黄金更可能回调而非创出新低,但顶部尚未确认;跌破 4600 支撑将增加回调的可能性。
逐段跳播
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就黄金而言,我认为黄金创出新低的潜力不大。这仍在合理可能性的范围内,但比我预期的可能性要大一些。我把它留在图表上,但我认为黄金更有可能只是回调,而不是创出新低。现在,我要提醒你,我仍然没有任何迹象表明黄金已经见顶。
我需要跌破4600支撑位,才能更有可能认为我们处于回调中。如你所见,看起来我们目前正在经历修正性回调。这可能是向下的1-2浪吗?有可能,但我不会急于下结论。我想先看看我们如何跌破支撑位,然后再对更大的下行空间做出进一步判断。目前,这就是我所关注的。
As far as gold is concerned, again, gold I I don't think has a strong potential for a lower low. Still within the realm of a reasonable possibility more so than I would prefer. And I'm leaving that on the chart, but I think it's a bit more likely that gold just gets a retracement rather than a lower low. Now, I'm going to warn you I still have no indication that gold has even topped. I need to take out the 4600 support for gold to make it more likely that we are in that pullback. And as you can see, I mean it's looking like we are getting a corrective pullback so far. Could this be a one two to the downside? It could be, but I'm not I'm not I'm not jumping on that. Not just yet. I want to see how we get below support before I make any further determinations of bigger downside. For now, this is what I'm looking for.
他说在等什么
他自己说在等的东西,一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次,我们不合并,也不判断它有没有兑现。
这个频道对 $GLD 的历次判断
ElliottWaveTrader 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。