$AMD

AMD是优于同行的首选投资,因其基本面更优、估值偏低(市销率17倍)且增长潜力高,五年牛市情景预计有1500%的上行空间。

看涨他说的是几年内
If You Missed Palantir or Nvidia. This is Far Bigger.
Tom Nash发布 2026-08-25 · 7 段内容
11:15/ 打开原视频

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7 段内容
11:1515:10

你有英特尔,也有 AMD。AMD 下跌了 21%,ARM 下跌了 40%,英特尔部分下跌了近 40%。但它们在过去一年都大幅上涨。所以,它们经历了飙升,然后大幅回调。但现在我们只是坐享其成。

You have Intel and you have AMD. AMD is down 21%, ARM is down 40% and some Intel is down almost 40%. But they're all heavily up over the past year. So, they had the spike and then a massive correction. But now we're just sitting pretty.

在它们当中,选择英特尔、ARM 或 AMD 都不会错。但我尤其最喜欢 AMD。原因如下。因为我总是喜欢寻找故事最好、基本面最好、布局最好且最被误解的那一个。AMD 就是这样的典型。

Out of all of them, you can't go wrong neither with Intel or ARM or AMD. But particularly, I like AMD the best. And here's why. Because I always like to look for the one with the best story, the best fundamentals, and the best setup, and the most misunderstood. That is AMD in a nutshell.

故事当然存在。他们是数据中心 CPU 领域的强大力量,而且这一差距每天都在扩大。一旦整个需求周期爆发,情况会变得更糟。他们拥有业内最优秀的 CEO 之一。他们并不贵。我们说的是市盈率低于 34 倍的公司。

我们说的是市销率 17 倍的公司,这是自 2022 年以来最便宜的。如果你看基本面,目前年增长 50%。那是在爆发之前。我们说的是营业利润增长 1600%。我们说的是净利润增长 160%,现金增长 123%,债务是原来的三倍。

所有这些都发生在需求爆发之前。而这一切都发生在市销率 17 倍的情况下,这是 4 年来最便宜的。在这 4 年里,营业利润从 13 亿增长到 37 亿。自由现金流从 31 亿增长到 68 亿。现金从 59 亿增长到 105 亿。

The story is certainly there. They're a massive force in CPU for data centers, and that gap keeps on widening every single day. And it's going to go even worse once the entire demand cycle goes through the roof. They have one of the best CEOs in the business. They're not expensive. We're talking about a company trading below 34 P. And we're talking about a company trading at 17 times sales, which is the cheapest it's been since 2022. And if you look at the fundamentals, 50% annual growth right now. That's before the explosion. We're talking about 1,600% of operating income growth. We're talking about 160% increase in net income, and we're talking about cash up 123%, and three times the debt. All of that before the demand explosion happens. And all of that at 17 times sales, which is the cheapest it's been in 4 years. In those same 4 years, we have operating income up from 1.3 to 3.7 billion. Free cash flow is up from 3.1 to 6.8 billion. And cash is up from 5.9 to 10.5 billion.

所以,我把 AMD 输入了股票预测器。根据我对未来 5 年最悲观的预测,这只股票将比当前价格上涨 158%。根据我的中性预测,我们说的是 534%,而根据我的乐观预测,我全心全意相信且高度确信,我们说的是从现在起未来 5 年上涨 1500%。

So, I put in AMD into the stock forecaster. And based on my most bearish case of the next 5 years, this stock is going to be 158% above its current price. Based on my medium case, we're talking about 534% and based on my bull case, in which I wholeheartedly believe and have high conviction in, we're talking about 1,500% from this point into the future for 5 years.

每个人都想在 600 美元时买入 AMD。现在没人想要了。这就是普通散户投资者的心理。不要做羊。要聪明。当价格下跌而企业质量上升时,你应该买入。但是,你要在理解故事必须契合、基本面必须契合、你必须建立自己的信念并理解 AMD 在这里试图做什么的情况下买入。

Everybody wanted AMD at 600. Nobody wants them now. That's the psychology of an average retail investor. Don't be a sheep. Be smart. When you have the price going down and the quality of the business going up, you want to be buying this. But, you want to be buying this understanding that the story has to fit, the fundamentals have to fit, you have to build your own conviction and you have to understand what AMD is trying to do here.

如果你看 AMD,他们正在构建网络效应。他们的整个机架是一体出售的,这意味着 Venice 在卖给客户时,会附带 AMD 机架,这意味着他们不仅会从销售 CPU 中赚钱,还会从 Nvidia 的蛋糕中分走一小块。

这没关系,因为 Nvidia 从来就不应该提供 100% 的供应链。

And if you look at AMD, they're building a networking effects. Their whole rack is being sold in one piece, which means that Venice, as it's going to get sold to clients, is going to come with the AMD rack, which means that it's not only going to make money from selling CPUs, they're going to bite a little bit out of Nvidia's pie. And that's okay because Nvidia was never supposed to provide 100% of the supply chain.

AMD 绝对被误解了,它拥有世界上最优秀的 CEO 之一,基本面优秀,故事精彩,而且存在误解。现在,鉴于我刚才告诉你的,对于如何将 AMD 加入我的投资组合,我有一种特定的方法。

那就是我的加倍定投系统。基本上就是每次加一点,等待更多回调,加倍投入,并利用策略在未来 12 个月内缓慢、有条不紊地建立仓位,相信这个过程。

The idea that AMD is absolutely misunderstood with one of the world's best CEOs, with great fundamentals, with a great story and with a misunderstanding. Now, there's a certain way on how I'd approach adding AMD to my portfolio given what I just told you. That is with my double down DCA system. Essentially adding a little bit, waiting for more pullbacks, doubling down, and using strategy in order to build a position over the next 12 months, slowly, methodically, trusting the process.

以上 7 段为这条视频中谈及 $AMD 的全部内容。

他说在等什么

stock price performance over the next 5 years
暂无中文转述,仅英文原句可核对。
他没有说用什么来检验

这个频道对 $AMD 的历次判断

Tom Nash 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-08-25看涨本条
你有英特尔,也有 AMD。
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