$AMD

AMD 技术面表现强劲,突破创出新高且 RSI 处于超买区间,形态有利于多头。

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《The Big 3: AMD, INTC, ARM》
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-21 · 20 段内容
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20 段内容
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Rick,今天我们的第一张图是 AMD。我在节目开始前刚把它调出来,它今天市值突破了 1 万亿美元,目前是连续 5 天的上涨。

Now, Rick, we've got AMD as our first chart today. I was just pulling them up in advance of the show, hitting a $1 trillion market cap today on this now. 5-day rally.

是的。AMD 也是我们近期看到表现出一些强势的股票之一,正在突破那些新高。所以现在的情况是,我们此前在大约几个月前有过这样一个高点。而从这里一路向下、在 170 多美元一带形成的低点算起,这确实是一次相当显著的向上推动。

Yeah. So AMD is one that uh we have seen uh showing some strength recently here as well breaking into those new highs. Uh so uh what we have is a situation now where we had this previous peak here uh about you know a couple months ago or so.

Uh and really it's quite a significant push up to the upside from these lows that we established all the way down here in the 170s or so.

AMD 也是我一直觉得相当有意思的一只股票,因为相当长一段时间里,他们在图形芯片的质量上似乎也许并不与 Nvidia 相当,但任何玩电脑游戏的人都知道,他们当时已经相当接近,足以成为那些高性能 Nvidia 芯片的一个可以接受的、不错的替代选择。

Uh AMD is one that I've always found rather interesting, too, because for quite a while it seemed like they were uh maybe not on par with Nvidia in terms of their quality of graphics chip, but anyone who's like a computer video game player knows that they were coming quite close to to being an acceptably uh good alternative to those high-powered Nvidia chips here.

所以现在,整个 AI 生态系统整体结构的变化,再次给所有这些公司带来了前所未有的需求。

So now the change in the whole overall structure the AI ecosystem has resulted in uh you know unprecedented demand once more for all of these names here.

所以我们现在也可以看到,在经历了我们在这里看到的这些低点与这个更极端的高点之间的横盘区间震荡之后,我们正开始向上突破,进入那些新的 52 周高点。

So uh we can see now as well that after a period of sideways rangebound activity between uh uh these lows that we saw here and this more extreme high, we are starting to push above into those new 52- week highs here.

如果我们能调出第一张图,我们现在也可以看到,它们与该领域其他一些股票之间的对比情况。如果我们能推进到网格中的下一张图,我们就能看到 AMD 在这些更专业化的股票中排名第二,落后于 Intel,而 Intel 在相当长一段时间里一直是这个群体中的落后者。

Um if we could pull up our first chart, we can see that now as well um you know kind of the the way things compare between uh them and some of these other names in the field here.

So um if we could advance to the next uh chart in our grid here, we would be able to see that AMD second place here out of some of these more specialized names here uh behind Intel which was for quite a while a lagard in the group here.

如果我们再推进到第一张蜡烛图,我们就会开始看到对我们之前看到的那些情况的一个不同视角。线形图在这里很有帮助,它们过滤掉了一些噪音。但我们也可以看到,现在有了蜡烛图,我们就能根据影线看到极端的高点和低点。

So if we advanced once more to our first candle chart here uh what would we would uh start to see a different take here on some of these uh these uh uh uh situations that we saw are line charts are helpful here. they filter out some of the noise.

But we can also see then now that we have our candles the extreme highs and lows based on our wicks here.

所以在这个案例中,我们这里有一个显著的低点,它给出了我们向上倾斜的蓝色趋势线。我们这里还有向下倾斜的蓝色趋势线,两者相互收敛。我们的突破随后向上发生。我们这里形成了一个上升楔形。

Uh so in this case we had a notable low point here that gives us our upward sloping blue trend line. We also had our downward sloping blue trend line here converging toward each other.

Our breakout happened then to the upside. We had a rising wedge type shape here.

所以现在,通常这被视为一种更偏看跌的形态。我们这里出现了一次爆发性的向上走势,把我们带到了那个旧高点之上。所以你现在可以看到,我们大致在那些旧高点附近、接近 584 的位置开盘。

Uh so now uh typically this is regarded as more of a bearish type of setup here. We've had an explosive move to the upside here that has taken us above that old high. So you can see now we opened up roughly at those old highs near 584.

现在我们可以看到,一些值得关注的显著下行水平包括 560,基于我们在这里看到的旧高点,以及 528,另一个旧高点,然后是来自这个区间震荡区域之后的一个高点。随后在一次向上跳空之后,它又成为了我们的低点。

Now we can see that uh some notable downside levels to watch out for include 560 based on the old high point that we saw here and 528 another old high and then a subsequent high from this rangebound area. Then after a gap up it was our low once again.

如果我们能移到下一张图,接下来我们看到的是我们跟踪的移动平均线。这里我们的移动平均线按顺序排列,大致是按时间顺序从最快到最慢。我们的深蓝色 5 日 EMA 在 55840 这个位置。

如果我们跌破我们在这里建立的形态,如果我们回落进那些区间内并向下突破,我们的 21 日 EMA、青色的那条,在接近 512 的位置。

So if we could move to our next chart then uh what we would have next is our moving averages that we follow here. So here we have our moving averages in order like kind of chronological order fastest to slowest.

Our dark blue 5-day EMA 55840 is where that one comes in. We below that if we were to break beyond our our pattern here that we established if we were to push back within those confines and break downward our 21day EMA and teal near 512.

RSI 也相当有意思,因为我们现在看到的是向上突破进入 70 这个门槛,即超买区域,在趋势市场中通常被视为后续还有进一步强势的信号。

RSI also quite interesting because what we have now is a uh upside breakout into the 70 threshold the overbought area typically regarded as a sign of further strength to come in a trending market here.

所以一次大幅向上推动、突破旧高点,并推动 RSI 进入超买区域,对看涨阵营来说是一个相当有意思的形态。

So a big push to the upside a break above old highs and a push into the overbought area on the RSI is quite an interesting setup for the bullish crowd here.

如果我们能再推进到下一张图,我们可以看到成交量分布显示,我们有一些突出的交易活动集中区。在我们向上推动之前,这里有 330 到 355 之间的一小块区域。但最近,我们的大部分活动都在 472 到 528 这一带。

So, if we could advance once more to our uh our next chart here, we can see that our volume profile shows that we have some pockets of trading activity that stand out. We had this small area here before we had our push to the upside between 330 to 355.

But more recently, much of our activity has been here 472 to 528.

最后一张图,来想想我们即将到来的预期波动,这是我们期权市场的预测。10 月 16 日,正负 12.3%,我们这个黄色方框表明,基于期权市场的预测,可能会出现显著的新高。

One final chart to think about our expected move we have uh uh coming up for uh our our options market projections here projections here uh October 16th uh plus or minus 12.3% our yellow box here suggests that there could be significant new highs based on options market projections here

是的,谈论 AMD 很有意思,它是 Nvidia 的直接竞争对手,你在第一张图上展示了它。当我们看它时,AMD 市值达到这 1 万亿美元显然感觉意义重大,但当然,Nvidia 目前市值 5.4 万亿美元,当你把它们并排比较时。

yeah interesting you know to talk about AMD a direct competitor to Nvidia you showed it there on that first chart uh and as we look at it you know it feels significant obviously for AMD to have hit this $1 trillion market cap app, but Nvidia, of course, worth $5.4 trillion right now when you look at them side by side.

如果我们能看下一张图,这些芯片中的许多。我们谈论的许多芯片,Nvidia、AMD、Marll 等等。它们是出色的芯片设计商,意思是它们没有自己的制造工厂。所以它们常常把这些芯片外包给像 Taiwan Semiconductor 这样的公司来实际制造。

它们只做设计。这一点也许不是一眼就能完全看出来的更细微之处。

Many of these uh chips if we could go to our next chart here. Um many of these chips uh that we talk about Nvidia, AMD, Marll, etc. They're fabulous chip makers, meaning they don't have their own fabrication facilities here.

So, uh, they often outsource these chips to a company like Taiwan Semiconductor to actually make them. They just make the designs here. Something that a finer point that maybe is not completely apparent right away.

所以我觉得很有意思,因为 Nvidia、AMD,这些是很多人非常熟悉的名字,无论你是股市的一部分,还是这个对这类东西感兴趣的电脑社群的一部分。

So, it's funny to me because Nvidia, AMD, these are names many of us are very familiar with if you're either part of the stock market or part of uh, you know, this computer community uh, who's interested in this kind of thing.

接下来我们可以看的这张图,把 ARM 放进了这里这些半导体股票组别之中。可以看到 ARM 大致处在中间位置。Marll 和 AMD 跑在它前面。Nvidia、Qualcomm、Broadcom,这些是 ARM 与之更为相似的股票。

So next chart that we can look at now uh kind of puts ARM into the mix of some of these uh semiconductor groups here. So ARM we can see kind of in the middle here. Marll and AMD outpacing them.

Uh Nvidia, Qualcomm, Broadcom, those are the ones that ARM is kind of more similar to.

AMD 首次触及一万亿美元市值,若能守住,将有望以接近 10% 的涨幅创下收盘纪录。

Uh and we've got AMD hitting that trillion dollar market cap for the first time heading for a record close if it can hold on to it up close to 10%.

这个频道对 $AMD 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-21看涨本条
Rick,今天我们的第一张图是 AMD。我在节目开始前刚把它调出来,它今天市值突破了 1 万亿美元,目前是连续 5 天的上涨。
2026-09-14看涨
看起来你可能看到机会的地方之一就是 AMD。这只股票在盘前交易中正受到打击,目前下跌约 5%。所以,它有点被卷入我们在芯片股上看到的这种压力之中。你认为它是否仍然处于最有利的位置,能够应对或在这次 AI 建设中脱颖而出?
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