$CRO

Credo 因向光学/内存领域扩张且估值偏低(远期市盈率 22),被视为强力买入标的,但面临 AI 资本开支放缓的风险。

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《3 AI Stocks to Buy Regardless of What the Fed Does!》
The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-14 · 9 段内容
06:04/ 打开原视频

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9 段内容
6:0410:22

现在,进入第一只股票,呃,Neil,我想进入的第一只股票将是Credo Technology,股票代码CRO。

Now, jumping into the first stock, uh, Neil, that I want to jump into is going to be Credo Technology, ticker CRO.

呃,这是一家半导体公司。他们确实非常专注于AI服务器和AI基础设施的网络解决方案。呃,这家公司的一大风险通常是客户集中度。但我坚信,在这个AI故事中,只有少数选定的人在以这种规模构建AI基础设施。

所以无论你在半导体领域还是AI基础设施领域与谁合作,客户集中度都会是这项业务的一部分。这是一个需要理解的风险,但也要理解它是这个领域的一部分。

Um, this is a semiconductor player. they do really focus on the networking solution of of of AI servers and AI infrastructures. Um, one of the big risk for this company is usually customer concentration.

But I'm a firm believer that in this AI story, there's only a selected amount of people that are building AI infrastructures at these types of scales. So no matter who you're working with in the semiconductor space or AI infrastructure space, customer concentration will be part of this business.

It's a risk to understand but it's also understand that it is part of the space.

我刚才在看他们的远期市盈率,这是未来12个月的。Credo目前对应刚刚开始的这个财年,远期市盈率大约为22倍。他们刚刚公布了2026财年第四季度的业绩,所以现在他们处于2027财年第一季度。他们预计今年同比增长大约85%。

Now I was just looking at their forward PE ratio. Uh and this is the next 12 months. Quo right now is trading at a forward PE of roughly 22 for this fiscal year which they just started.

They just reported their fiscal their their quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026. So now they're in quarter one of fiscal year 2027. They expect for this year um to be about 85% year-over-year growth.

而让我更兴奋的是,很多人只把这家公司看作是一家提供铜缆、帮助服务器与其他服务器通信或提供其他解决方案的公司。但真正重要的是,在未来12到24个月内,这家公司还将扩展到各种光学解决方案。

他们也在为存储领域生产某些解决方案,其中很大一部分收入预计将在2028财年体现出来。

And what gets me more excited about this is many see this as just a company that provides copper cables to help servers communicate with other servers or other solutions. But the big thing is in the upcoming 12 to 24 months, this company is also expanding into various optics solutions.

They're also producing certain solutions for the memory space and a lot of that revenue is expected to come out in fiscal year of 2028.

所以对我来说,Credo Technologies就是那种很多人喜欢说的拥有许多看涨期权的公司之一。目前我们关注的是网络领域。我们知道铜缆仍然会很重要。我们从所有领导者那里都听到,不是铜缆或光学,而是铜缆和光学,两者都会有各自的机会。

但Credo是一家专注于其铜缆解决方案的公司。他们正在为规模扩展和规模外延解决方案开发光学解决方案,也涉及我刚才提到的一些其他领域。所以这让我相当兴奋,我认为市场低估了这一增长机会,尤其是考虑到22倍的远期市盈率。

So for me, Creole Technologies is one of those that what many people like to say it has many call options. It's sure right now we're focusing on the networking space. We know that the copper cable is still going to be important.

We hear it from all the leaders that it's not copper or optics, it's copper and optics. There's going to be an opportunity for both. But yet Credo is one that's focusing on their copper solutions.

They're working on optical solutions for both cables for both um scale up scale out solutions and like I mentioned some of these other places. So that gets me pretty excited and I think the market is underestimating especially with that forward PE ratio of 22 uh of 22 the growth opportunity.

在把话题交给你之前,Neo,最后一点是:这家公司目前名下没有任何债务。它基本上是一家市值330亿、300亿美元的公司。他们大约有7亿美元的现金,没有债务,还有各种增长机会。他们正在与我相信至少五家主要超大规模云厂商合作,这些大概都是排名前五的公司。

而且他们确实与Amazon等公司有着很好的合作关系。

The final thing before I send it over to you Neo is this is a company that has no debt in its name right now. It's uh it's pretty much a company with 33 billion in $30 billion in market cap.

They about have about $700 million in cash, no debt, and various growth opportunities. They're working with, I believe, all at least five of these major hyperscalers, which are probably the top five names.

Uh and they do have great partnerships with companies like Amazon.

所以Credo Technology,我的第一个标的,就像任何其他半导体或AI基础设施公司一样,Neo,如果AI基础设施出现放缓,这家公司肯定会受到打击。所以我会说这是最大的风险,还有我刚才稍微提到的客户集中度问题。

Uh so credo technology my first play just like any other of those semiconductor or AI infrastructure company Neo is if there is a slowdown in AI infrastructure this is one that can definitely take a hit.

So that's I would say the biggest risk and that customer concentration that I was mentioning a bit earlier.

是的。不,我的意思是,整个建设潮是这只股票以惊人速度增长的主要原因之一,也是这家公司变得越来越赚钱的原因之一。所以是的,如果整个AI领域出现放缓,这只股票可能会受到打击。不过从基本面来看,也许打击不会太大,因为目前需求如此之大,对吧?

建设这些数据中心,它们不是每天都会冒出来的。所以,仅仅因为一家公司说资本支出可能不会像以前那样增加,并不意味着Credo的业务在下滑。

Yeah. No I mean it's all the buildout is one of the main reasons why we're seeing this name grow at a tremendous pace why we are seeing this company become more and more profitable.

So yes, if there is going to be a slowdown in this whole AI space, it's a name that could get hit. Although fundamentally, maybe not by much because the demand right now is so big, right?

Building out these data centers, they don't pop up each and every day. So just because a company says that maybe capex is not going to increase as much as before doesn't mean that Credo's business is going down.

现在,Nebius是一家……顺便说一句,Credo目前正在经历大约40%的回撤。所以,现在确实已经出现了下跌,正如你所说,20倍出头的远期市盈率在这些水平上已经变得相当有吸引力了。

Now, Nebus is a company of co and by the way, Credo Credo right now is experiencing a draw down of around 40%. So, a dip has definitely happened right now and as you said low 20 times forward earnings is is getting quite attractive at these levels.

观察点

新光学与内存解决方案带来的收入贡献
2028财年出现实质性收入
2028财年财报
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2026-09-14看涨本条
现在,进入第一只股票,呃,Neil,我想进入的第一只股票将是Credo Technology,股票代码CRO。
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