscience, for example, their migraine medication has jumped by more than 30% year-on-year and has recently achieved success in phase three trials for treating menstrual-related migraines, potentially opening up a market of millions of new patients.

得益于收购,AbbVie的项目组合多年来也大幅增长。比如它投入约110亿美元收购“Apogee Therapeutics”,从而引入用于湿疹和哮喘治疗的后期管线。

Thanks to acquisitions, AbbVie's portfolio of projects has also grown tremendously over the years. Such as the approximately $11 billion it invested in acquiring "Apogee Therapeutics" to bring in late-stage filters for eczema and asthma treatments as well.

所有这些都为他们的财务数据带来了显著增长,上个季度销售额增长了一倍多,达到约170亿美元。而调整后每股收益也上升了约23%,分析师认为这种增长在长期内肯定会持续。

All of this has provided significant growth to their financial data, with sales more than doubling in the last quarter, reaching approximately $17 billion. While adjusted earnings per share also rose by about 23%, analysts believe this growth will certainly continue in the long term.

由于他们创造了巨额利润,今年自由现金流预计将超过200亿美元,他们得以通过连续五十年增加派息来保持其“股息之王”的地位。

Because they are generating huge profits with free cash flow projected to exceed $20 billion this year , they have been able to maintain their position as the "dividend king" by increasing payments for five consecutive decades.

然而,我个人目前不会买入任何额外股份。原因很简单。这只股票近年来涨势非常强劲。因为我很久以前以低得多的价格买入,我实际上得以锁定约7%的股息收益率,你信吗。它是我最喜欢的之一。

但今天,对于在当前高位买入的任何新投资者来说,这一回报将不到3%。

However, I personally am not buying any additional shares at the moment. The reason is very simple. The stock has seen a very strong rise in recent years. Because I bought a long time ago at much lower prices, I have actually been able to secure a dividend yield of around 7%, if you can believe it.

It's one of my favorites. But today, that return would give less than 3% to any new investors buying at the current high prices.

正如我所说,我以前买入过,所以我的基础成本要低得多。这意味着基于我所支付的价格,我的股息收益率实际上要高得多。虽然由于净利润的这一切增长,今天的估值仍算合理,尤其是看未来增长的市盈率时,它看起来仍然非常有吸引力。甚至低于板块平均水平。

As I said, I've bought before, so my base cost is much lower . This means that my dividend yield is actually much higher based on what I paid out. While the valuation is still somewhat reasonable today thanks to all this growth in net profits, especially when looking at the price- to-earnings ratio for future growth, it still looks very attractive. It's even lower than the sector average.

但尽管如此,我仍感到一种犹豫,我不知道。我只能认为,在这些高位上,上行潜力极为有限,因为该股交易价格接近历史高点。所以,我暂时会把它放在中间位置,第三名是我目前感觉最舒服的位置,至少在我们看到这份名单上的其他名字之前是这样。

But despite that, I still feel a kind of hesitation, I don't know. I feel I can only believe that the upside potential is extremely limited at these high levels, with the stock trading near record highs.

So, I'm going to put them in the middle for now , and third place is where I feel most comfortable right now, at least until we see the other names on this list.

这个频道对 $ABBV 的历次判断

Ale's World of Stocks 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-27本条
我们从医疗保健板块的一个真正巨头开始,这是一只传统的防御性股票,为长期投资者创造利润、印钞。它就是生物制药巨头“AbbVie”,代码为ABBV,上个季度沙特央行将其押注翻倍,增持约90%,仅一个季度就花费了估计1400万美元。
看完整历史 ›
美股听风