INTC 缺乏价值，且没有持续上行的迹象；33 美元附近可能存在潜在底部。
逐段跳播
1983年IPO的锚点。它的价值大约在24。所以，它并不太有价值。但你知道我们谈到交接。这个低点是在1993年，而从那里开始的这次交接，这条蓝线，是在2000年。所以，这基本上是从2000年低点算起的下一个重要水平，而我们已经跌破了2000年的低点。
现在我们看到的是1993年的低点。如你所见，它大约在每股33美元。
anchor point of the 1983 IPO. Its value is around 24. So, it's not very valuable. But you know we talk about handoff. This low point was in 1993, and this handoff from there , this blue line, is in 2000.
So, this is basically the next important level from the 2000 low point, which we broke below the 2000 low point. And now we have the low point of 1993. And as you can see, it's around $33 per share.
所以，我认为我们已经非常接近一个会看到投降式抛售或最终崩盘的时刻。在股票反转之前，你想看到的是某一天出现大量成交量，我是说，我们可以说是巨量或洗盘量，某家机构说，'让我出去。'我不在乎。
我还剩1000万股。现在就让我离开这里。'或者5000万股，随便多少。然后你看到那种巨大的抛售压力。接着反弹就来了。
So, I think we are very close to a point where we will see capitulation or a final collapse. What you want to see before the stock turns around is a day where there's a lot of volume , I mean we could say , huge volume or washout volume, where some institution says, "Get me out."
I don't care. I have 10 million shares left. Get me out of here now. "Or 50 million shares, whatever. And you see that huge selling pressure . Then a bounce comes.
你必须这样看：也许我会持有它几年，因为这是一项投资，也许在33附近有一个重要的底部。
And you have to look at it like maybe I'll hold it for a few years because it's an investment and maybe there was a significant bottom around 33.
或者你这样看，'好吧，这是一次反弹。让我们看看它在5日移动平均线附近的表现。'然后，如果它能站上并守住那条线，你就开始看10日和20日移动平均线，看看市场或者这只股票会不会让你继续持有。
Or you look at it like, "Okay, this is a bounce. Let's see how it behaves with the 5-day moving average."Then, if it can get above that and hold , you start looking at the 10-day and 20-day moving averages and see if the market or the stock is going to let you hold it.
我们今天跳空高开，但正如你所说，这完全是一次失败。所以，卖方依然还在。目前还没有任何迹象表明这只股票已经准备好迎来任何持续的上涨。33 可能就是那个区域。
We gapped up today but as you said, it was a complete failure. So, the sellers are still there . There's nothing yet that indicates that this stock is ready for any sustained upside. 33 might be that area .
关于这一点我还有一个问题要问你，因为上次你给了我们关于 Intel 的长期锚定观点，那笔交易从 19-20 的水平来看非常成功。回头来看，很多人从中赚到了更好的利润。我的错误在于，当 Intel 上涨时，我没有找到一个加仓的位置。
I have another question for you on this because the last time you gave us the long anchored view of Intel, that was a great trade from the 19-20 level. And when I look back, a lot of people were able to make better profits from that .
My mistake was that I didn't find a place to add more shares when Intel was going up.
观察点
这个频道对 $INTC 的历次判断
Brian Shannon 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。