$CBRS

CBRS 预计长期表现良好,得益于更优的推理速度和订单积压的大幅增长。

看涨他说的是几年内
AGI Has Arrived. Here's How I'm Investing In It.
Ticker Symbol: YOU发布 2026-09-12 · 6 段内容
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18:3421:00

这正是 Cerebrris 的用武之地。股票代码 CBRS。Cerebrris 不是把一块硅晶圆切割成数百颗芯片、只为在数据中心里再把它们重新拼合起来,而是将整块晶圆保留为一颗芯片,大小大致相当于一个餐盘。

4 万亿个晶体管、90 万个核心,而且不用昂贵的高带宽内存堆叠,模型的工作内存就位于芯片本身之上。

that's where Cerebrris comes in. Ticker symbol CBRS. Instead of cutting a silicon wafer into hundreds of chips just for them to beworked back together again in a data center, Cerebrris keeps the whole wafer as one chip, roughly the size of a dinner plate. 4 trillion transistors, 900,000 cores, and instead of expensive stacks of high bandwidth memory, the model's working memory is right on the chip itself.

这意味着数据永远不必离开芯片,这正是 Cerebrris 服务标准开放模型的速度能比 Nvidia 的 B200 快至多五倍的原因。

That means data never has to leave the chip, which is why Cerebrris can serve standard open models up to five times faster than Nvidia's B200s.

Cerebras 于今年夏天上市,其最新财报显示,在手订单为 254 亿美元,而今年营收为 9 亿美元。这意味着其订单规模是当前业务的 29 倍。其中约 20% 计划在 2028 年年中前交付。

这相当于每年约 28 亿美元,大致是今年营收的三倍。

Cerebras went public this summer, and their latest earnings report showed a $25.4 billion backlog against $900 million in revenue this year. That means their backlog is 29 times bigger than their current business today. And about 20% of that is scheduled for delivery by mid 2028. That works out to around $2.8 billion a year or roughly three times this year's revenue.

所以这是又一个非常聚焦、非常早期的 Agentic AI 押注,我预计它长期会有非常好的表现。关于 Cerebrus 需要了解的两件大事是:其大部分订单是来自 Open AI 的单一合同。

因此,集中度风险非常高,但对方正是当初打造出 GPT6 Astra 的公司。

So this is another very focused and very early bet on Agentic AI that I expect to do very well over the long term. The two big things to know about Cerebrus are that most of their backlog is a single contract with Open AI. So, a very high concentration risk, but with the company that made GPT6 Astra in the first place.

第二,他们目前仍在亏损。他们报告净亏损 4.5 亿美元,营收为 1.8 亿美元,即每股亏损约 2.98 美元,不过其中超过 85% 的亏损来自其 IPO 触发的股权激励。而且他们手握价值 86 亿美元的现金。

And second, they still lose money today. They reported a net loss of $450 million on $180 million in revenue, or a loss of about $2.98 per share, although over 85% of that loss came from stock-based compensation triggered by their IPO. And they're sitting on $8.6 billion worth of cash.

而 Cerebrris 是唯一一个针对推理速度的纯正押注,随着越来越多的公司和消费者让 AI 智能体投入工作,这一点将变得越来越重要。

and Cerebrris is the one pure play bet on inference speed, which is going to be more and more important as more companies and consumers put AI agents to work.

观察点

积压合同(具体指 OpenAI)的交付情况以及盈利路径
积压订单转化为收入;净亏损收窄或转正
2028年年中财报
若积压订单转化为收入且亏损收窄,则支持看涨逻辑;若集中度风险成为现实,或亏损持续而收入未增长,则削弱该逻辑

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Ticker Symbol: YOU 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-12看涨本条
这正是 Cerebrris 的用武之地。股票代码 CBRS。
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