$GLW

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Business is Booming for Corning. Time to Buy?
Parkev Tatevosian, CFA发布 2026-08-29 · 17 段内容
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17 段内容
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康宁的业务正在蓬勃发展,因为市场对其光连接解决方案的需求强劲,尤其是在企业网络领域,其中生成式人工智能产品的销售额同比增长了近一倍。

Business is booming for Corning as demand for its optical connectivity solutions, particularly within enterprise networks, where generative AI product sales nearly doubled year over year.

总体而言,该公司在最近一个完整季度的销售额为 47.4 亿美元,较去年同期增长 17%。管理团队对其长期前景表示乐观,并宣布了一项“Springboard 2030-40”计划,预计到 2026 年底销售额年化运行率将达到 200 亿美元,到 2028 年底达到 300 亿美元,到 2030 年底达到 400 亿美元。

Overall, the company reported $4.74 billion in sales in its most recently completed quarter, and that was up 17% from the same time last year. The management team sounded optimistic about their long-term prospects, announcing a spring board 2030-40 plan where they expect their sales targeting annualized run rate of $20 billion by the end of 2026, $30 billion by the end of 2028, and $40 billion by the end of 2030.

那么,这一切是否意味着康宁股票是人工智能股票投资者的买入机会?康宁在过去十年中已经展现了惊人的增长。

So, does all of this mean that Corning stock is a buying opportunity for AI stock investors? Already, Corning has demonstrated phenomenal growth over the previous decade.

2017 年的收入总计约为 90 亿美元,而在过去十二个月期间,这一数字几乎翻了一番,达到 170 亿美元。我之前强调的那些数据表明,康宁的管理团队预计收入将从现在开始加速增长,并达到几乎是当前水平两倍的水平。

Revenue in 2017 totaled about $9 billion, and that's more almost doubled to $17 billion over the trailing 12-month period. And those figures I highlighted earlier suggest that Corning's management team expects revenue to accelerate from this point forward and reach levels that are nearly double where they are today.

康宁在正确的时间、正确的地点,拥有正确的商业机会,这对投资者来说是个好消息,他们看到股价在 2026 年大幅上涨。

Corning is in the right place at the right time with the right business opportunity, and that's been great news for investors that have seen the share price jump considerably in 2026.

但就康宁而言,它在展示收入增长的同时,也展示了毛利率和营业利润率的改善。它与 Meta Platforms、Amazon、Nvidia 等公司的战略合作关系有助于公司提前规划,这使得运营变得稍微容易一些。

But in Corning's case, it is demonstrating improving gross and operating profit margins, while also demonstrating revenue growth. Its strategic relationships with Meta Platforms, Amazon, Nvidia, and others are helping the company plan ahead, which makes operations a little bit more easier.

在过去十二个月期间,其营业利润率总计为 16.5%,这是自 2018 年以来的最高水平。管理团队预计盈利能力将持续改善。

Its operating profit margin totaled 16 and 1/2% over the trailing 12-month period, and that's the highest since 2018. The management team is forecasting continued improvements in profitability.

投入资本回报率也在改善。在过去十二个月期间,公司报告的 ROIC 为 9.6%,但在最近一个完整季度,ROIC 进一步改善,进入中双位数区间。

Returns on invested capital are also improving. Over a trailing 12-month period, the company reported 9.6% ROIC, but over the most recently completed quarter, the ROIC improved further heading into the mid-double-digit range.

管理层对这一类别也持乐观态度,指出预计未来几个季度和未来几年将有所增长。我提到了与其合作伙伴的长期安排,这也有助于降低在贵公司投资资本的风险。

Management is also optimistic about this category, noting that it expects increases in future quarters and future years. I mentioned longer-term arrangements with its partners, and that also helps lower risks of investing capital in your company.

我提到康宁在 2026 年为投资者带来了丰厚的回报,但该股目前处于下跌趋势。它一度交易在 250 美元以上,现在已跌至 147 美元。尽管如此,它今年迄今仍上涨了 67% 以上。

I mentioned Corning has delivered excellent returns for investors in 2026, but the stock is on a downtrend here. It was trading at above $250 at one point and now it's down to $147. Still, it's up over 67% year-to-date.

而最近的下跌带来了更好的估值。此前在峰值时,其远期市盈率为 60。现在约为其一半,远期市盈率为 34。对于一家具有这种增长前景、利润率与ROIC不断改善的公司来说,这似乎是一个合理的估值,甚至在我看来略有低估。

And that decrease more recently has caused a better valuation. Previously at the peak, it was trading at a forward PE of 60. It's now trading at about half that at a forward price to earnings of 34. Which for a company with this kind of growth prospect with improving margins and ROIC, it seems like a reasonable valuation, even slightly undervalued in my opinion.

我还更新了对康宁的贴现现金流估值,上调了对现金流的估计。我对康宁的所有修正导致公允价值估计上调至每股93美元。

I also updated my discounted cash flow valuation for Corning, revising my estimates for cash flow higher. All of my revisions for Corning resulted in an increasing fair value estimate up to $93 per share.

然而,这远低于该股目前147美元的交易价格。即使考虑到我的安全边际,使用我的贴现现金流估值,该股看起来也被高估了。

However, that's well below the $147 the stock is currently trading for. Even adjusting for my margin of safety, the stock looks overvalued when using my discounted cash flow valuation.

因此,总体而言,我对估值得到了一个混合的图景。远期市盈率显示该股略有低估,而我的贴现现金流估值则显示该股被高估。

So, comprehensively I'm getting a mixed picture on valuation. The forward PE ratio was showing me a stock that's slightly undervalued, while my discounted cash flow valuation is showing me a stock that's overvalued.

总体而言,我认为该股在当前市场价格下看起来略有高估。所以,回答我在标题中提出的问题:康宁股票在这次下跌中是否是买入机会?我会说不。我会说还不是时候。

Comprehensively, I would say that the stock looks slightly overvalued at its current market prices. So, to answer the question I posed in the headline, is Corning stock a buying opportunity on this drop? I would say no. I would say not yet.

而且我对这个评级的信心水平相对较低,因为这家公司一直在实现如此多的改善,而且修正一直在持续上调。而且似乎所有这些AI公司,每3个月我回去都必须上调我的估计,因为需求比我预期的要强劲,而我对整个AI行业的预期一直相当乐观。

And I have a relatively low conviction level on that ranking because this company has been delivering so much improvement, and the revisions have consistently been moving higher. And seemingly all of these AI companies, every 3 months I go back and I have to revise my estimates higher because demand comes in stronger than I was expecting, and my expectations have been pretty bullish on the AI industry overall.

所以,如果3个月后,当公司公布下一季度投资者更新时,我的修正导致公允价值估计上调,并且我随后修改我的买入、持有或卖出评级,我也不会感到惊讶。但就目前而言,我将其评为持有。

So, I wouldn't be surprised if 3 months from now, when the company reports their next quarterly investor update, my revisions cause an upward movement in the fair value estimate, and I revise my buy, hold, or sell rating then. But, for now, I'm ranking it as a hold.

以上 17 段为这条视频中谈及 $GLW 的全部内容。

他说在等什么

Next quarterly investor update
暂无中文转述,仅英文原句可核对。
他没有说用什么来检验

这个频道对 $GLW 的历次判断

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-08-29本条
康宁的业务正在蓬勃发展,因为市场对其光连接解决方案的需求强劲,尤其是在企业网络领域,其中生成式人工智能产品的销售额同比增长了近一倍。
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