如果委内瑞拉扩张成功，CVX是油气领域的首选；当前价格走势表明可能处于上升趋势的早期阶段。
逐段跳播
我们最后一只股票是雪佛龙。该股在盘中略有下跌，但他们昨天才宣布将继续扩大在委内瑞拉的业务。这是否是它今天跻身你前三名的部分原因，蒂姆？
Our last stock here is Chevron. We are slightly lower in the session, but they only announced yesterday that they will continue to expand their operations in Venezuela. Is that part of why they're among your top three today, Tim?
是的，如你所知，这是我在去年一月的“三巨头”节目中分享的一个想法。我喜欢那个关于“三角洲部队”突袭的想法。仍然有一些真正令人惊叹的事情。我迫不及待地想看到关于她的书籍和电影发布。
但无论如何，一月份的想法是关于开放委内瑞拉，通过取代马杜罗，向他们开放更自由的石油经济，而不是受控制的经济。当你看到政府达成的交易时，他们现在正在谈论这些。一切都还处于早期阶段。
显然，我们必须看看事情如何发展。但如果你看从一月到现在的图表，如果委内瑞拉交易成功，以及雪佛龙正在做的事情，那么我认为这是我在石油和天然气行业的首选。我们拭目以待，我希望伊朗局势很快结束。
但如果那里的局势持续，我可以清楚地看到美国更多地转向委内瑞拉。就我个人而言，我更希望石油市场完全开放，不受任何限制，无论所有这些事情如何。但图表自一月以来一直强劲；它在两天前突破，然后略有回落。
但如果事情按照我预期的发展，我认为我们仍然只是在开始阶段。
Yes, as you know, this is an idea I shared on the show "The Big Three" last January. I loved the idea that was about the "Delta Force" raid. There are still some truly amazing things . I can't wait for books and movies about her to be released. But anyway, the idea in January was about opening up Venezuela, by replacing Maduro and opening up to a freer oil economy for them rather than one under control. And when you look at the deals that the administration has made, which they are talking about now. Everything is still in its early stages. Obviously, we have to see how things develop. But if you look at the chart from January to now, and if the Venezuela deal works out and what Chevron is doing, then I consider this my first choice in the oil and gas sector. We'll see how things go , and I hope the situation in Iran ends soon. But if the situation there continues, I can clearly see the United States turning more towards Venezuela. Personally, I would prefer that the oil markets be fully opened without any restrictions, regardless of all these matters. However, the chart has been strong since January; it broke through two days ago and then pulled back slightly. But if things go as I expect, I think we are still only at the beginning.
好吧，让我们给予应有的赞誉。自从这个想法被提出给我们以来，我们已经实现了大约 37% 的涨幅。我想那是在一月的第一周。所以，我们向你致敬。你的预测是对的，在这里我看到了下半年形成的通道，里克，它完全是向上的。
正如蒂姆提到的，我们最近几天看到了小幅下跌，但你在技术分析中看到了什么？
Well, let's give credit where credit is due . We have achieved about 37 percent since this idea was presented to us . I think that was in the first week of January. So, we tip our hats to you. You were right in your prediction, and here I see the channel that formed in the latter half of the year , Rick, and it's completely upward. We have seen a slight decline as Tim mentioned in recent days, but what do you see in the technical analysis?
是的，当然，但再次强调，我们正在接近我们之前记录的那些高点。214.71 的价格是这里必须超越的水平。我们还没有完全达到那个点。现在，我们有一个价格缺口也需要监控。211。我们监控这些缺口的原因是它们通常在交易中被回补。
我当然不能保证它会发生，但交易员关注这些水平是有原因的。它代表了一个点，在这个点上一些基本信息发生了变化或发生了某种新闻。这里 202 附近的一个类似缺口可能是许多交易员关注的潜在支撑区域，如果我们开始下跌并跌破我们的白色趋势线。
这里还有另一个相对而言的极端低点，接近 198。我们还有一个短期低点，接近 186。
Yes, absolutely, but again, we are approaching those high levels we have recorded previously. The price of 214.71 is the level that must be surpassed here. We haven't quite reached that point yet . Now, we have a price gap that also needs to be monitored. 211. The reason we monitor these gaps is that they are often closed in trades. I certainly can't guarantee that it will happen , but there's a reason why traders are watching these levels. It represents a point at which some basic information changed or some kind of news occurred. A similar gap here near 202 would be an area that many traders might watch as a potential support if we start moving down and we fall below our trendline here in white. Here stands another extreme low, relatively speaking , near 198. We also had a short-term low here near 186.
所以，我们的移动平均线现在，与上一张图表类似，我们可以看到它们大多相互背离，除了这里的一个小问题，即我们的 5 日指数移动平均线已经开始在这里向下倾斜。所以，背离开始在这里放缓。
我们有望收在短期周线指数移动平均线（深蓝色）下方。这个水平达到 208.84。所以，如果它开始跌破这个水平，移动平均线越短，其可靠性就越低，越有可能发出虚假信号，但它也是反应最快的。
所以，如果我们开始有点步履蹒跚，这可能是需要记住的事情。我们的 21 日指数移动平均线（青蓝色）在 202.66。它与我们的趋势线非常接近。所以，如果你悲观，这也代表一个值得注意的潜在突破点，如果你乐观，则是一个支撑区域。
So, our moving averages now, a picture similar to our last chart, we can see that they are all mostly diverging from each other, except for the minor issue here which is that our 5-day exponential moving average has started to trend downwards here. So, the divergence is starting to slow down here. We are on track to close below our short- term weekly exponential moving average here in dark blue. This level reaches 208.84. So, if it starts to slip below this level, the shorter the moving average , the less reliable it is and the more likely it is to give false signals, but it is also the most responsive. So, this might be something to keep in mind here if we start to stumble a little . Our 21-day exponential moving average in greenish-blue is at 202.66. It is very closely aligned with our trend line here. So, this also represents a noteworthy potential breaking point if you are pessimistic, or a support zone if you are more optimistic.
相对强弱指数（RSI）已跌破超买区域，即 70 阈值。然而，我们的绿色趋势线仍然有效。所以，观察我们是否会重新站上该点上方，以及我们是否会继续录得新的相对高点。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen below the overbought zone, i.e., the 70 threshold here. However , our green trend line is still valid . So, watch to see if we will regain our levels above that point and whether we will continue to record new relatively high levels.
最后，在这种情况下，这里有一个突出的成交量节点，即在 204 到 206 之间交易活动增加。因此，这个区域作为一个值得注意的区域脱颖而出。但我们的大部分活动发生在 182 到 193 之间，控制点（我们有史以来交易最重的区域）一直延伸到 188。
Finally, in this case, there is a prominent volume node here, which is an increase in trading activity between approximately 204 and 206 . Therefore, this area stands out as a noteworthy area. But the bulk of our activity comes here between 182 and 193, with the control point , which is our heaviest trading area ever , going as far as 188.
目前，我们处于 208.71，今日下跌约 1.25%。但正如我们所说，今年迄今已上涨超过 30%。
Right now, we are at 208.71 with a downward move of approximately 1.25 percent today. But as we said, more than 30% so far this year.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $CVX 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。