$HOOD

HOOD是长期买入标的;只要守住92上方,技术形态便有望创下历史新高,目标至少200(可能达300)。

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《Monthly Crypto Webinar Series: September 19th, 2026》
ElliottWaveTrader发布 2026-09-22 · 8 段内容
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8 段内容
6:0659:03

我认为 Circle、HOOD、Robin Hood、MSTR 值得关注,不过我对 MSTR 不太感兴趣,这是我的看法,但它是我密切跟踪的标的,我在寻找一个进场理由,无论是做多还是做空。

I think Circle, HOD, Hood, Robin Hood, MSTR, not too interesting in MSTR, my take, but I, you know, it's something I'm watching closely, looking for a reason to get in whether long or short.

另一个是 HOOD。HOOD 全年的走势图都很棘手,但在我看来,只要它守住 92,目前就已经为创历史新高做好了准备。

Now, the other one is Hood. Hood has been a tricky chart all year long, but it's set up for all-time highs right now in my view, as long as it holds 92.

它可能走的两个方向是:这一 B 浪至少应该走到 200,另一种可能是走到 300,也就是我第五浪所在的位置。它有可能再走一个 B 浪然后再次回落,至少要到这波走势的五浪走完之后出现一个更高的低点为止。

所以它是会从这里立刻上涨,还是在这个第二浪中走得更深,我目前还不知道。但没错,它看起来不错。我的意思是,就是更高的低点、更高的低点,而且我们至少已经具备了突破这个区间的条件。然后,基于结构,它应该会穿过这里的这个高点。

我看不出有什么理由它需要大幅休整,除非这第三条线恰好落在那个高点上方。所以那是有可能的,但根据我目前看到的情况,它似乎不应该在那个位置停留太久。随着我们接近那个历史新高,我的看法可能会改变,但没错,至少能看到 200。

所以,用这个标签的底部来算,至少 200。它有可能再延伸一点。所以那个标的还不错。

Um, the the two directions it could go is it should at least go to 200 for this B and the alternate as that it goes to 300 in wherever my wave five is Um it it's possible that it puts in another Bwave and comes back down again at least until we have a higher low out after the after five waves in this move.

So whether it's going to go immediately up from here or um or go deeper in this wave two, I do not know yet. But yeah, it's looking good. Um, I mean, just higher lows, higher lows, and and we're um we're at least, you know, over the we're we're at least set up to break out over this range.

And then, um, it based on structure, it should run through this um this high here. I don't see a reason why it would take much of a break unless somehow this third line lines up like, you know, just above that high.

So, that could be a possible, but it doesn't look like it should spend a lot of time there um based on what I read now. And my view may change as we get into that all-time high, but yeah, at least 200 out of it.

So, using the bottom of this labels, at least 200. It's possible it extends a little bit further. [snorts] Uh, so that one's good.

好。如果我是刚接触 HOOD 的新手,什么样的止损位比较合适?让我把 HOOD 说清楚。这听起来可能有点疯狂。对我来说,HOOD 是一个长期买入标的。就我的长期投资而言,只要它没有持续跌破 59,我就不会被这只股票吓跑。

我不是说它会跌到那里。所以这就是长期观点。所以,当我们跌到这个蓝色区域时,我不会逃离它。我实际上会加仓,因为它现在变得划算了,对吧?因为长期走势图显示,我不是说我们现在就忽略时间,我的图表显示到 2040 年它会到 13,000。

那还很遥远。不要押注时间。Robin Hood 作为一家公司,还有大把时间可以开始走向失败。

All right. Um, if I'm new to the game on Hood, what would be a good stop? Well, so let me um let me be really clear about Hood. Um, this is going to sound crazy. To me, Hood is a long-term buy.

Um uh and I to me like for my long-term investing, I'm not scared out of this stock until it um sustains below 59. I'm not saying it gets there. Um so that's the long-term view.

So I, you know, we get down to this blue box. I'm not running from from it. I'm actually getting bigger because it's now becoming a a deal, right? because the long-term chart is like, you know, I'm not saying we, you know, now ignore time, my chart, because like this would suggest by 2040 it's at 13,000.

That's a long way off. Um, and don't don't bet on time. Um, you know, it has lots of time for Robin Hood to start failing as a company.

不过,还有一个问题是,我为什么把它当作一只加密货币股票?因为实际上他们大部分收入来自加密货币,这挺有意思的。而且我认为预测市场这块真的很疯狂。就它所服务的人群而言,它是一家非常……的公司。

But, um, oh, and the other question too is why do I have this as a crypto stock? Because actually they make most their money on crypto, which is funny. And I and I think Prediction Markets, which is like is really crazy. there there's so it's such a den company in terms of the um the people that it serves. [laughter]

好。那么这只股票……哦,抱歉。我在看 Coin。抱歉。我在看 Coin。让我……抱歉,我刚才看错图了。Coin 59,Robin Hood 14。好。我不是说它会跌到那里。抱歉,刚才有点走神。

从长期选股的角度,14 是我关注的位置。我们会进入这个区间的任何位置。好。我提这个的原因是,你现在可能不想交易它,但我只想说清楚,虽然你可能想要一个更紧的止损,可能会被止损出局,但当它跌到 40 多的时候,我会变成一个激进的价值买家。

基本上,因为从长期走势图来看,在我看来那简直是捡便宜。不过,我并不是因为指望靠它发财才激进买入。我是谨慎地买入,因为一旦它到了 40 多,它可能会回调一段时间,甚至跌到 14,对吧?

所以我只想把这一点说清楚,给你一个背景,如果我说止损出局,我不想显得不真诚,你可能在一笔激进的交易中被止损出局,而我可能反而在更长期地加仓。

Um all right. Uh so then the stock Oh, sorry. I'm looking at coin. Sorry. I'm looking at coin. Let me let me sorry I was on the wrong chart. Coin 59 Robin Hood 14. Okay. I'm not saying it gets down there.

So long-term chart on Sorry. Sorry to to lose my head there. Um 14 is where I'm at from a longterm selection. We get anywhere in this box. Okay. And now the reason I'm bringing that up, you not be may not be wanting to trade that right now, but I just want to be very clear that while you might want a tighter stop and you might stop out, we get down into the 40s.

I'm becoming an aggressive like value buyer. Okay? Basically, because in terms of its long-term chart, that's that's a steal from my perspective. Now, I'm not aggressively buying because I expect to get rich off it.

I'm carefully buying because once it's in the 40s, it can draw down for a while and even go to 14, right? So, I just want to be clear about that just to give context to um you know, if I say stop out, I don't want to be disingenuous like you may stop out of an aggressive trade, I may be getting in even more long.

就短期交易而言,只要它没有持续跌破 2,我就不担心,这意味着一旦我们跌破 90,抱歉,是 92。一旦我们跌破 92,就打开了进入下面这个蓝色区域的大门。再说一次,目前这个蓝色区域在近期内是不在考虑范围内的,因为图表上短期正在发生的情况。

所以对我来说,那是最谨慎的止损位,意味着它会使一切失效。我的意思是,如果你想更激进,你甚至可以用这个低点。只是这个低点的问题在于,这可能是一个 B 浪。这可能最终变成一个 C 浪。

再说一次,如果这波调整想走得更久一点,它可能会挑战 92,对吧?所以你在这里止损出局,然后你会想买入。你在 102 止损出局有什么意义呢,如果 92 是最理想的买入位置,对吧?

我不是说我们会到 92,但就这个形态而言,那才是捡便宜。那才是价值买入,可以说是你能预期买到这只股票的最低价值,在 92 一带。我不该说 92,因为严格来说 92 低于 9230。

然后,如果你想对止损更加谨慎,因为有时候第二浪会跌破支撑,然后急拉反转。好,那就完全失效了。意思是我不再预期它会涨到 84 的上行目标。好。我的意思是,这总是有可能的。它在这个低点做一次流动性扫荡然后上涨,有很多可能性。

所以,如果你想的话,可以把止损放得更宽。好。我把这些读回给你。我的看法是,给你的交易更多空间,减小仓位。这一直是我对交易的看法。好。所以我会把所有合理的止损位都给你,让你自己选择怎么做。

我想说清楚。我不担心这个形态。对我个人来说,是这个,如果市场收在 92 以下,那就是我的止损。好,就这个即时形态而言,好吗?而且即使目前这个形态,如果能拿到 92,我可能还会加仓期权,因为那会是一笔非常快速、价值极佳的期权买入,比如买一些三个月期的期权之类的。

所以,这些就是价位。好。你可以从这些里任选一个作为止损,但总的来说我会建议,这不算建议,而是原则层面,给你的交易更多空间,减小仓位。这样你的交易会更成功。所以,102。好。92,然后最后,没有理由预期 70 的上行。

所以这些实际上就是所有价位,还有 84。84 和 70。好,你自己选止损。但再说一次,我只是给你一个交易原则。给你的交易更多空间,你的胜率会稍微高一点。减小仓位,这样你就不会总是爆仓,对吧?

只是一个普遍原则。那些……他们给你一个超紧的止损配超高杠杆,结果就是亏更多笔交易,更频繁地爆仓。

Um with respect to the short-term trade, I'm not concerned with it until we sustain below two, which means once we um break 90, sorry, 92. Once we break 92, um that opens a door to get into this blue box down here.

Okay. And again, right now that's off this blue box is off the table in the immediate future because of what's happening here short-term on the chart. So that to me is the most like careful stop, meaning it invalidates everything.

I mean, if you want to get more aggressive, you can even use this low. It's just the problem with this low is that is that um this could be a B. This could end up being a C. You know, again, if this if this correction wants to go a little bit longer and it may challenge 92, right?

So you stop out here and then you'd want to buy. you stop out at um what's the point of stopping out at 102 if um 92 is the most ideal place to buy, right? I'm not saying we get to 92, but in terms with respect to this setup, that's the steal.

That's the value buy uh so to speak, like the lowest value to expect to be able to buy this in the 92s. I shouldn't say 92 because technically 92 is below 9230. But um so uh and then if you want to be even more careful about your stop because sometimes wave twos break support um and then spike and reverse.

Okay, it's completely invalid. Like meaning I no longer expect it to go up to upside at 84. Okay. Um, I mean, it's always possible. It it does a liquidity rate on this low and then goes there's a lot of possibility.

So, you can open it up even further if you wanted to. Okay. So, I'm going to read that back to you. And my my take is give your trades more room, size down. That's always my take on trades.

Okay. So, I'm going to give you all the reasonable stops and I'll let you choose what you want to do. Um, I want to be very clear. Uh, I'm not worried about the setup. For me personally, it's this I'm going to let a if the market closes below 92, that's my stop.

Okay, for this immediate setup, okay? And even even uh even currently with this setup, I may be adding options if I can get 92 because that's, you know, that'd be a real quick option buy at a great value, you know, buy some like three-month options or something.

So, levels. Okay. So, and you can choose any of these for a stop, but I would I would suggest in general like in just just not advice per se, but principal level, give your trades more room, size down.

You you will have more successful trades that way. So, 102. Okay. 92 and then uh then lastly, you know, there's no reason to expect upsides at 70. Uh so those are all the levels actually and there's 84 too. 84 and 70.

Okay, you pick your stop. Uh but again, just you know, I'm giving you a trading principle there. Give your trades more room, you'll have more su, you'll have a slightly higher win rate.

Size down, then you're not blowing up all the time, right? Just a general principle. What do dens do? They they they give you a tight super tight stop with super leverage and then they're just losing more trades and they're blowing out more often. [snorts]

好,那么,你有一个长期高点吗?这张图的预测,问题在于,这一切的问题在于350。让我看看,如果我们真的想进入梦想空间6400,但好吧,这对这次通话中的任何人来说现在都不现实,对吧,这就像超级未来,市场在那之前会有很多次机会击垮这家公司,对吧。

我不,你知道,对我来说,此时此地对我来说就是在84到300之间交易一个区间,这对我来说足够了。对于未来,你知道,我甚至还能活着看到hood涨到6400吗,我不知道,愿上帝保佑我,让我留在这个地球上直到那时。

那会很美好,对吧?但我不能,谁知道未来呢,对吧?我们前面是什么?对这次通话中的我们所有人来说,什么是现实的?我们可以考虑在一个区间内交易,你知道,它可能跌到40多,但我会说在40到300之间。

这是我们未来交易的区间。而现在,它似乎至少想要200,然后才会看到更低的价位,在,你知道,在某种可交易的未来里,如果你愿意这么说的话。好。我不认为,我不认为像这样交易长期图表是现实的,直到我们某天跌到第二浪低点。

而这个第二浪可能就在90多这里。它有可能最终非常浅。但直到我们形成一个第二浪,个人来说,梦想这个是不现实的。

Um, all right. So, do you have a hood long-term high? Uh the projection again projection here for this chart is the problem is like the the issue with all of this is 350. Um let's see then if we really want to go dream space 6400 but like okay this is not realistic for anyone on this call to trade right now right this is like super future the market will have plenty of times to break this company before then right um I don't you know to me the the here and now to me is trading a range between 84 and 300 that's enough for me for the future you know am I even alive uh with um hood going to 6400 I don't know you May God save me until keep me on this earth until then.

That would be beautiful, right? But but I can't who knows the future, right? What's it what's ahead of us? What's a realistic, you know, for all of us on this call? We can consider trading a range between um you know, it could go lower into the 40s, but between I'm going to say 40 to 300.

That's our range to trade in future. And right now, it seems to want at least 200 before it sees anything lower at the at the um you know, in sort of the you know, tradable future, if you will.

Okay. I don't think I don't think um trading long-term charts like this are are realistic until we're we're down in the wave two lows someday. And this wave two can be up up here in the 90s.

It's possible that it ends up being very shallow. Um but until we have a wave two form, this is not realistic to to dream about personally.

观察点

价格相对92支撑位的走势
持续收于92下方将使当前的看涨布局失效
近期日线图价格走势
若跌破则削弱短期看涨论点;若守住则支撑该论点

这个频道对 $HOOD 的历次判断

ElliottWaveTrader 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-22看涨本条
我认为 Circle、HOOD、Robin Hood、MSTR 值得关注,不过我对 MSTR 不太感兴趣,这是我的看法,但它是我密切跟踪的标的,我在寻找一个进场理由,无论是做多还是做空。
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