$AFRM

对未来几个月看多 AFRM,预计在分析师动向与技术面的支撑下将继续上行。

看涨他说的是几个月内
《Options Corner: AFRM Needs to Reaffirm Technical Strength》
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-14 · 13 段内容
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13 段内容
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某家公司今早表现坚挺,但在这张图上我们应该注意哪些趋势?我们同样可以看到,在上一次财报事件之后,该公司出现了一波明显的向上推动。

a firm being a firm this morning, but what trends should we notice on this chart? So we can see as well a firm had a a notable push to the upside after our last earnings event.

你可以看到这里这根大阳线,随着当天推进几乎被完全抹去,不过我们并没有真正突破此前接近 92 的高点。这就是我们这里的粉色线。但我们确实在接近 86 的这些旧高点附近开盘。

You can see here this large candle that uh pretty much evaporated as the day went on. though we did not quite take out those previous highs near 92. That's our pink line here. But we did open here around these old highs near 86.

我们同样可以看到一条向下倾斜的趋势线正在发挥作用。这里的蓝色线仍是主导的价格形态,但它向下的速度有所加快。我们现在有了一个更陡峭的、指向下方的通道,由这两条白线标出。

So we can see as well a downward sloping trend line in play. Our blue line here is still uh the predominant price pattern here, but it's accelerated somewhat to the downside. We have now a sharper, steeper channel pointing to the downside here with our two white lines.

就可参考的水平位而言,我们近期在接近 72 的位置也出现了一些低点。接近 70 处有一个反复出现的底部,价格已经重新推升到该水平之上。而接近 6750 处的缺口目前也已被回补。

In terms of horizontal levels to consider, we also had some recent lows here near 72. A repeated floor near 70 that price has uh pushed its way back above. And the gap here near uh 6750 has also been filled at this point.

现在我们跟踪的移动平均线显示出一些有意思的东西。我们似乎确实在 251 日指数移动平均线处企稳,这条线代表一个交易年度,在这里以橙色标出。该线位于 6770。

So now our moving averages that we follow show something interesting. We did seem to solidify at our 251day exponential moving average representing one trading year in orange here. That one comes in at 6770.

目前来看,截至周五的交易时段,我们似乎已经上穿 5 日 EMA。现在,我们有了一个汇合点。我们的 21 日和 63 日指数移动平均线几乎彼此重叠,位于大约 7350 附近。所以,这是一个值得注意的汇聚点。

这将不仅代表突破我们通道的上沿,也代表上穿我们两条中期移动平均线。

Right now, we are uh looking like we have crossed above our 5-day EMA as of Friday's session. Now, we have a confluence. Our 21-day and 63-day exponential moving averages are right on top of each other near about 7350 or so.

So, this is a a notable convergence point here. That would represent not only a breakout from above our channel, but also a push above two of our mediumterm moving averages here.

RSI 一直在走低。与价格一样,它向下的速度进一步加快。我们处于 50 中位线下方。我们仍有一条向下倾斜的红色趋势线在发挥作用。所以要关注的是,价格在创出新的相对高点之际,同时突破这两者。

RSI has been trending lower. We have again like price accelerated more to the downside. We are below the 50 midline. We do have a downward sloping red trend line still in place.

So look for a break above both of those two things concurrently with price pushing into new relative highs.

在这个案例中,我们的成交量分布研究显示,我们处于两个最大的成交量节点之间,即 65 到 78,这是我们图表上成交最密集的区域。该区域也包含我们的控制点。这正好是我们周五收盘的位置,7179,我们的粗红线,也就是成交最密集的区域。

Our volume profile study in this case shows that we are between two uh or rather uh uh the biggest volume node here 65 to 78 our heaviest trading area on our chart. That also contains our point of control.

That's right about where we closed on Friday, 7179, our thick red line, the heaviest trading area of all.

你还可以看到,在财报事件之后我们近期看到的成交量非常巨大,尽管价格从我们在 90 多那里看到的高点有所回落。所以,如果我们继续走高,那么在 82 到 85 附近还有另一个小节点。

如果我们跌破下行,下方 47 到 52 也有显著的活动。

You can also see very heavy volume that we saw recently after our earnings event despite price fading somewhat uh from that uh uh uh high that we saw in the '9s there. So, if we were to keep moving higher, then there's another small node here around 82 to 85 or so. if we were to break lower.

Significant activity down here 47 to 52 as well.

对。那么来看基于期权市场得出的预期波动,我们可以看到本周五的月度到期,即 9 月 18 日,大约正负 5.3%。但今天我们要在 11 月 20 日寻找一笔交易。这里的绿色方框,大约正负 21.5%。

所以你可以看到,这大致与我们在 90 水平附近看到的那些旧高点相吻合。

Right. So to look at our expected moves here based on the options market, we can see that this Friday's monthly expiration here uh September 18th plus or minus about oops uh excuse me plus or minus about 5.3%.

But today we're going to look for a trade here in November 20th. green box here plus or minus about 21 a.5% here. So you can see that coincides roughly with those old highs that we saw near the 90 level.

这就是我们确定行权价的方式。买入 11 月 20 日 80/90 看涨价差,权利金为 225。也就是 67 天后到期的一笔看涨交易。225 是我们的最大亏损,即我们支付的权利金。

最大利润可能为 775,大致是一比三左右,按风险回报比算约三点五。

So that's how we're going to work on our strikes here. Plus one November 20th 80 90 call vertical at a 225 debit here. So 67 days out a bullish trade. 225 is our max loss. That's our debit paid.

Max profit potentially 775 roughly one to uh three or so three and a half in terms of our risk-to-reward.

我们还可以看到,我们的盈亏平衡点 8225,即约 12.7% 的上行空间,轻松落在那个潜在预期波动 21.5% 之内。

Um we can also see that our uh break even 8225 about 12.7% to the upside is easily fitting within that potential expected move which is 21.5%.

当然,这并不能保证价格一定会到达那里,但分析师的动向似乎略微更偏看涨一些。所以这是一笔押注未来几个月继续上行的交易。

Of course it's not a guarantee it's going to get there but uh the analyst activity has been a little bit more bullish it seems like. So this is a trade looking for some continued upside over the next couple months.

观察点

价格突破73.50附近的21日与63日EMA汇合区
突破73.50上方
近期图表价格走势
通过确认突破通道和移动平均线,支持看涨论点

这个频道对 $AFRM 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-14看涨本条
某家公司今早表现坚挺,但在这张图上我们应该注意哪些趋势?
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