FIVE因下半年季节性积极和杯柄形态突破而成为买入候选;回测20日均线(约240-245美元)提供有利的风险回报比。
逐段跳播
让我们看看Five。首先,我觉得Five很有意思。看看过去14年的平均回报率。Five只有15年的历史,我们不包含2026年,因为我们还没有……我们可以把它拉出来,它不会改变9月的情况。
但你可以看到接下来的几个月都很强劲。下半年所有月份都有60%或更高的上涨概率,大多数月份在70%左右。每个月的平均回报都是正面的。这家公司似乎非常喜欢下半年。
Let's take a look at five. So, first of all, I thought it was pretty interesting when I looked at five. Look at all these average returns over the last 14 years. So, five only goes back 15 years and we're not including 2026 because we haven't gotten I mean, we we could pull it here. It's not going to change September. Um, but you can see these upcoming months are all pretty strong. All of them have the chance of that calendar month going up 60% or more the second half of the year or all 60% or higher with most of the months up around 70%. The average return every month fairly positive. This is a a a company that seems to really like the second half of the year.
如果我们看Five Below,我们刚刚看到了突破。现在接近8月底。8月底会发生什么?如果我们回撤并触及上升的20日均线,正好在进入9月之前,那可能是考虑买入的好时机。在我看来,我们有一个上升趋势,漂亮的杯柄形态,几乎回到20日均线,然后突破。
从大约250到175的测量,向上测量到325。所以,再次,回撤到接近240、245,从风险回报角度看开始变得非常好,考虑到这只股票在年底有良好的季节性。所以Five Below是另一只值得考虑的股票。
So, if we look at five below, we just got a breakout. So, it's toward the end of August. What happens maybe at the end of August? If we pull back and hit that rising 20-day moving average just as we're about to go into September, that could be a great time to think about getting into the stock. It looks to me like we had an uptrend, nice little cup, handle almost back to the 20-day, and a breakout. this measurement from roughly 250 down to 175 measures up to 325. So again, a pullback closer to 240 245 starts to look really good from a reward to risk standpoint knowing that this stock does have nice seasonality going into the end of the year. So five five below that is another stock that is worth considering.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $FIVE 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。