Intel 的技术形态显示其将自盘整区间向上突破，动能改善与趋势转变支撑其上行潜力至 117 以上。
逐段跳播
你最后一个是 Intel，它因可能为 SKH 在美国本土生产芯片这一潜在消息而大涨。双方都还没有确认，但我们看到 Intel 上涨了 8.5%。
Your last one is Intel riding high off of this potential news of uh perhaps making chips domestically for SKH. Still no confirmation there uh from either side, but we are seeing a nice 8 and a half% pop to the upside for Intel.
是的，在我看来，无论从技术角度还是纯粹的基本面角度，动能都显示这里有冲击新高的潜力，因为过去几天它确实找到了一点稳定性，而且在我看来它也像是在形成一个更高的低点。我很好奇 Rick 会怎么看，但我认为这里有进一步上行的潜力，因为它现在看起来正在突破部分盘整区间。
we are and to me from a technical standpoint also just a pure fundamental and uh standpoint as well momentum that this is the potential here for a push to new highs as it does find a little bit of stability over the last few days and to me also I believe it looks like it puts in a higher low so I'll be interesting to see how Rick looks at this but I think that this is a potential for further upside as it now looks to be breaking out of some of this consolidation
是的。可以肯定的是，我们此前有一个区间震荡区域。大体而言，我们的价格活动主要在 82 到 104 之间。不过如果你想看得非常细，你也可以说上行方向更像是到 108，甚至到 110。
但我们正在逼近这些水平。无论你想看得多细，在我看来，我们正处在即将干净利落地突破其中一些个别价格区域的位置。那么接下来上行方向最突出的是 117。为什么？因为那是我们在一次跳空低开之后看到的高点，而且那些高点处有一个显著而重要的极端成交活跃区。
那大约是我们两次见顶的位置。那将打开重新测试 142 附近一些旧高点的大门。
Yes. Uh to be sure now we had a rangebound area here. Kind of broadly speaking, our price activity was mostly between 82 to 104. If you wanted to get really granular though, you could have said it was more like uh 108 to the upside or even uh 110 here.
But we're we're kind of closing in on these levels. However, however granular you wanted to kind of get. or we're at the point where we're going to make a clean break above uh some of these individual price areas here to me.
Then the place that stands out next to the upside is 117. Why? Because it was the high that we saw after a gap down and there was a a significant uh uh notable area of extreme price activity there at those highs.
That's about where we topped out twice. That would then open the door to retesting some of those old highs near 142.
如果你更偏看空，那么区间底部 82 最为突出。此外，这也是 4 月 23 日上一次财报事件之后我们跳空缺口开始的位置。所以，大约 79 到 82 之间的区域是需要考虑的重要下行支撑区间。
If you did have more of a bearish outlook, well, the bottom of the range here stands out at 82. Also, this is where our gap uh after the prior earnings event in April, April 23rd began.
So, a zone here between about 79 to 82 would be the important downside supportive range to consider.
那么，就移动平均线而言，接下来我们展示的是这种背离形态的开始，就像我们在上一张图表中看到的那样。我们最快的 5 日 EMA 开始脱离它较慢的同类均线。我们的青色 21 日线代表一个月，上穿代表一个季度的 63 日金色线。
这两条线彼此紧挨着，位于 98 到 99 之间。这种交叉有时被称为金叉，它本身并不是一个好的交易信号，但这是一个直观的视觉标志，表明趋势正在改善，情况正从这种横盘状态转向更偏看多。
So, uh in terms of our moving averages, next we are showing uh the the start of kind of this divergence pattern like we saw in our last chart. So, our fastest 5-day EMA is starting to pull away from its slower moving peers.
We have our teal 21day representing a month crossing above the 63day and gold that represents one quarter. Those are both right on top of each other between 98 to 99. So, this type of crossover, sometimes called a golden cross, not a good trading signal in and of itself, but an easy visual sign that the trend is improving and things are are sort of shifting from more uh uh sideways in this case to more bullish here.
RSI 这里也挺有意思，因为我们此前有一条短期向下倾斜的趋势线，现在已经被突破了。随着价格也开始突破，RSI 正大幅回升至该趋势线上方并站上 50 中轴线。
So RSI also kind of interesting here because we had a short-term downward sloping trend line that has already been broken here. Uh kind of surging back up above that trend line and above the 50 midline here as price starts to break out as well.
最后是成交量分布。这个同样不是特别有帮助。大部分成交量都集中在 85 到 120 这个区间。你真正能识别出的区域大致集中在 100 到 110 左右。所以我们也正在开始清除这一区域。
如果价格上穿 120 并开始进入那些成交更为清淡的极端区间，要当心价格快速波动。
Uh finally volume profile here. This one again not super helpful here. Much of the the trading volume has been in this range between 85 to 120. The real area that you could identify here is kind of centered around 100 to perhaps 110 or so.
So, we're starting to clear that area as well. Uh beware of fastmoving prices if we cross above 120 and start hitting those those uh more uh extreme ranges where there uh um there was thinly traded activity.
是的，我们正在快速逼近你刚才强调的 110 关口。我们现在是 10977。今天到目前为止，我们本交易日已上涨超过 8.5%。
Yeah, we're fast approaching that 110 mark you just highlighted. We're at 10977. We're up more than eight and a half% on the session so far today.
是的，我认为，由于近期的波动以及这可能是假突破的可能性，如果我们失去一些动能，或者未来几周风向发生变化，这就是一个适合做短线交易的例子，这次是Marley。另外，考虑到可能出现一些波动，或许会测试那些近期低点，设定明确的风险是另一个思路。
所以这能缓解其中一部分担忧。所以，就是买入一个，抱歉，是10月的看涨价差。这是29天后到期的105/125看涨价差。也就是买入一个价内看涨期权，再卖出一个价外看涨期权，从而有机会参与上行。
但同样，把下行风险限定住。再看这笔交易的风险回报指标，从建立这个看涨价差的成本，对比如果未来一个月价格涨到125以上它可能带来的回报来看，风险回报比大约是2比1。
Yeah, uh, you know, I think, uh, because of the recent volatility and the possibility that this is a false positive, if we lose some momentum or the the winds change over the course of the next few weeks, it's a short day to trade example uh, this time Marley.
And again, defined risk was another thought process because of the potential for some volatility and maybe a test of those recent lows. And so this will alleviate some of that.
So uh it's just buying a uh an October, excuse me, call spread. It's 29 days out the 105125 call spread. So you're buying an in the money call and then selling an out- of the money call with the opportunity to participate to the upside.
But again, define the risk to the downside. And again, looking at the riskreward metrics on this, you got about a 2 to1 riskreward metric as far as the cost of putting the call spread on versus what it could potentially pay out if we trade above 125 over the next month.
好的。目前Intel再度上涨8.6%，在年内已累计上涨近200%的基础上继续走高，如果有关SKH High的消息得到任何确认，还有可能出现另一个上行催化剂。
All right. And right now, Intel again up 8.6% adding to its nearly 200% move to the upside year to date with uh the potential for another upside catalyst if we get any confirmation on this SKH High news.
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