伯克希尔买入谷歌旨在跑赢国债并顺应AI趋势;然而,一些投资者如Michael Bury已退出BRK.B头寸。
逐段跳播
Muneesh Babrai在谈论伯克希尔·哈撒韦对谷歌的投资,他说了一些有趣的话。但现在我们知道巴菲特实际上启动了投资中心,我很想听听你和你的团队对伯克希尔买入谷歌的看法。
Muneesh Babrai was talking about Berkshire Hathaway's investment in Google, and he had some interesting things to say. But now that we know Buffett actually started the investment center, I'm interested to hear your and your team's take on Berkshire's Google buy-in.
Michael Bury看了一眼,只是说:“我不再买入伯克希尔·哈撒韦了。”你听到了吗?“嗯,那是旧的投资方式已经结束的信号,他们已经转向了别的东西。”
Michael Bury took a look at it and simply said, "I'm done buying Berkshire Hathaway." Did you hear that? "Well, that's the signal that the old way of investing is over, and they've moved on to something else."
你必须理解这些压力。我的意思是,我知道你已经理解了,但我说的是每个人都必须理解沃伦和查理所承受的压力,而我们不知何故设法没有屈服于这些压力。管理数十亿、数百亿人的资金的压力造成了我认为的制度性的必要性,那就是必须非常出色。
You have to understand the pressures. I mean, I know you already do, but I'm saying everyone has to understand the pressures that Warren and Charlie were under and that we somehow managed not to give in to." The pressure of managing billions and billions of people's money creates what I consider an institutional necessity to be really good.
沃伦谈到过这一点。你知道,正是在那里他说:“你站在击球区,在这个游戏中你不必挥棒,但看台上有这些人在喊:‘挥棒啊,你这个白痴!’”不是吗?你没有挥棒,而我现在要你挥棒。我付钱让你挥棒。
这就是大多数基金经理所处的境地。他们被付钱为那些把数百万、数十亿美元交到他们手中的养老基金经理挥棒。他们必须挥棒。
And Warren talked about that. You know, that's where he says, 'You're standing at the batting board, and in this game you don't have to wave the bat, but you have these people in the stands yelling, "Wave it, you idiot!"'" Isn't that right? You're not waving, and I want you to waving now. I'm paying you to waving. And that's the situation most fund managers are in. They're paid to wave for pension fund managers who put millions and billions of dollars in their hands. And they have to wave.
嗯,我认为这种制度性的压力沉重地压在Greg Abel的肩上。他接替了一个传奇人物的角色,这本身就是一个沉重的负担。但一个传奇人物愿意坐在3800亿美元现金上,而人们却在喊:“挥棒啊,你这个白痴!”
Well, I think that institutional imperative weighs heavily on Greg Abel's shoulders. He took on the role of a legend, and that's a heavy burden enough in itself. But a legend who was willing to sit on $380 billion in cash while people yelled, 'Waving, you idiot!'"
所以,考虑到伯克希尔·哈撒韦以及Greg正在做的事情,在我看来,他没有为这家公司付出一个好价钱。
So, considering Berkshire Hathaway and what Greg is doing, he's not paying a good price for this company, in my opinion.
嗯,我认为这也是Greg面临的问题的一部分,因为巴菲特坐拥近4000亿美元的现金。我认为很多人看巴菲特买什么来判断下一个大赢家会是什么,而我认为很多人忽略了一个事实,那就是这不再是伯克希尔投资组合的目标,因为他们持有4000亿美元的国债。
Well, I think that's part of the equation for Greg as well, because Buffett was sitting on almost $400 billion in cash. I think a lot of people look at what Buffett is buying to judge what the next big winner will be, and I think a lot of people miss the fact that that's no longer the goal of Berkshire's portfolio because they have $400 billion in Treasury bonds.
嗯,伯克希尔从来不必处理这个问题。它的股价可能会下跌,但除此之外,它不会损失资本。它不必从任何投资中撤资。所以,我完全理解Greg的观点,而且它几乎肯定会跑赢国债。
Well, Berkshire never has to deal with that. Its stock price might go down, but other than that, it doesn't lose capital. It doesn't have to withdraw money from any investment. So, I completely understand Greg's point of view, and it's almost certain to outperform the Treasury bonds.
此外,为了强调Greg所承受的压力,沃伦的职业生涯一直在跑赢标普500指数。而现在标普500指数处于历史高位。该指数的收益率高得令人难以置信,几乎完全由人工智能公司推动。所以,如果你不参与这些公司,你就根本无法跟上指数。
Also, to emphasize the pressure Greg is under, Warren has spent his career outperforming the S&P 500. And now you have the S&P 500 having a historic high. Incredibly high yields in the index, driven almost entirely by AI companies. So, if you're not involved with those companies, you're not keeping up with the index at all.
而且我认为这次买入谷歌有两个方面。它将跑赢国债,并将帮助伯克希尔·哈撒韦跟上人工智能领域不断变化的风向。
And I think this Google buy has two aspects. It will outperform Treasuries, and it will help Berkshire Hathaway Keeping pace with the changing winds in the AI sector .
尽管知道巴菲特的投资方法是最好的、最被证明是成功的,并且是唯一能保证你长期赚钱的方法,
despite knowing that Buffett’s method of investing is the best and most proven to be successful, and that it is the only way that guarantees you will make money in the long run,
这个频道对 $BRK.B 的历次判断
New Money 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。