GLD在反弹后技术面表现疲弱,且历史上修复所需时间较长,因此不适合持有。
逐段跳播
GLD。你问得很好。所以 GLD,当我们看到那次抛物线式的上涨时,我以为这会是一个长期顶部。我做空的是白银,不是 GLD。我确实做空了白银,但我没有一直持有到 20,这是一张月线图。
所以,看到 GLD 在月线图上从那个买入形态反弹得如此强劲,我其实有点意外。所以,那是月线。这是周线。周线看起来不太妙。我们有过那次大反弹,但它回落得太多了。所以,现在我们希望看到它重新收复那条 20 均线并稍微筑底。
如果它能做到,那么也许它有机会重新上涨。但就目前而言,GLD 看起来不好。我们有那个小平台、拉升、下跌,然后筑底,接着有点像跌破。所以 GLD 看起来不太妙。如果我持有它,如果我持有它,我会担心。
我可能已经出局了。但如果你持有它,看看它能否稍微筑底,然后开始重新上涨。那样的话,你可以用今天的低点作为你的止损位。但 GLD,它不是那种我会乐于持有的东西。不像 Palunteer,不像你知道的以太坊、比特币,这东西可能要过一段时间才真正准备好重新上涨。
如果我给你看 GLD,如果我们回到大概 20,我职业生涯的早期,其实是 2009 年,或者我不知道它是什么时候见顶的,2012 年。我的意思是,它花了,这是 2011 年,2011 年 8 月。
它是什么时候突破那个高点的?它花了,我的意思是,好吧,也许它在这里稍微突破了一点。但说真的,它一直花到 24 年。所以,从 2011 年到 2024 年才让你回本。我的意思是,差不多是这样。
甚至在这里,那是在 2020 年一切上涨的时候。所以它花了大概九年,9 到 15 年,14 年才真正突破那个顶部。不是每个顶部最终都会被突破。不是马上。我们在 Q's 也就是纳斯达克上也看到了这一点,当它在 2020 年 3 月见顶时。
抱歉,是 2001 年。它花了 16 年才真正突破那个高点。所以,你知道,我不希望你认为,哦,黄金总是上涨。当然。但如果它要花 20 年才让你回本,持有它值得吗?不,不总是,对吧?
通常不值得。所以 GLD,我喜欢这轮上涨,但我对这次回调并不兴奋。它一直不好。这不是我个人会持有的东西。
GLD. It's It's good that you asked. So GLD, I thought this is going to be a long-term top when we saw that parabolic uh move to the upside. I shorted silver, not GLD. I did silver short, but I didn't keep it all the way to to the 20 on this is a monthly chart.
So, I was actually a little bit surprised to see GLD bounce as hard as it did off that off that buy setup on the monthly chart. So, now that's the monthly. Here's the weekly. The weekly is not looking too hot.
We had that big bounce, but it's come it's come back in too much. So, now we want to see it reclaim that 20 and base a little bit. If it can do that, then maybe it has a chance of going back up.
But as is GLD does not look good. We have that little base pop drop and then base and then kind of a breakdown. So GLD is not looking too hot. If I was in it, if I was in it, I'd be worried.
I'd be probably out of it already. But if you're in it, see if it can base a little bit and then start to go back up. In which case, you can use today's low as your stop. But GLD um it's not something that I would be thrilled to own.
Unlike Palunteer, unlike you know Ethereum, Bitcoin, this thing might take a while before it's actually ready to go back up. If I were to show you GLD from if we go back to like 20 early part of my career really 20 2009 or I don't know when it topped out 2012.
I mean, it took this is 2011, August 2011. When did when did it exceed that high? It took I mean, okay, maybe it exceeded it a little bit here. But really, it took all the way until 24.
So, from 2011 till 2024 to get your money back. I mean, pretty much. And even here, that's like in 2020 when everything went higher. So it took like nine years, 9 to 15 years, 14 years for it to actually take out the top.
Not every top eventually gets taken out. Not right away. We saw that in the Q's also the NASDAQ when it topped out in in Mar in in 2020. I'm sorry, in 2001. It took 16 years for it to actually take out that high.
So, you know, I don't want you to think, oh, well, gold always goes up. Sure. But if it takes 20 years to get your money back, is is it worth it to hold? Not not always, right?
Usually is not. So GLD, I love the rally, but I am not thrilled about the pullback. It's hasn't been good. It's not something I would hold personally.
这个频道对 $GLD 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。