APP被低估（年初至今下跌43%，相对公允价值有33%上行空间），提供买入机会及期权策略的有利条件。
逐段跳播
你喜欢“APP”这只股票吗？我在这里喜欢“Ab”吗？这是个好问题。我今天其实没有看“Ab”。让我打开看看，这样我们就能看看这里的“Ab”。
Do you like the "APP" stock ? Do I like "Ab" here? That's a good question. I didn't actually look at "Ab" today . Let me, let me open up so we can take a look at "Ab " here.
我交易过“Ab”。我相信它是我在“Drobridge”中的选择之一，而且我很确定我买入并卖出了它，但我不记得是赚了小钱还是亏了小钱。我需要查一下。但此刻，我并没有长期持有它的仓位。
I traded in "Ab". I believe it was one of my choices in " Drobridge" and I am quite certain that I entered and exited it, but I do not remember whether it was with a small profit or loss. I need to check this out. But at this moment, I did not hold a long-term buying position in it.
显然，他目前不在我的名单上。我正在关注的事情，我会很快转向这两项服务，看看发生了什么，因为势头不是那么强，但股票本身，我确信它是盈利的。是的。所以，在盈利能力方面，这里的评级是A+。
Obviously, he is not on my list at the moment . The things I'm looking at, I'll quickly move on to these two services to take a look at what's going on, because the momentum isn't that strong, but the stock itself, I'm sure it's profitable. Yes. So, an A+ rating here in terms of profitability.
我是一名期权交易者，我在一个价格区间内操作。我不需要特定的水平，我只需要看到该股自年初以来下跌了43%这一事实。有些人认为这是一个买入机会。“Quant”评级显示“持有”，处于2.64的低水平。
评级仍然是-C，这意味着我们可能会看到一些潜在的回落，但Seeking Alpha这里并没有像它喜欢的那样出现大的红色警告信号，所以当我看到这些时，我并不讨厌在这个水平上的股票。
I'm an options trader and I play on a price range. I don't need a specific level, I just need to look at the fact that the stock is down 43% since the beginning of the year. There are some people who believe it's an opportunity to buy. The "Quant" rating indicates "holding" and is at a low level of 2.64. The rating is still -C, which means we may see some potential pullback, but there isn't a big red warning sign popping up here on Seeking Alpha as it likes to , so I do n't hate the stock at these levels when I look at these things.
然后我转向Investing Pro，它给了我一个公允价值计算，再说一次，这是内部计算的，潜在上涨空间为33%。我们今天下跌了2.97%。他有一个完美的“Petrowski”评分。
当它出现时，这是一件非常好的事情。这通常意味着股票会上涨。
Then I move on to Investing Pro which gives me a fair value calculation, and again, this is something that is calculated internally, with a potential upside of 33%. We are down 2.97% today. He has a perfect "Petrowski" grade. This is a very good thing when it appears. This usually means that stocks will rise.
接下来的财报将于11月11日公布。所以，随着股价下跌，以及这是一个31,000美元的仓位，它里面有足够的波动性。如果你看看现在的隐含波动率评级（IVR），就在IBKR里。我不会向你展示这个，但我会读给你听。
我会把它放在我的名单上。我会把它放在我的名单上。他曾经在我的名单上。现在只有23 IVR和52 IVP，也就是24%。因此，即使今天下跌了3%，它现在也不是一个高波动的仓位。
The following earnings are due on November 11th. So, with the stock falling, and the fact that it's a $31,000 position, there's enough volatility in it . And if you look at what the implied volatility rating (IVR) is on now, just in IBKR. I will not show you this, but I will read it to you . I'll put it on my list. I'll put it on my list here. He was on my list. It's just 23 IVR and 52 IVP, which is 24%. Therefore, it is not a highly volatile position right now, even with a 3% drop today.
我将打开Applovin。我将转到期权系列。我将转到10月，还有38天。然后我会想，你知道，我能得到1%吗？记住，我们以前讨论过这个，交易者，你知道，可能得不到足够的钱来回报。
这是我一直在想的事情。但我们有250美元的资金，用于价值280美元的卖出订单。这给了我们1%。这对我来说不够。
I will open Apploving. I will move on to the options series. I will move on to October, which is in 38 days. Then I'll go, you know, do I get 1%? Remember, we've talked about this before, traders, you know , may not get enough money for their returns. Something I've been thinking about a lot. But we have $250 of capital that we are providing for a sell order worth $280. This gives us 1%. This is not enough for me.
如果我们看一下模拟器，你知道，好处是获胜概率为87%，但我可以承担比这大得多的风险。如你所知，我可以选择260。我承担了额外的1,000美元风险。我将潜在利润增加了200美元。
这是那1,000美元风险的20%回报。所以，如果我的账户里有25,000美元，卖出26比卖出25要明智得多，因为我可能比卖出25或更确切地说是卖出250多赚200美元。
If we look at the simulator, you know, the good thing about this is the probability of winning 87%, but I can take much greater risks than that. As you know, I can take the 260. I have taken on an additional $1,000 risk. I have increased my potential profit by $200. That's a 20% return on that $1,000 risk. So, if I have 25,000 in my account, it would be much smarter to sell the 26 rather than the 25, because I might make $200 more than selling the 25 or rather the 250 .
所以，当我们看到这个最大利润440与最大亏损25,556相比时，仍然有83%的盈利机会。我喜欢做的是对此更加鲁莽。我会把价格提高，然后把它转换成比率价差。
So, when we look at this maximum profit of 440 compared to a maximum loss of 25,556, there is still an 83% chance of a profit. What I like to do is be more reckless with this. I will raise the price higher and then convert this into a ratio spread.
所以，看看这38天。看看模拟器。现在，我在下方有10的利润。我在到期时的理论盈亏为365美元。我的最大总亏损为25,635，最大利润为300，而且我仍然有83%的获胜概率。
So, look at these 38 days. Look at the simulator. Now, I have a profit of 10 below. I have a theoretical profit and loss at expiry of $365. I have a maximum total loss of 25,635 , a maximum profit of 300 , and I still have an 83% probability of winning.
当一只股票像这样被低估，我们看到它的公允市场价值在400水平时，我们在这里可以做的另一件事是买入某种看涨价差，尤其是当我们预期股票会大幅上涨时。这要花多少钱？你知道，花300美元买入1,000美元的差额。
我只是在寻找便宜的交易，以防股票波动，因为有时你可以以非常便宜的价格获得一个仓位。
When a stock is undervalued like this and we see that its fair market value is at the 400 level, another thing we can do here is buy some kind of call spread, especially when we expect the stock to rise a lot . How much does it cost? You know, $300 to buy a $1000 difference. I'm only looking for cheap deals in case the stock moves, because sometimes you can get a position at a very cheap price .
我们可以做的另一件事是构建一个“蝴蝶”。我不能在“mumu”里做，所以我不会。但我们可以卖出上面的看跌比率，你知道，我们仍然在筹集130美元。这只需要30美分。哦，45。听起来很疯狂，但如果你买入410期权并卖出420期权，你加起来，你知道，你赚50美元。
如果股票达到400的水平，或者Investing Pro提供的415的水平。我们到了。这将是……所以，他仍然在收取300美元。嗯，现在他有潜力赚一千美元或更多。
Another thing we can do is build a " Butterfly". I can't do that in " mumu", so I won't . But we can sell the put ratio above, and you know, we're still raising $130. This costs only 30 cents. Oh, 45. It sounds crazy, but if you buy a 410 option and sell a 420 option, you add up, you know, you make $50. If the stock reaches that level of 400 , or the level of 415 that Investing Pro was offering . Here we are. This will be...so, he's still collecting $300. Well, now he has the potential to earn a thousand dollars or more.
再说一次，我可能会把它构建成一个“秃鹰”，我可以把它构建成一个“秃鹰”，而且那个“秃鹰”本身会非常便宜。让我们看一个。所以，让我们去430和450的水平。如果我在这里买入一个“秃鹰”会怎么样？
它会花多少钱？你知道，……让我们在这里进入“秃鹰”模式。所以，买入一个看跌期权，卖出一个看跌期权。我需要把它们转换成买入期权（看涨）。我们将简单地把它们转换成买入期权。那么，“秃鹰”买入会是什么样子？
哦……买入480，卖出400，143。那大约花费58美元，可能赚900美元。
And again, I might build this as a " Condor", I could build this as a "Condor", and that " Condor" would be very cheap in itself. Let's look at one here. So, let's go to levels 430 and 450. What if I bought a "Condor" here? How much will it cost? You know, the... let's put this in "condor" mode here. So, buying a put option, and selling a put option. I need to convert these into buy options (calls). We will simply convert them into purchase options. So, what would the "Condor" buy be like? Oh...buy 480, sell 400, 143. That costs about $58 and could make $900.
我们以前讨论过这个，如果股票突然大幅上涨会发生什么，对吧？时不时地买入这些交易并从中成功是很棒的，因为如果你拿100美元放进账户。嗯，100美元可能变成2,000美元。所以，你只需要在这些小仓位中每20个赢一个。
We've talked about this before, what happens if the stock suddenly jumps by a large amount, right? Buying these deals and being successful in them from time to time is great, because if you take $100 and put it in the account. Well, $100 could become $2000. So, you only have to win one out of every 20 of these small positions.
在这里，如果我仍然持有这笔交易的剩余部分，我可能会在390-400水平上方创建一个“看涨秃鹰”，然后是460-450，我会更灵活地处理它。我会确保不假思索或随意花钱。我会在下方卖出那个“bot”，然后说，“好吧，我对滚动这笔交易没有问题。”
因为当我看到一只高价值股票，它随着时间的推移有很高的盈利潜力时，我不介意在下跌时卖出，因为我卖出的是看跌期权，我可以继续滚动它，而且价格越低，波动性越大。因此，对于任何类似的股票，当它下跌时，入场点应该是好的。
至于“Ab”。在这个水平上这是一个好的入场点；看看股票在哪里，我们不会以高估的价格买入它。我们
Here, if I still hold the remainder of this trade, I might create a "Call Condor" above the 390-400 level, then 460-450, and I will handle it with greater flexibility. I will make sure not to spend money without thinking or randomly. And I'll sell that "bot" below, and say, "Okay , I have no problem rolling over this deal." Because when I look at a highly valued stock that has a high potential for profit over time, I don't mind selling on the dip because I'm selling a put option and I can keep rolling it over, and the lower the price, the greater the volatility. Therefore, for any similar stock, when it goes down, the entry point should be good. And as for "Ab". This is a good entry point at this level; see where the stock is, and we don't buy it at an overvalued price. We
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $APP 的历次判断
Drawbridge Finance 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。