鉴于AI持续增长，GOOG是强力买入，预计到2027年股价将达到400美元。
逐段跳播
其中之一是谷歌。所以，让我在这里输入GOOG。顺便说一下，GOOG和GOOGL的区别只是投票权。所以，这不是很重要。对于这两只股票的不同，没有太多需要担心的。它们是同一回事。只有其中一只赋予投票权，另一只没有。
One of them is Google. So, let me Enter GOOG here. By the way, the difference between GOOG and GOOGL are rights Vote only. Therefore, not This is very important. no There is much cause for concern. Regarding these two stocks The different ones. They are the same The thing. Only one of them Grants voting rights The other one does not.
现在，我在谷歌赚了98,000美元，而且我实际上管理着两个策略，两个不同的东西，视频里展示了，一切都是透明的。很明显我是个输家，但我的很多期权都到期了。我在卖出谷歌的期权。
Now, I Earning $98,000 in Google, and I actually I manage two strategies Two different things The video, yes, showed Everything is transparent. It is clear I'm a loser, but it's over. Validity of many My options. I am doing Selling options on Google.
但我认为买入谷歌的期权会非常好。我对谷歌整体非常乐观。我相信研究将继续爆发。很明显他们在人工智能领域有强劲的活动并且正在增长，他们投资于此。事实上，他们在人工智能上投入了很多，以至于最近一个季度产生了负现金流，但这将会改变。很明显这是一次性的事情。
But I think that Buying options will Very good on Google. I am very optimistic about Google in general. I believe The research will continue in The explosion. It is clear They have strong activity and growing in the field artificial intelligence They invest in it. in In fact, they have invested Much in intelligence So artificial that they They generated cash flow Negative in the quarter The latter, but this It will change. It is clear that This is a one-time thing.
但没错，你可以看到谷歌当时支付的价格大约是每股400美元，现在股价是335美元。所以，我认为有可能在2027年再次达到400美元。
But yes, you can see Google was paying here. Around $400 per share, The stock is now at 335. So, I think it's possible To reach $400 Again in 2027.
所以，策略很简单。就是买入长期看涨期权。我会选择一个日期，在九月。实际上，我甚至可以去十二月，2027年12月17日。然后，我喜欢的方式是再次买入深度实值期权。深度实值，是的，我喜欢这个术语。
所以，让我们选择执行价格为320。你可以看到大约70的德尔塔，这几乎是我最喜欢的。这里是66德尔塔，或者67德尔塔。隐含波动率是35。因此，它不高，这实际上很好，因为低隐含波动率意味着期权的价格更便宜。
So, strategy It's very easy. It's just a purchase Long "Lip" purchase option The term. I will choose a date In September. In reality, I can even go to December. December 17, 2027. Then, the way I like She does it again. Buying "Deep In-the-Money". Good? Lib options Deeply within the profit margin ( Deep in the money. Yes, "Dibs" . I love that. I love this The term. So, yes, Let's choose an execution price of 320 here. . You can see that Approximately 70 deltas, which are My point is almost Favorite. 66 Delta is here, Or 67 Delta. Fluctuation The implied value is 35. Therefore, it is It's not high, and this is in The reality is good, because Low implied volatility It actually means price It's cheaper to buy options.
那么，当买入长期期权时，隐含波动率低被认为是好事吗？是的，可以。波动率预期会增加。基本上，如果波动率增加，期权的价值也会增加。所以，即使股价不变，你的长期期权的价值也可能仅仅因为隐含波动率的增加而上升。
因此，隐含波动率上升对于持有长期期权来说是好事。
So, is volatility considered The implicit low something Good when buying an option Leap? Yes, it can. The fluctuations are expected to increase. Basically, and if it increases Volatility increases value The option. So, even if you don't The share price changes, Value of the "Lip" option With you you can rise Simply as a result of the increase Implied volatility. permission, Implied volatility is considered It's a good thing when It rises and you have a choice "Lip" is long-term.
明白了吗？所以，执行价格320这里，期权费是70美元。因此，这里的盈亏平衡点大约是390美元。这很贵。如果我们相信谷歌的股价会达到400美元，那么这里能实现的利润不会很多。然而，需要注意的是，我认为谷歌在2027年12月这个长期日期之前可以达到每股400美元。
是的，如果价格在2027年夏天达到400美元，那么它的内在价值将是80美元，对吧？
Do Is this understood? So, price Execution 320 here is 70 Dollars. Therefore, The break-even point here is 390 Approximately one dollar. This Expensive. If we believe that Google's stock price will reach $400, it won't be There is a lot of profit Which can be achieved here. However, the caveats are I think Google It can reach up to 400 Dollars per share before time Long from December 2027. Yes If the price reaches 400 Dollars in the summer of 2027, It will have value within The money (in-the-money) is worth 80 Dollars, right?
价格将是400美元。如果执行价格是320美元，你就赢了80美元。因此，它的价值至少是80美元，因为在夏天或六月，距离十二月还有5个月，所以它会保留很多时间价值。很难提前确定剩余的时间价值或θ的大小，但我说如果还有5个月，我们现在可以做一个比较。
The price will be $400. And if the execution price $320, you're a winner For $80. permission Its value will be 80 At least one dollar, Because it will be in the summer Or June, there will still be 5 Months until December, so He will keep a lot of Time value (theta). from It is very difficult to determine The magnitude of "theta" or value The time period that will remain The option is available In advance, but I say If there are 5 months left, we can Make a comparison now.
第一步是计算当谷歌股价达到400美元时，我们在夏天能获得的退出价格。我会大致估算一下。我给你们展示。首先，第一步是确定内在价值。那是80美元，对吧？所以，80美元将是内在价值。
明白了吗？我们知道我们以70美元买入。它至少值80美元。但是，超过80美元的部分是多少？为什么不看看他现在还有5个月到期？所以，5个月大约相当于5乘以30，也就是150天。让我们选一个一月。
现在我们可以看到，一个期权，你知道，让我们选一个实值期权。我们可以看到价格320将是实值的。它还有5个月。这个期权内在价值为15，但期权价值是36。所以，如果我们计算，不是吗？
335减去320等于15，但它的交易价格是36。所以，差额大约是20美元。因此，这个期权包含大约20美元的时间价值。好的。所以，大约5个月相当于这个执行价格下20美元的时间价值，不是吗？
我只是用一些近似的方法，有点不同和奇怪，因为我相信观察事物并计算和估算是一种手段。
The first step is calculation The exit price we will receive On him in the summer when Google's stock reaches 400 dollar. I will appreciate That's basically it. I'll show you. Firstly, The first step is Determining the value within the money. That's 80 Dollars, right? So, $80 will be Value within money. Do Is this understood? We know We buy it for 70. It will cost $80. at least. But, how More than $80? Why don't we just look at He currently has 5 options remaining. months up to date Finished? So, 5 months That's roughly equivalent to 5 in 30. That is, 150 days. Let's choose a month January. Now we can Seeing an option is like You know, let's choose An option within the money. We can see that the price is 320 It will be inside the money. He has 5 months left. This option is within the range Profit by 15, but The value of the option is 36. Therefore, If we do the calculations, Isn't that so? 335 minus 320 It equals 15, but it is traded At a price of 36. So, the difference There are about 20 Dollars. Thus, it contains This option is based on value Timeframe of $20 . Good. So, about 5 Months equivalent to bonus Worth $20 This execution price, isn't it? like that? I'm just doing By some accounts approximate method Different and strange, because I I believe that looking at Things and their calculations And appreciating it is a means
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