GOOGL到2027年夏季达到400美元,将使以70美元买入的LEAP期权获得约50%的回报。
逐段跳播
如果我们相信谷歌的股价将达到400美元,这里不会有太多利润可以实现。然而,需要注意的是,我认为谷歌在2027年12月之前很久就能达到每股400美元。
If we believe that Google's stock price will reach $400, it won't be There is a lot of profit Which can be achieved here. However, the caveats are I think Google It can reach up to 400 Dollars per share before time Long from December 2027.
是的,如果价格在2027年夏天达到400美元,它内在价值将是80美元,对吧?价格将是400美元。如果执行价是320美元,你赚80美元。
Yes If the price reaches 400 Dollars in the summer of 2027, It will have value within The money (in-the-money) is worth 80 Dollars, right? The price will be $400. And if the execution price $320, you're a winner For $80.
它的价值将至少是80美元,因为如果是在夏天或六月,距离十二月还有5个月,所以它会保留很多时间价值(theta)。
permission Its value will be 80 At least one dollar, Because it will be in the summer Or June, there will still be 5 Months until December, so He will keep a lot of Time value (theta).
很难确定“theta”或剩余时间价值的大小,但我说如果还有5个月,我们现在可以进行比较。第一步是计算当谷歌股价达到400美元时,我们在夏天会得到的退出价格。
from It is very difficult to determine The magnitude of "theta" or value The time period that will remain The option is available In advance, but I say If there are 5 months left, we can Make a comparison now. The first step is calculation The exit price we will receive On him in the summer when Google's stock reaches 400 dollar.
我会很感激,基本上就是这样。我会展示给你。首先,第一步是确定内在价值。那是80美元,对吧?所以,80美元将是内在价值。
I will appreciate That's basically it. I'll show you. Firstly, The first step is Determining the value within the money. That's 80 Dollars, right? So, $80 will be Value within money.
明白了吗?我们知道我们以70买入。它将至少值80美元。但是,超过80美元多少?为什么我们不直接看看它目前还有5个月到期?所以,5个月大约相当于5乘以30。也就是150天。
Do Is this understood? We know We buy it for 70. It will cost $80. at least. But, how More than $80? Why don't we just look at He currently has 5 options remaining. months up to date Finished? So, 5 months That's roughly equivalent to 5 in 30. That is, 150 days.
我们选一个月份,比如一月。现在我们可以看到,一个期权,比如一个价内期权。我们可以看到价格是320,它将是价内的。它还有5个月到期。这个期权在15的盈利范围内,但期权的价值是36。
Let's choose a month January. Now we can Seeing an option is like You know, let's choose An option within the money. We can see that the price is 320 It will be inside the money. He has 5 months left. This option is within the range Profit by 15, but The value of the option is 36.
因此,如果我们计算一下,不是吗?335减去320等于15,但它的交易价格是36。所以,差额大约有20美元。因此,这个期权包含基于价值的时间价值20美元。
Therefore, If we do the calculations, Isn't that so? 335 minus 320 It equals 15, but it is traded At a price of 36. So, the difference There are about 20 Dollars. Thus, it contains This option is based on value Timeframe of $20 .
好的。所以,大约5个月相当于价值20美元的溢价,这个执行价格,不是吗?像那样?我只是用一些近似的方法,不同且奇怪,因为我相信看待事物及其计算并欣赏它是一种不断学习的方式。
Good. So, about 5 Months equivalent to bonus Worth $20 This execution price, isn't it? like that? I'm just doing By some accounts approximate method Different and strange, because I I believe that looking at Things and their calculations And appreciating it is a means Always learning.
好吗?有时在我的社区里,我会提供一些奇怪的解释。我提供奇怪而不同的解释,因为我认为这有助于人们理解事物。
Good? Sometimes in my community, I offer some strange explanations. And I offer explanations Strange and different because I I think this helps People need to understand things.
好吗?对我来说,我喜欢观察边缘,以便理解什么可能会崩溃,什么可能会非常好,什么可能会非常糟糕。所以,我只是想进行这些计算,用近似的方法,以便以不同的方式理解“Lip”期权的利润。
Good? For me, I like looking at the edges To be able to understand what might It collapses, and what might go Very well, and what It might go badly Extremely. So, I just want Performing these calculations The approximation to be able to Understanding the profits of the "Lip" option In a different way.
允许,是的,320,不是吗?这等于36,但它在15的盈利范围内,所以它实际上代表大约20到21美元的时间价值,为期5个月。
permission, Yes, 320, isn't it? This equals 36, but it's in Profit range of 15, So it is actually It represents approximately 20 to 21 Dollars as a time value For a 5-month period.
好吗?回到我们的第一个例子,如果我们有80美元。好的,让我们回到这里。因此,如果这个期权的价值是我们支付的,它花费70美元。它将变成400美元。
Good? Returning to Our first example, if We have $80. Okay, let's go back here. Therefore, if the value This is the option we pay for It costs $70. It will become $400.
这意味着它将在盈利范围内价值80美元,此外时间价值不少于20美元,使得期权价值至少100美元,甚至可能更多。
this This means it will be worth $80 in the range Profit, in addition Time value of no less than 20 dollars, making The option is worth $100 At least, and perhaps more .
好吗?这非常好,因为从70美元到略高于100美元,这是如果谷歌的股票达到400,她将获得的价值,好吗?这意味着大约50%。我觉得那非常有吸引力。因为从现在到夏季六月,有9个月。
Good? This is good Very much so, because it's from 70 dollars to more A little over $100, This is the value that will reach She has the choice if it arrives Google's stock to 400, okay This means approximately 50%. I find that very appealing. Because from now until June of summer, there are 9 Months.
所以,9个月50%,那正好在我认为优秀的范围内。考虑这个在9个月内扩张50%,这是最受欢迎的峰值水平,最好的来自沃伦·巴菲特,而且实际上比任何投资者下注并获胜的运气都要好。
So, 9 months At 50%, that's exactly it Within the range that I consider Excellent. Consider this Expansion by 50% in 9 Most popular peak level, best From Warren Buffett, And literally better than any An investor makes a bet and wins Luck.
这实际上是我认为惊人的峰值。不是吗?所以,这正是我所说的。关于他。9个月50%对我来说将是一个惊人的目标。
This is literally the peak What I consider amazing. Isn't that so? So, this That's exactly what I'm talking about. About him. 9 months at 50% It would be an amazing goal For me.
它已经以不同的方式实现了许多次,而且不仅仅通过“Lip”期权。我尝试过不同的策略,但通常当我获得这种类型的回报时,我非常非常高兴。
It has achieved That many, many times In different ways, and not only Through the "Lip" options. I have tried strategies Different, but generally When I get this The type of return, I am I am extremely happy.
我有一个期权挑战。“莱比锡”在一月,从一月到七月,这是一个为期一年的挑战,我在七月完成了它,因为我达到了5万,当我变成10万时,在七月,我遇到了并说:“哦,伙计们,我知道我们结束得太早了,但你们是否因为我们应该提前结束而不高兴?
我们已经将5万的组合转换为10万,所以我们几乎完成了。”
I had a choice challenge. "Leipzig" in January, and January to July, it was A challenge for a year, I finished it in July Because I reached 50 A thousand, and when I became 100,000 in July, held I met and said: "Oh Guys, I know we're finishing It's too early to tell, but Are you upset because we Should we end this early? We have converted a portfolio worth 50,000 to 100,000 So we're done "Almost here."
然后我说:“你们准备好进行个人课程了吗?之前很多人提供,因为他们对我取得的极其积极的结果感到高兴。好吗?因此,他们非常高兴。他们说:‘是的,当然。我们可以结束这个。现在太早了。
我准备好继续前进并进行一些个人培训。’所以,是的。”
Then I said, " Are you ready? For individual sessions? Before Many people are offering Because they were happy extremely positive results I achieved it. Good? Therefore, They were extremely happy. They said, "Yes, definitely. We can end this. It's too early now. I Ready to move forward And do some training "Individual." So, yes.
我的意思是,说实话,这太棒了。对他们来说太棒了。对我来说也太棒了。这对双方来说都是一个有利可图的情况。所以,也许我们会在明年一月再次重复。但是,是的,这是我将要看的第一个交易,它是谷歌。
I mean, to be perfectly honest, it was It's amazing. He was Amazing to them. It was amazing to me . It was a profitable situation For both sides. So, perhaps We will repeat that in January Again. But, yes, this It is the first trade Which I will look at and it is Google.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $GOOGL 的历次判断
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