CRWD在网络安全领域是明确的领导者，ARR与利润率持续增长，叠加AI带来的助力，支撑其光明的前景展望。
逐段跳播
网络安全类股票今天处于赢家一方，投资者纷纷涌入 CrowdStrike，背后是对人工智能发展速度和安全性存有疑问。
Cyber security names are on the winning end today as investors pile into crowd strike amid questions over the pace and safety of artificial intelligence.
所有这些噪音在打压其他股票的同时，为网络安全板块带来了买盘，CrowdStrike 有望在今天创下收盘纪录。是的，该股今天真正实现了稳健的突破。正如你提到的，创下52周新高。涨幅约为15%。而这还是在 NASDAQ 下跌的情况下实现的。
All the noise while deflating other names put a bid into cyber security with Crowd Strike on pace to set a record close today. Yeah, real solid breakout today in in the stock. Uh, as you mentioned, 52- week high.
Uh, it's up about 15%. And that's with the NASDAQ being down.
所以，软件板块今天表现不错，而对 CrowdStrike 来说，这有点像一记组合拳：软件板块今天表现极好，再加上安全方面的担忧。所以这确实利好像 CrowdStrike 这样的公司。
So, you know, software is doing well today and and for, you know, for Crowd Strike, it's kind of a one-two punch in that software's having a great day. Um, and then also the security concerns.
So that that does benefit a company like Crowd Strike
但说回 CrowdStrike。Kevin，你怎么看？是的，今天是软件和网络安全的日子，对吧？当你想到人工智能安全，这正是今天早上讨论的话题，你的目光会投向哪里？就是网络安全。
所以你看到一些软件股走高，网络安全股也是。你提到了 Zcaler，Palo Alto Networks 今天也上涨，但这些公司正在扩大年度经常性收入，收入在增长。它们的利润率在增长。
这是一家实际上利用人工智能来提高效率、推出新服务并获取新客户的公司。对这些公司来说，情况只会越来越好。你知道，当这些股票表现好和表现差的时候，总有一种讨论，说未来会需要这些公司。
现在你真的看到这只股票开始加速。CrowdStrike 似乎是明显的领导者之一。所以是的，这是一家今天表现很好的公司，如果你展望未来，前景也相当光明，Diane。
But take it taking it back to Crowd Strike. Kevin, your take? Yeah, today's the day for software and cyber security, right? When you think about AI safety and that's been the discussion this morning that where do your eyes just go?
It's right to cyber. And so you're seeing some of the software stocks higher, cyber security. You mentioned uh uh Zcaler, PaloAlto Networks is also up today, but these companies and they're expanding um annual recurring revenue that's growing.
Their margins are growing. This is a company that's actually leveraging AI to be more efficient and bring in new services and acquire new customers. It just keeps getting better for these firms.
And you know, there was always a discussion when these stocks were doing well and they when they were doing poorly that the future was going to need these names. Now you're really seeing it start to pick up steam here in this name.
Crowd Strike appears to be one of the clear leaders. So yeah, this is a company having a good day and if you look out in the future looks pretty bright there too, Diane.
是的，我在考虑卖出一个看跌价差。是在10月2日到期。现在，我得道歉，因为几个小时前我把这笔交易发给你们时，你可以拿到大约230。这是10月2日215/205看跌垂直价差，卖出价约为230。
我认为现在这个价格已经降到大约180，因为股价继续上涨。你知道，该股今天上涨了31美元。正如我几分钟前提到的，这是一个有趣的动态：隐含波动率仍然相对——抱歉——相对偏高。当你看到当前的IV百分位，它高于60%。
所以期权价格在那里仍然有点诱人，对我来说，当我看到这样的情况时，它会让我的思路偏向卖出——卖出权利金。而通过卖出看跌价差，我就是在这么做。这是一笔看涨交易。股价今天正在突破。处于52周高点。
它已经清除了所有主要移动平均线，今天的成交量非常好。所以成交量也高于——也高于20日成交量移动平均线。总体来看，这看起来是一只想要继续上涨的股票。
Yeah, I got I'm looking at selling a put spread. Uh it's in the October 2nd expiration. Now, I do want to apologize because when I sent you guys the trade a couple hours ago, you could get about 230 for it.
It's the um October 2nd 215205 put vertical selling it for about 230. I think that price has gone down to around a$180 right now as as the stock continues to rally. Uh you know, stocks up $31 today.
And as I mentioned, you know, just a couple minutes ago, it's an interesting dynamic where the implied volatility is still relatively, excuse me, relatively elevated. When you look at the um uh current IV percentile, it's above 60%.
Uh so option prices are still a little bit juicy in there, which for me, when I look at something like that, it it kind of skews my my thinking towards selling uh selling premium.
And and by selling a put spread, I'm doing it. It's a it's a bullish trade. Stock's breaking out today. It's at a 52- week high. Uh, it's cleared all the major moving averages and it's got really good volume today.
So, the the volume is above uh track as well, above the 20-day moving average on on volume. Um, overall uh it it looks like this is a stock that wants to continue to move up.
Diane，Joe Maza 提出了一个很好的理由，说明这个节目应该更早播出，对吧？他看的那个价差已经赚了半个美元。所以这就是卖出看跌垂直价差时会发生的情况。这是一个看涨头寸。
现在这是一个看涨头寸，如果股票保持不变或从当前水平小幅下跌，它也可以盈利。所以卖出价外高概率的看跌垂直价差。你能拿到超过2美元。他是在230建仓的。现在已经跌到那以下了。现在你看到，尽管风险回报比是不对称的，因为这是一个高概率价差。
你最多能赚的就是你卖出它的价格。风险是行权价之间的距离。在这种情况下，我相信是10美元，再加上你收取的任何权利金。所以这就是Joe的例子，说明如果股票朝着对你有利的方向移动，在这种情况下是向上，这些交易能多快表现良好。
Diane Joe Maza making a really good case why this show should be on earlier in the day, right? His spread that he looked at has already made a half a dollar on on the spread. So the there's what happens when you sell a put vertical.
It's a bullish position. Now it's a bullish position that can also be profitable if the stock stays unchanged or moves slightly lower from where it is. And so selling the out of the money high probability short put vertical.
You're getting north of $2 for it. He put it in 230. It's drifted lower than that. Now you see that these can even though the riskreward is is lopsided because of it's a high probability spread.
Most you can make is what you sell it for. The risk is the distance between the strikes. In this case $10 I believe and whatever credit you take in. And so there is Joe's example of how quickly the the these can do well if the if the stock is moving in your favor in this case to the upside.
Diane，我看的是一个偏看跌方向的，因为这是牛市和熊市，我看了到你知道几周后的预期波动，卖出10月18日，买入10月25日。所以是一个非常短期的价差，但看跌期权侧的两周日历价差，花费大约25美元。
你猜怎么着，Joe，我的现在下跌了一毛钱。所以随着股价走高，看跌日历价差变得更便宜。看跌垂直价差变得便宜得多。所以这个现在交易价约为1.95美元，但它只是在衡量，你知道，现在大约17美元的下跌移动，之前是15美元。
它的风险限定在你投入的资金。支付的借记就是风险。如果市场允许你，因为这是一个两周宽的看跌日历价差，你可以在本周延长久期，9月18日，卖出下一周。嗯，我想我实际上做成了一周。所以这意味着如果是一周，那么你必须把它转换成垂直价差，或者你可以直接平仓。
风险就是支付的借记。Diane 和 Joe。所以这个只是在寻找这次大涨的一点回撤，回到220，这是到9月25日的预期波动。
Diane mine that I looked at was something in the bearish camp because this is a bull bear and I looked at the expected move out till you know a couple of weeks selling October 18th buying October 25th.
So just a very shortterm uh spread but a twoe calendar spread on the put side spending about $25. Guess what Joe mine is down by a dime. So w with with with the stock moving higher, the put calendar gets cheaper.
The short put vertical gets gets way cheaper. And so this one's now trading about a $1.95, but it's just measuring, you know, a a $15 now about a $17 move to the downside. It's uh it's risk defined to what you have.
The the the debit paid is the risk. And if the market allows you, because it's a two-week wide uh put calendar, you can extend duration on this week's the September 18th, sell the next week out.
Well, I think I made it a one week actually. And so the that that means if it's a one week, then you have to convert this into a vertical spread or you you can just close it. The risk being the debit paid.
Uh Diane and Joe. So th this one is just looking for a little retracement of this big rally back into the 220 which is the expected move out till September 25th.
是的，我认为回撤这个词用在这里很恰当。如果你预期今天这波走势要么过头了，要么可能有点停滞，如果你看看这笔交易的盈亏平衡点，记住那些盈亏平衡点会因为时间衰减和波动率变化而改变。但如果你看那些盈亏平衡点，只要它没有从我们当前的位置进一步大幅上涨，你知道，这笔交易就能盈利。
如果你确实看到它慢慢回落到——甚至高于该股开盘价或周五收盘价的水平，你知道，这笔交易仍然可以盈利。所以，它给了你一个很宽的窗口。但你基本上是在押注它不会从这里继续上涨。这是我对这笔交易有点好奇的一点：我们只是想看看这背后是否还有更多动能，因为对于一天的走势来说，15%相当强劲，成交量也很大，我们得看看本周剩余时间是否会有延续。
Yeah, I think retracement is the right word on that. If you expect that maybe this move today uh is either overdone or maybe kind of stalls out if you look at the break even on this and and remember those break evens will change uh due to time decay and due to changes in volatility.
But if you look at those break evens, as long as it doesn't rally too much further from where we're at, you know, that this trade can be profitable. If you do kind of get a grind back down towards uh even even above where the stock uh opened up or or where it closed on Friday, you know, this trade can still be profitable.
So, it gives you a wide window. Um but you're you're basically betting on the fact that it's not going to continue to to rally up from here. Uh and that's the one thing that I'm a little bit curious about uh in this is we just want to see kind of whether or not there's more momentum behind this because for a one-day move uh 15% pretty strong volume uh we'll have to kind of see whether or not there's carryover through the rest of the week.
我认为这完全正确。你要找的是，你知道，该股今天大幅上涨。如果它回落，记住当你持有看跌日历价差时，你有双重敞口，大约6.5的长期Vega。所以如果 CrowdStrike 的隐含波动率更低——我会说它目前大致保持不变。
如果它在任何下跌走势中回升，你也会从中受益。这笔交易的短Delta和长Vega部分。Diane。
I think that that's exactly right. What you're looking for is, you know, the stock is up significantly today. if it were to come back down and remember when you have a put calendar you have the dual exposure of about 6 and a half long Vega.
So if the implied volatility is lower in crowd strike which it's I I would say it's holding about the same. Uh you could if if it were to go back higher on any down move you would benefit from that as well. the short delta and the long Vega part of this trade. Diane
这个频道对 $CRWD 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 4 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。