AMD提供前所未有的每股收益和营收三位数增长,使其成为2027年最具吸引力的股票;价格可能在第二季度前达到750美元。
逐段跳播
你能跟我说话吗?AMD(AMD)AMD股票今天在公开账户中大涨了72,000美元。仅公开账户中AMD股票的收益就再次超过了一百万美元。
Can you talk to me? AMD ( AMD) AMD stock rose a whopping $72,000 today in public accounts. The gain in AMD stock in public accounts alone has again exceeded one million dollars.
第二,AMD。AMD发生了什么?这只股票从这里将走向何方?我认为这是今天视频中非常重要的一点。
Two, AMD. What's happening at AMD? Where is this stock going from here? I think this is a very important point in today's video.
接下来,第二点,让我们谈谈AMD。这里发生了什么?股票从这里走向何方?听着,AMD已经显示出大幅上涨。我们知道这一点,对吧?但关于AMD,你需要理解的是,我们现在正处于一个只有好消息和好消息到来的时刻。
好吗?只是一个极好的消息周期。我们将在相当长一段时间内保持在这个周期中。
Next up, number two , let's talk about AMD. What is happening here? Where does the stock go from here? Listen, AMD has shown a big rise. We know that, right ? But what you need to understand about AMD is that we are now at a point where only good news and good news is coming. Okay? Just a great news cycle going on. And we will remain in this cycle for quite some time.
嗯,AMD刚刚参加了花旗全球TMT会议,他们报告称,到2030年,人工智能的总潜在市场可能达到2万亿美元。这些数字如此惊人,简直荒谬,对吧?数据中心收入。公司预计2027年数据中心销售额将接近700亿美元,几乎是2026年预期业务规模的两倍。
这些是惊人的数字,对吧?这一雄心勃勃的长期预测和强劲的增长预测增强了投资者对这家芯片制造商在AI基础设施市场中竞争地位的信心。
Well, AMD just attended the Citi Global TMT conference and they reported that the total potential market for artificial intelligence could reach $2 trillion by 2030. The numbers are so incredible it's ridiculous, right ? Data center revenue. The company expects data center sales to reach close to $70 billion in 2027, nearly double the expected size of the business in 2026. These are incredible numbers, right? This ambitious long-term projection and strong growth forecast have boosted investor confidence in the chipmaker's competitive position in the AI infrastructure market.
看,这对我来说不是新消息。我们知道这个市场巨大。我们知道AMD将成为更大的参与者,他们将在未来几年占据更大的市场份额。这些是我们知道的事情。
Look, this is not new news to me. We know this market is huge. We know AMD will become an even bigger player and they will capture a larger share of the market in the next few years. These are things we know.
现在,关于AMD,你需要理解的是,它仍比其历史最高点低约13%。好吗?因此,AMD有重大机会回到历史最高点。我们甚至不是在谈论去600、700、800。嗯,只是谈论回到最高纪录。我们还有很长的路要走。
Now, what you need to understand about AMD is that it is still about 13% below its record high. Okay? Therefore, AMD has a significant opportunity to return to record highs. We're not even talking about going to 600, 700, 800. Uh, just talking about going back to the highest record. We still have a long way to go to get there.
如果你看这只股票,你会看到它处于一个高点逐渐降低的趋势中。所以,在我们突破这个下行趋势之前,不要对AMD的股价过于兴奋。如果我们能达到520或以上,要小心。我们将再次开始以更快的速度移动。
好的,但即使今天我们也未能突破该股的近期低点。所以,这是一个感觉令人兴奋的情况。我们再次朝着正确的方向前进。但让我们看看我们能否突破515到520的区间,然后我们才能说我们终于突破了那个下行趋势,对吧?
If you look at the stock, you will see that it is in a trend of gradually decreasing highs. So, until we break out of this downward trend , do n't get too excited about AMD's share price. If we can get to 520 or above , be careful. We will start moving at a faster pace again. Okay , but even today we haven't been able to break through the stock's recent lows. So, this is a situation where it feels exciting. We are moving in the right direction again. But let's see if we can break through the 515 to 520 range , then we can say that we've finally broken out of that downward trend , right?
在我看来,股价可能在第二季度之前达到 750 美元。我认为这是一个现实的可能性,对吧?原因是我们将最终从 AMD 得到惊喜和方向。就像我们一直在等待那个惊喜。它一定会来。就像在轮盘赌上等待,黑色不断出现。
它一直转黑。然后你会想,“老兄,轮到我们红色了。它要来了。” 让我对此有信心的是观察 AMD 的客户以及 AMD 可能为其产品,尤其是新一代产品获得的平均售价,以及这些公司的资本支出。这实际上让我相信 AMD 的惊喜即将到来。
In my opinion, the stock price could reach $750 before the second quarter. In my view, this is a realistic possibility, right ? And the reason for this is that we will finally get a surprise and direction from AMD. It's as if we are waiting and waiting for that surprise. It will definitely come. It's like waiting at a roulette wheel , where the color black keeps coming up. It keeps turning black. You'll then think, "Dude, it's our turn for red. It's coming." And what makes me confident about this is looking at AMD's customers and observing the average selling price that AMD is likely to get for their products , especially for new generation products, and looking at the capital expenditure of these companies. And that's what actually gives me confidence that a surprise is coming at AMD.
不幸的是,我们上个季度没有得到那个,这就是阻碍股价并将其拉低至 400 多的原因,对吧?但我认为我们会得到它。所以我认为会有更多关于 AMD 的炒作和兴奋,我们可能会在第二季度看到股价达到 750 或更高。
Unfortunately we didn't get that last quarter and that's what held the stock back and brought it down to the 400s, right? But I think we're going to get it. So I think there will be more hype and excitement about AMD and we could see the stock go to 750 or higher in the second quarter.
AMD 现在发生的重大事情是,我们看到 2027 年将发生重大变化或翻转。这就是为什么这只股票仍将是股市中最具吸引力的股票。
The big thing happening for AMD right now is that we are seeing a big change or flipping happening in 2027. And that's why this stock will remain the most attractive stock in the stock market.
所以接下来会发生的是,预计明年每股收益将以三位数增长,对吧?三位数。但请记住,这些数字将比分析师预期的好得多。AMD 几乎每个季度都超过其收入和每股收益目标。好吗?这几乎是肯定的。
所以当你看到这些分析师的预测时,你会意识到 AMD 的数字将远高于此。每股收益的三位数增长将比你现在看到的要强劲得多。
So what's going to happen here is that earnings per share are expected to grow in the triple digits next year , right? In a three-digit number. But keep in mind , these numbers will be much better than analysts expected. AMD exceeds its revenue and earnings per share targets almost every quarter. Okay? It's almost certain. So when you look at these analysts' forecasts, you'll realize that AMD's numbers will be much higher than this. Triple-digit growth in earnings per share would be much stronger than what you're seeing here.
此外,当你观察收入时,我们看到明年某些季度,分析师预计增长 74%、77%、79%。在我看来,我们将在其中一些季度看到接近 100% 的增长。在其中一些季度,收入增长将超过 100%。三位数增长,女士们先生们。三位数增长。
Additionally, when you look at revenue, we're seeing that in some quarters next year. Analysts are expecting growth of 74%, 77%, 79%. In my opinion, we will see growth close to 100% in some of these quarters. In some of these quarters, revenue growth will exceed 100%. Triple-digit growth, ladies and gentlemen. Triple-digit growth.
这令人兴奋,因为 AMD 终于要超越它们了,对吧?在收入增长百分比和每股收益方面。所以,如果你看 Nvidia 的收入增长百分比,它们接近 70%,对吧?如果你看 AMD,它们在 70 多。
记住,AMD 明年超出盈利预测的可能性要高得多。所以你可能会看到它们走向 100% 或更多,对吧?
This is exciting because AMD is finally going to surpass them, right? In terms of revenue growth percentage and earnings per share. So, if you look at Nvidia's revenue growth percentages, they're closer to 70% , right? And if you look at AMD, they are in the upper 70s. And remember, AMD has a much higher chance of outperforming next year's earnings forecast. So you'll probably see them moving towards 100% or more , right?
这对 AMD 来说是一个非常激动人心的时刻,因为他们终于比 Nvidia 增长得更快。Nvidia 的业务非常庞大。所以记住这一点很重要。
This is a very exciting moment for AMD, as they are finally growing faster than Nvidia. Nvidia's business is very big. So it is important to keep this in mind.
现在,如果你看,上一次 AMD 的收入增长快于 Nvidia 是在 2022 年。问题是,纳斯达克在 2022 年崩盘了。也就是说,纳斯达克从 2021 年的峰值到 2022 年的低点下跌了约 37%。
嗯,我们经历了一次崩盘,纳斯达克真的崩盘了。所以 AMD 和 Nvidia 的股票在 2022 年都表现得很差。因此,将当前这些股票的表现与过去的表现进行比较是不合逻辑的。
Now, if you look, the last time AMD's revenue was growing faster than Nvidia's was in 2022. The problem is, the Nasdaq collapsed in 2022. That is, the Nasdaq fell about 37% from its peak in 2021 to its low in 2022. Well, we went through a collapse, literally a collapse on the Nasdaq. And so both AMD and Nvidia shares did very poorly in 2022. So it would n't be logical to compare the current performance of these shares with how they performed in the past.
此前,AMD 曾实现过比 Nvidia 更快的增长。那是在 2019 年,那一年 AMD 增长了 148%,Nvidia 表现不错,但只有 76%。好的。嗯,那一年 Nvidia 的收入下降了,而 AMD 的收入温和增长了 4%。
Previously, AMD had achieved faster growth than Nvidia. That was in 2019 , that year AMD grew by 148% and Nvidia did well, but it was 76 %. Okay. Hmm, Nvidia's revenue fell that year , while AMD's revenue grew by a modest 4%.
我们从未经历过我们即将与 AMD 一起经历的事情。好的,听着。我们将经历一个 AMD 增长快于 Nvidia 的时期,但收入增长将是三位数,对吧?或接近三位数。每股收益或 EPS 将很快进入三位数深处。
这不是我们以前经历过的事情。所以你必须明白,我们将与 AMD 一起拥有的东西是前所未有的。
We've never been through what we're going through with AMD before. Okay, listen. We'll go through a period where AMD will grow faster than Nvidia, but revenue growth will be in the triple digits, right? Or close to three digits. And earnings per share or EPS will be deep into the triple digits, very quickly. And this is not something we have been through before. So you have to understand that what we're going to have with AMD is unprecedented.
我认为这就是为什么 AMD 是巨头公司中最有趣和最令人兴奋的股票,因为 AMD 的市值正朝着万亿美元迈进,对吧?
And I think that's why AMD is the most interesting and exciting stock among the giant companies, because AMD's market cap is heading towards a trillion dollars, right?
所以,如果你看看所有令人兴奋的巨头公司,考虑那些市值达到一万亿美元或更多的公司,对吧?大约有 20 到 25 只股票价值约一万亿或更多,对吧?这是 2027 年最具吸引力的股票,它们与下一家公司之间的差距很大。我的意思是,这是一个显著的差异。
So, if you look at all the exciting giant companies , consider the ones with a market cap of a trillion dollars or more, right? There are roughly 20 to 25 stocks that are worth about a trillion or more, right ? This is the most attractive stock for 2027 and the gap between them and the next company is wide. I mean, that's a significant difference.
所以归根结底,如果你想在 2027 年持有市场上最具吸引力的股票,你应该买入 AMD。这就是为什么我认为 AMD 将在未来几个月保持势头,因为人们会看到这是最好的投资地点,对吧?
So at the end of the day, if you want to be in the market's most attractive stock in 2027 , you should buy AMD. And that's why I think AMD will keep the momentum going in the coming months , because people will see that this is the best place to invest, right ?
记住,股市是非常短视的。股市的主要焦点是未来 6 到 12 个月,对吧?所以当人们观察市场时,他们能在未来 6 到 12 个月在哪里找到重大增长?那就是 AMD。那就是 AMD。
Remember, the stock market is very short-term thinking. The stock market's main focus is on the next 6 to 12 months, right? So when people look in the market, where can they find major growth in the next 6 to 12 months ? That is AMD. That is AMD.
AMD 最好的地方在于它是一家非常知名的公司。每个人都知道苏姿丰。每个人都知道 AMD,他们知道这只股票随着时间的推移能带来什么样的回报,所以我对 AMD 的商业模式、增长和股价非常有信心。
And the best thing about AMD is that it is a very well- known company. Everyone knows Lisa Su. Everyone knows AMD and they know what kind of returns this stock can deliver over time, and so I have a lot of confidence in AMD's business model, its growth, and its share price.
我的看法是,我们有一辆恩佐·法拉利,对吧?这就是 2026 和 2027 年的 AMD。我们有那辆恩佐·法拉利。每个人都想要那样的车,对吧?我们拥有它。我个人的观点是,我现在对卖掉我的恩佐·法拉利不感兴趣。
就我个人而言,我是这样看的。我想知道,我为什么要那样做?我为什么要现在退出 AMD?现在不是这样做的时候。
The way I see it is , we have an Enzo Ferrari, right ? And this is the AMD for 2026 and 2027. We have that Enzo Ferrari. Everyone wants a car like that, right ? And we have it. My personal opinion is that I am not interested in selling my Enzo Ferrari right now. Personally, I see it this way. I wonder, why would I do that ? Why would I want to get out of AMD now? Now is not the right time for this.
我们拥有每个人都想要的东西。每个人都想要它,它是市场上最具吸引力的半导体股票。内存股去年处于那个位置,AMD 有点淡出公众视野。接下来的 12 个月将是 AMD 的时代,届时股市中的每个人都将只谈论 AMD、AMD、AMD。这将变成一只每个人都忍不住讨论的股票。
We have something that everyone wants. Everyone wants it and it's the most attractive semiconductor stock on the market. Memory stocks were in that position last year and AMD was somewhat out of the public eye. The next 12 months will be AMD's time, when everyone in the stock market will only be talking about AMD, AMD, AMD. This will become a stock that everyone can't help but discuss.
对于你们这些股东来说,这是一个伟大的时刻。这是一个非常激动人心的时刻,不是吗?不。在我们的私人小组中,这也是一个非常激动人心的时刻,好吗?今天我的妻子给我签了字,我们私人小组中有 12 位成员的投资组合赚了七位数或更多。
另外 12 人赚了超过 10 万美元。你明白吗?
And for those of you who are shareholders, this is a great time for you. This is a really exciting time, isn't it ? No. It's a very exciting time in our private group too, okay? Today my wife signed me over, 12 members of our private group have earned seven figures or more in their portfolios. Another 12 people earned more than $100,000. Do you understand ?
我在私人群组里教你们的一件事就是如何做预测,对吧?这可能非常有用,尤其是当你关注像AMD这样的股票,想知道以什么价格卖出合适时。500、600、700、1000、2000、1500,对吧?
做你的预测。当你做预测时,看它们1000次,并且知道如何正确做,那么你就会获得信心。
One of the things I teach you in private groups is how to make projections , right? And this can be very useful , especially when you're looking at a stock like AMD and wondering what the right price is to sell it for. 500, 600, 700, 1000, 2000, 1500, right ? Make your projections. When you do the projections, watch them 1000 times, and know how to do them correctly, then—you will gain confidence.
据我所知,如果AMD今天处于某个价格,我会怎么做?我知道如果达到那个价格,我会以什么价格卖出,以及我想卖出多少百分比的AMD股票。例如,如果AMD今天是800美元,我会卖出一部分AMD股票。
我会在800美元卖出所有股票吗?绝对不会。但我肯定会卖出一些。如果AMD今天是1100美元,我会卖出一部分AMD股票。我心里很清楚,如果股票今天是1100美元,我到底会卖出多少股。
仍然不会是我所有的股票,但会是一部分,好吗?只有当你懂得如何做预测时,你才能达到那个水平,对吧?
As I know, if AMD was at a certain price today, what would I have done? I know what price I will sell at and what percentage of my AMD shares I want to sell if it reaches that price. For example, if AMD were at $800 today, I would sell a portion of my AMD shares. Would I have sold all the shares for $800 ? Not at all. But I would definitely sell some parts. If AMD were at $1,100 today, I would sell a share of AMD. I know very well in my head, if the stock were $1100 today, exactly how many shares I would sell. Still, it wouldn't be all of my share, but it would be a part, okay ? And you can only reach that level if you know how to make projections , right?
所以,如果你没有办法预测股票未来几年的走势,我认为游戏会变得困难得多,因为你可能以300美元卖出AMD,以为你得到了好价钱,对吧?但后来当你看到AMD达到900美元时,你会想,“嘿,发生了什么?”“为什么我在300美元时卖出了?”
So if you do n't have a way to project where stocks are going to go in the next few years, I think the game becomes a lot harder , because you might have sold AMD for $300 thinking you got a good deal , right? But later when you see AMD reaching $900, you think, " Hey, what happened?" "Why did I sell at $300 ?"
不是AMD。
It's not AMD.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $AMD 的历次判断
Financial Education 在这只股票上共 8 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。