Dell在突破横盘整理后图表走强;主要上升趋势依然完好,被认为是科技板块中最好的图表之一。
逐段跳播
因此,我选择了 Dell。Dell 是我认为在 2026 年相对表现最为稳定的公司之一。换句话说,Dell 在上半年显著跑赢,随后在 6 月出现下跌。
Therefore, I chose Dell. Dell is among the companies that I believe were among the most consistent in relative performance during 2026. In other words, Dell significantly outperformed in the first half of the year, before experiencing a decline in June.
因此,从 1 月到 6 月初,很难找到比 Dale 更好的图表,因为它的特征是加速上行的趋势。但随后它经历了一段漫长的波动期。
Therefore, from January until the beginning of June, it is difficult to find a better chart than Dale's, as it was characterized by an accelerating upward trend. But then it went through a long period of fluctuation.
我认为这张图表的重要性在于该股在整个 6 月和 7 月的横盘走势。它几乎与市场平均水平保持一致,没有取得任何额外的涨幅。在那之后,该股出现了大幅上涨,然后趋于稳定。
I believe the importance of this chart lies in the stock's sideways movement throughout June and July. It maintained its level almost in line with market averages, without achieving any additional gains .
After that, the stock saw a significant rise, then stabilized.
要记住,市场可以通过两种方式进行调整:要么随着时间推移进行调整,也就是股价横盘震荡,等待市场企稳;要么价格自行调整,也就是下跌。当我们想到调整时,通常想到的是价格调整,对吧?一次大幅波动之后价格下跌。
但戴尔这只股票在这里的不同之处在于调整的时机。我们看到的不是下跌,而是一次时间上的调整。市场已经达到一种均衡状态。市场表明该股的价值在 400 美元到 430 美元之间,我们会在这一区间内停留一段时间,直到出现某些变化。
Remember that markets can correct in two ways: either they correct over time, which means the stock fluctuates sideways and waits for the market to stabilize, or the price corrects itself, meaning it declines.
When we think of a correction, we usually think of a price correction, right? A large move followed by a price decline, but what distinguishes Dell's stock here is the timing of the correction.
Instead of a decline, we are witnessing a time correction. The market has reached a state of equilibrium. The market indicates that the stock's value is between $400 and $430, and we are settling within this range for a while until something changes.
我认为这是戴尔股票图表在 9 月初令人鼓舞的一面,因为它终于成功摆脱了震荡阶段。在股价多次从 50 日移动均线反弹之后,它成功突破了这条均线,并创下新的历史新高。
I think this is the encouraging aspect of Dell's stock chart at the beginning of September, as it has finally managed to break out of its volatility phase. After the stock bounced off the 50-day moving average several times, it managed to break through it and record new record highs.
现在,本周出现了小幅回落,只要我们在回调时守住移动均线,这在一张处于主要上升趋势的图表中完全正常,我会说主要上升趋势仍然非常强劲。
Now, with a slight pullback this week, which is perfectly normal in a chart that is moving in a major uptrend as long as we keep the moving averages on pullbacks, I would say the major uptrend is still very strong.
所以,当你观察像科技这样的板块并感觉一切都进展顺利时,你如何区分真正好的机会和普通的机会?我会说,回到技术分析的一些基本构件,思考像这样显示盘整阶段、随后进入新的吸筹阶段的图表,往往强烈表明一个新的强势领域正在出现,而不是某种可能用处较小的东西。
So, when you look at a sector like technology and feel that everything is going well, how do you differentiate between really good opportunities and average opportunities? I would say, going back to some of the basic building blocks of technical analysis, thinking about charts like these showing a consolidation phase and then a new accumulation phase is often a strong indication of the emergence of a new strength area , as opposed to something that might be less useful.
所以,我会说,在这一点上,有很多股票我本可以列为科技板块中最好的图表。我必须选出一只,而戴尔是一个非常好的选择。
So, I would say, at this point, that there are many stocks that I could have put in the best chart in the technology sector. I had to choose one, and Dale was a very good choice.
这个频道对 $DELL 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。