戴尔因其高增长和领导地位而被低估,目标价600美元,但需市场条件稳定。
逐段跳播
我们今天直播的标题是戴尔,它下一步会走向哪里。所以我想谈谈戴尔,你认为这个股票在财报后会走向哪里,等等。戴尔在周二收盘后公布了一份爆炸性的财报。
the title of our stream today being uh Dell, where it's headed next. So I want to talk about Dell, where you see this name going after earnings, etc. So Dell uh reported after the close on Tuesday, a blowout report.
自那以后股票表现很好。你和内部圈子在周二盘后对财报的反应期间活跃于该股。我知道Kier在交易它。昨天有点回调。
stock has been great since then. You and the inner circle were active in the name uh after hours like during the report response after hours on Tuesday. I know Kier was trading it. Um yesterday the action a bit of a pullback yesterday.
为了清晰起见,我们在盘后积极买入。我们在开盘回调时非常积极地买入,然后我们今天在开盘后的回调中再次积极买入。所以是三次不同的买入。
just for clarity, we were active in the after hours buying it. We were active off of the opening pullback uh pretty aggressively buying it and uh then we were active yet again today on the pullback off the open. So three three different buys.
所以我看待戴尔的方式很简单。预期很高。股票在上个季度后已经涨了很多,然后在500美元左右横盘,并回调了几次。问题是,它是否足够好以延续势头?
Um so the way I looked at Dell is pretty simple. Expectations were high. Stock had moved a great deal after the last quarter and had kind of plateaued at 500 and pulled back a few times. And the question was, would it be good enough to continue the momentum?
人们真的希望看到他们将2027年的指引提高到至少每股20到21美元。很多分析师说那可能发生,甚至可能是22美元。然后他出来给出了25美元的中值区间,这告诉你这家巨大的公司有接近150%的盈利增长。
然而它的交易价格低于20倍市盈率,而标普的市盈率是19到20倍。
Um, and people really wanted to see them raise guidance to a minimum of 20 $21 a share in 2027. Uh, and a lot of analysts were saying that can happen, maybe even 22. And then he comes out and gives a midpoint range of 25, which tells you this enormous company has earnings growth of near 150%. And yet it's trading under 20 times with an S&P multiple uh 1920 20 times.
所以你可以从一位真正的明星那里获得150%的增长,他也因为向特朗普账户捐赠了这么多钱而受到我们政府的青睐,他也是Jensen的最爱,他正在全速运转,他只看到他的业务有势头。
So you can get 150% growth from uh a bonafide rockstar who also is uh favored by our administration for good reasons because he's donated so much money to the Trump accounts. Uh who's a favorite of Jensen who is hitting on all cylinders who uh only sees momentum in his business.
我说,我不知道为什么市场没有反应,但它在440多美元。我说,也许我在这里搞错了什么,但我不知道你怎么能不买戴尔,当你可以用相当于18倍福特盈利的价格买入150%的增长。而且我们正在进入,我们几乎已经进入27年了,所以它甚至不远。所以那就是我们所做的。
And I said, I don't know why the market's not responding, but it was in the 440s. I said, maybe I'm getting something wrong here, but I don't know how you can't buy uh Dell when when you can buy 150% growth for the equivalent of 18 times Ford earnings. And we're going in, we're almost in 27 as is, so it's not even far away. So that's what we did.
我削减了一点,因为它在盘后涨到了大约473美元。然后昨天,第一次回调我们加仓了,那是450多美元,我们在472美元削减了很多。
um trimmed a bit because it it went to like 473 in after hours. And then yesterday, uh first pullback we added and that was uh 5, excuse me, 450s and uh we trimmed a lot into 472.
它回调了一点,然后涨到480美元。我卖出了大部分,并设置了一个移动止损,因为它涨得比预期波动多得多。然后它在当日低点附近被止损出局。
Uh pulled back a bit, then went to 480. I sold most and got to a trailer because it was up a lot more than the expected move. It was then stopped out of my trailer. uh near lows of the day.
它实际上跌破了然后又涨回来了,对吧?[笑声] 所以它是一个催化剂,让它涨得更高,它整天都在飙升,而聊天室里大多数人仍然持有它或持有一些。
Um it it actually went beneath and back above, right? [laughter] Uh so it was a catalyst to go much higher and it just screamed throughout the day and most of the chat still had it um or had some.
今天早上我醒来,我说,"新的一天。我的故事仍然成立。我得交易得稍微不那么紧。" 第一次回调我就买入。所以在开盘时,当我们回调到480美元时,我说我是买家。今天可能会到500美元。
或者如果不是今天,那就是明天。我们非常积极地买入了。480美元。我仍然持有一些,但我已经减到移动止损,我们现在在518美元。触及了530美元。
And uh this morning I woke up, I said, "It's a new day. My story still stands. Uh I got to trade this a little less tight." And the first pullback I'm buying. So off the open when we pull back to 480, I said I'm a buyer. Probably be 500 today. Um uh or if not tomorrow. And uh we bought pretty aggressively. 480. Uh still own some, but I'm down to a trailer and we're at 518 right now. Hit 530.
股价突破至历史新高。所以你在514上方有了新的序列。但我得说实话。该股昨天是430。今天触及530。我确实认为它会保持活力。我会继续加回仓位,但更接近500或更低。那就是戴尔。这就是我们这个财报季的交易方式。
Broke out to new all-time highs. So you have a new sequence above 514. But I got to keep it real. The stock was 430 yesterday. It hit 530 today. I do think it'll be viable. I'll continue add back to the position, but closer to 500 or below. And that is Dell. And that's how we've been trading this earning season.
找到我们最喜欢的两三只股票。在一个没什么作为的市场里尽量不要持有太多仓位,坦率地说,通过不依赖市场而更关注个股并找到我们最喜欢的两三只股票,市场表现得很好。
Find two or three of our favorites. Try not to carry too many positions in a market that's done a lot of nothing and frankly done really well by not relying on the market and being more about individual equities and finding two or three of our favorites.
然后我们对戴尔做了一系列看涨期权。我想Rick买了戴尔的日内看涨期权,今天上涨了500%。不仅是它在买入戴尔,而且,你知道,很多人如果管理较小的账户,也在买入看涨期权,坦率地说赚取了荒谬的百分比。
And then we did a bunch of calls on Dell. I think Rick had bought intraday calls on Dell that went up 500% today. not only was it buying Dell, but it was also, you know, tons of people if they managed smaller accounts were buying the calls and frankly making absurd percents.
戴尔在518。嗯,52周高点是53078。所以就在531下方。戴尔会到600吗?有可能吗?呃,所以我看待戴尔的方式是,如果市场保持,这必须是领导股,原因有几个。首先是估值倍数。
其次,它不是那种万亿美元或两万亿美元的公司,因为太大而难以推动。我们说的是一个3000亿美元的公司,如果你像我一样老,它过去似乎很大。在当今世界,它就像那样是小的,对吧?[笑声]万亿美元公司比比皆是。我的观点是,这样的股票上涨20%并不难。
Dell at 518. Um, the 52- week high is 53078. So like right under 531. Does Dell get to 600? Is it possible? Uh so the way I look at Dell is if the market holds, this has to be a leadership stock for a few reasons. First, the multiple. Secondly, it's not this trillion or two trillion dollar company where it's hard to move the boat because it's so big. talking about a $300 billion company, which if you're old like me, it used to seem big. In today's world, it's like that's small, right? [laughter] Trillion dollar companies left and right. My point is, it's not hard for a stock like this to go up 20%.
嗯,然后也许更重要的是,它在下跌时领跌,意味着当市场回调时它显示出相对强势,并且它是最早创出新高并突破500的股票之一。所以基于所有这些原因,包括基本面、盈利、图表、相对强势,如果市场保持,如果我们解决战争,如果油价回落,如果通胀受控,如果我们不会多次加息,这绝对是一只600美元的股票。
这将是一个容易做出的判断。它没有理由不是600。
Um, and then perhaps more importantly, it led on the way down, meaning it showed relative strength when the market corrected and it was one of the first stocks to make a new high and go over 500. So for all those reasons including fundamentals, earnings chart, relative strength, this is a stock that if the market holds right, if we figure out the war, if oil pulls back, if inflation's in check, if we don't get several rate hikes, this is definitely a $600 stock. It' be one of like an easy call to make there. There's zero reason for it not to be 600.
我的问题是,未来几个月市场会有多好?我的直觉是会很混乱,但市场还会有足够的上涨空间让这只股票达到600。就像这些老公司,对吧,戴尔、Sandis这些长期不那么令人兴奋的公司,现在已经成为2026年交易者真正令人兴奋的名字,就像老互联网股票的复兴。
My question is, how good will the market be in the next couple months? My gut is it'll be messy, but there'll be enough upside left in the market for this to be at 600. like these old you know like these old companies right the Dells Sandis these these companies that weren't that exciting for a long time have now become these really exciting names for traders in 2026 like the revival of the old dot stocks
现在就像,嘿,戴尔全面发力。它的估值倍数非常低,你可以获得出色的管理、惊人的增长,在一个市值相对较小的公司里,相对于如果他继续做他说的每件期望做的事情可能达到的市值,你可以以便宜的价格买入。这就是今天有效的做法,对吧?
now it's like, hey, Delt firing in all cylinders. It trades at a very low uh multiple and you can get amazing management, amazing growth in a fairly small company in terms of market cap versus what it might be if he continues to do everything he says he expects to do and buy it for a cheap price. That that's what's working today, right?
如果我是一个交易者,看未来一两个月,我仍然会看戴尔及其盈利和估值倍数。或者戴尔指引几乎高出40%,这是闻所未闻的,你可以在那一刻买入。它当时距离年内高点约75点。你怎么能不买?
if I'm a trader and I'm looking at the next month or two, I'm still going to look at Dell and their earnings and their multiple or the fact that Dell guided almost 40% higher and this is unheard of and you can buy it at that moment. It was like 75 points off the highs of the year. How do you not buy it?
我真心相信戴尔将保持活力,特别是如果它今天回落到500,对吧?我认为距离高点30个点是可买入的,我认为在470多点的任何位置都会是激进的买入。
I truly believe Dell will remain viable, specifically if it backs up into 500 today, right? I think a 30 points off highs is buyable and I think it'll be an aggressive buy anywhere in the 470s.
这种艰难就像今天这样计划,因为戴尔昨天出现了疯狂的回落。我说:“让我提前告诉你我的计划,对吧?我认为我们肯定会到500。我们突破500。我们测试514那个高点,然后我们突破它,我会变得非常小,然后提前计划。”
of this hard is planning like today because Dell had this crazy pullback yesterday. I said, "Let me tell you my plan in advance, right? I think we're definitely going to 500. We get over 500. We're testing testing that high of 514 and then we get over that I'll be pretty small and then just plan ahead."
这个频道对 $DELL 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。