Broadridge是受监管金融服务领域中被低估的垄断者,当前由AI颠覆担忧驱动的抛售并不理性,随着市场认识到其持久必要性且实际并未受到颠覆,该股应会回升。
逐段跳播
让我们从“Prodridge”开始,因为这是我们拿到的第一个。这家公司是什么?它有什么问题?我的意思是,“Broadridge”,我不是说它为金融系统做基础设施工作,但它帮助你,比如说,管理代理机构。
它有很多工作。如果你是一家公司,因为美国证券交易委员会要求而需要通过代理投票,它们会帮你做。它们做所有那些无聊的事情。
Let's start with "Prodridge" because it's the first one we have. What is this company? What's wrong with it? I mean, "Broadridge," I'm not saying it does the infrastructure work for the financial system, but it helps you, let's say, with managing agencies.
She has a lot of work. If you are a company and need to vote by proxy because the Securities and Exchange Commission requires it, they do it. They do all the boring things.
这家公司多年前是ADP的一个独立部门,多年来一直是一只很棒的股票,但最近它失足了。它就是根深蒂固。我们喜欢这些扎根于受到严格监管的业务的公司的,这些业务必不可少,而且还垄断市场。它本质上是一个垄断者。
This company was a separate part of ADP years ago, and was a great stock for many years, but it has recently faltered. It's simply deeply rooted. We like these companies that are rooted in intensively regulated businesses, which are essential and also monopolize the market. It is essentially a monopoly.
我的意思是,根据你们的数据,它占所有代理投票的80%,除此之外还有其他业务。这不是它们唯一的工作,但它占63%。抱歉,它们的经常性收入占总收入的63%。
I mean, it accounts for 80% of all proxy votes according to your data, among other things. It's not their only job, but it represents 63%. Sorry, their recurring revenues make up 63% of total revenue.
然而,这只股票已经存在了很长时间。这是它第二糟糕的下跌。是的。自全球金融危机以来,我的意思是,这是一门稳定的生意,类似于通常的收费站生意。
However, this stock has been around for a very long time. This is its second-worst decline. Yes. Since the global financial crisis, I mean, this is a steady business, similar to the usual toll gate business.
所以,是的,Broadridge是一家正当的公司。它管理良好。它们正在进行交叉销售。例如,如果你是一名资金管理人,因为你持有股份而收到所有这些来自股东的诉讼,它们会收费替你处理。
它们会登录并提交你的索赔等等。它们有很多这些无聊的小工作,做得非常好。
So, yes, Broadridge is a legitimate company. It is well managed. They are engaging in cross-selling. For example, if you are a money manager and you have all these lawsuits from shareholders coming in because you own shares, they will handle it for you for a fee.
Where they will log in and submit your claims, etc. They have a lot of these boring little jobs that do really well.
这是一家有趣的公司,你知道,它的估值倍数出现了很好的压缩。这是一门好生意。正如Michael所说,这是那种类似于收费站的工作,而且它值得,你知道,对于它为什么会崩盘?它现在已经从280跌到160,而之前还远低于那个水平。
It's an interesting company, you know, that has seen good compression in its multiples. It's a good business. As Michael said, it's the kind of work that resembles a token station, and it deserves, you know, for Why It Falls Apart?
It has gone from 280 to 160 now, and it was much lower than that.
这是肯定的吗?对Josh来说,这是因为人工智能还是发生了什么?私募股权领域的人担心这些代币,你知道,看空情景之一是这些代币让你可以交易股票,而它们就不必再为它们做代理工作等等。
我的意思是,有很多事情在她看来似乎完全说不通。这是一个由情绪驱动的名字。
Is this a yes? To Josh, is this because of artificial intelligence or what's going on? People in private equity are concerned that these tokens, you know, one of the bearish scenarios is that these tokens allow you to trade stocks, and they won't have to do proxy work, etc. for them.
I mean, there are a lot of things that don't seem to make any sense at all to her. It was a name driven by emotion.
是的,我认为它今年下跌了大约25%。我的意思是,这家公司有多大?这家公司的企业价值大约是200亿左右。因此,这是一门真实的生意。
Yes, I think it's down about 25% this year. I mean, how big is this company? The corporate value of this company is approximately 20 billion or so. Therefore, it is a real business.
好。它有可能被收购吗?我的意思是,我认为,你知道,在利率这样上升的情况下,谁知道呢?但我认为这可能会发生。我的意思是,那不会让我感到意外。很多公司,由于我们看待事物的方式,最终被收购了。
Good. Is it possible to acquire it? I mean, I think, you know, with interest rates rising like this, who knows? But I think it might happen. I mean, that wouldn't impress me. Many companies, because of the way we look at things, end up being acquired.
所以,当你看到这一点时,你并不需要它发生。你不需要一个催化剂。从你的角度来看,市场正在非理性地压低这只股票的估值。当尘埃落定时,人们会意识到它们根本没有被取代。它们根本没有受到人工智能的影响或颠覆。你甚至可能在内部使用人工智能方面获得好处。
So, when you look at this, you don't need it to happen. You don't need a motivator. From your point of view, the market is irrationally reducing the stock's valuation. When the dust settles, people will realize that they have not been replaced at all.
They were not affected or disrupted at all by artificial intelligence. You might even get a benefit in terms of using artificial intelligence internally.
好的。这实际上可能有助于提升盈利能力,而且它们将保持对所有这些小业务的垄断。好的。我的意思是,我们通常希望有一个催化剂,而我认为如果你必须假设一个催化剂,那将是人们终于意识到人工智能或代币不会摧毁它们的业务。
Okay. This may actually serve to boost profitability and they will maintain their monopoly over all these small businesses. Okay. I mean, we generally want a catalyst, and I think if you have to assume a catalyst, it will be people finally realizing that AI or tokens aren't going to destroy their businesses.
这个频道对 $BR 的历次判断
The Compound 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。