Intel 的盈利增长与技术面盘整为在 120 美元行权价上实施备兑看涨期权策略、以获取收益提供了支撑。
逐段跳播
我在浏览结果时,这个候选标的 Intel 出现了。我已经很久没有对 Intel 感兴趣了,但如你所知,政府在其中持有股份,芯片股表现良好,而我们更偏好本土生产,也许这为该股进一步上涨做好了铺垫。
and as I was browsing the results, this candidate, Intel, came up. It's been a long time since I've been interested in Intel, but as you know, the government has a stake in it, and chip stocks are performing well, and we prefer domestic production, perhaps this sets the stock up for further gains.
我不知道,但这绝对值得做一些研究,而这正是我现在在做的;我做研究,而这个程序为我提供了一切:策略和所有细节。“Cashflow Machine”给我打了 61 分,这是非常好的分数,然后解释了推荐的策略。
I don't know, but it's definitely worth some research, and that's what I'm doing now; I do the research, and the program provides me with everything: the strategy and all the details.
"Cashflow Machine" gives me a score of 61, which is very good, and then explains the recommended strategy .
他推荐了一种叫做“均衡点”的策略,大约就在执行价格的位置。他说:以 120 美元的执行价格卖出 10 月 23 日到期的看涨期权,那大约是距今一个月。
He recommends a strategy called "equilibrium point," which is approximately at the execution price. He says: Sell the call options at an execution price of $120 for October 23, which is about a month from now.
通常,我偏好两到三周的期限,但这一次引起了我的兴趣。于是,我开始研究细节。上面写着:距离到期日还有 29 天。如果我们选择执行 120 美元,期权权利金大约为 11.70 美元。
Usually, I prefer a period of two or three weeks, but this one caught my interest. So, I started looking into the details. It says: 29 days until the expiry date. The option premium is approximately $11.70 if we choose to execute $120.
它会告诉你预期的“回报”。“回报”就是我希望实现的收益。对我来说,这是一种产生收益的策略。我并不寻求一次性赚取暴利。我利用盈亏平衡点来尽量最大化收益。
It tells you the expected "return ". "Return" is the income I aim to achieve. For me, this is an income-generating strategy . I am not seeking to make exorbitant profits all at once .
I use the breakeven point to try to maximize income.
然后它告诉我安全边际的大小,以及当时箭头所在的确切位置。但市场在变化,不是吗?所以,这个账户是不久前创建的。不过,你可以看到这些数字确实让我感兴趣。它值得进一步审视。
Then it tells me the size of the safety margin, and the exact location of the arrow at that time. But markets are changing, are n't they? So, this account was created a little while ago.
However, you can see that these numbers are certainly of interest to me. It deserves further review.
所以,我先从这只股票有什么特别之处看起。这就是我处理这些事情的方式。如你所知,如果真有那么容易,人人都会去做了。因此,挑选优质资产需要付出一些努力,而正是这一点让这只股票脱颖而出,成为领跑者。
So, I'll start by looking at what makes this stock special. This is how I deal with these things. As you know, if it were that easy, everyone would do it . Therefore, it takes some effort to select a quality asset, and that's what made the stock emerge as a front-runner.
我做的第一件事是检查基本面,然后看图表。我先从周线图开始。好,这就是周线图。你可以看到它在这里跳升,之前有一个长长的杯形底部和一个环,然后它在这里跳升并表现出一定的凝聚力。现在它处于盘整阶段。
我们已经看到几周的下跌,但成交量并不巨大,现在我们正在构筑那个底部的右侧。
The first thing I do is check the basics, then I examine the chart. I'll start with the weekly chart. Okay, this is the weekly chart. You can see that it jumped up here, and it had a long, cup-shaped base and a loop, then it jumped here and showed some cohesion.
It is now in a consolidation phase. We have seen several weeks of decline, but not with huge trading volumes, and now we are building the right side of that base .
我看待这件事的方式是,你知道,这只股票在这里下跌了大约 60 点,然后上涨形成 (C) 点。所以,从那个 (C) 点来看,我看到大约 167。 (C) 点大约在 117。所以,也许是 167、177,差不多这样。
The way I look at this is, you know, the stock dropped about 60 points here, then went up to make point (C). So, from that point (C), I see maybe about 167. Point (C) is about 117. So, maybe 167, 177, something like that .
无论如何,我的想法是希望这只股票朝着对我有利的方向走,但它不一定非要达到那个确切的水平。重要的是赚到利润。所以,看看这里的数字,嗯,2024 年,在多年盈利之后,他们亏损了 13 美分。
然后他们恢复了平衡,达到 42 美分,今年是 1.54 美元,明年是 2.12 美元。3 年每股收益增长率约为 292%。这实际上非常好。
In any case, the idea is that I want the stock to move in my favor, but it doesn't necessarily have to reach that exact level. The important thing is to make a profit. So, look at the numbers here and see, well, in 2024, they lost 13 cents after many years of making profits.
Then they regained their balance, at 42 cents, $1.54 this year, and $2.12 next year. With an earnings per share growth rate of approximately 292% over 3 years. This is actually very good .
所以,这让我感到安心,这是一步好棋。然后我转到日线图,你可以看到它波动要大得多。我画了这个小的向下三角形。你可以看到它以跳空的方式突破了它。这是一个早期入场点,现在它卡在那条小支撑线稍上方。
So, this gives me the comfort that this is a good step. Then I move to the daily chart and you can see that it is much more turbulent . And I drew this small downward-pointing triangle.
You can see that he surpassed that by a gap . This is an early entry point, and now it's stuck just above that small support line there .
我的目标是稍微早一点入场,然后加仓。所以,我们在这里入场,然后也许在中间加仓,收获大量利润,并建立一些保护,这样我们就不必离场。这就是我的看法。
My goal is to enter a little early and then increase the position. So, we enter here and then maybe add to the center, and collect a lot of profits, and build some protection so that we do n't have to leave it. This is how I see it .
然后我回到我的 Cashflow IQ 应用,查看期权分析。所以,我这里选的是 Intel。它给出的当前价格是 125。记住,我们看的是 120 这一档,我想调查显示的就是这个。
所以,我们就试试这个。我们会得到那些期权(120)在 10 月 23 日的实时价格。你可以看到所有这些。基本上,这些是基于当前市场状况的新更新,这是可获得的回报,这是百分比,你可以大致了解。他替你完成了所有计算。
Then I go back to my Cashflow IQ app and look at the options analysis. So, I have Intel here. It brings the current price at 125. Remember, we are looking at the 120 category, I think that's what the survey showed.
So, we'll try that. We will get a live price for those options (120) for October 23. You can see all of that. Basically, these are the new updates based on the current market situation , this is the available return, this is the percentage, and you can get an idea of it. He does all the calculations on your behalf .
净余额,如果股票跌到零时的最大亏损——当然任何股票都可能如此——以及最大利润,只要它保持在 120 水平之上,就是我计划在未来二十九天赚取的利润金额。
Net balance, maximum loss if the stock reaches zero, which is of course possible for any stock, and maximum profit, as long as it remains above the 120 level, is the amount of profit I plan to make in the next twenty-nine days.
所以,显然,如果股价下跌,那对我不利,但如果股价上涨,我最多也只能拿到120,不过我现在知道我的最大利润是多少了。如果价格维持在这里125,我就已经高于120这个水平了。所以,如果价格保持不变,那就是我的最大利润。计算器就是这么显示的。
So, you know, obviously if the stock goes down, that works against me, but if the stock goes up, I won't get more than 120, but I know what my maximum profit is now. If the price stays here at 125, I am already above the 120 level.
So, if the price stays the same, that is my maximum profit. That's what the calculator says.
你可以在这里向下滚动,看看图表显示的是什么,对吧?这张小图表会告诉你你的利润区间。他解释道,这很不错。它显示112,或者不管它指的是什么,112.14是我的盈亏平衡点。
You can scroll down here to see what the graph says , right? This small chart will tell you your profit zones. He explains, and that's great. It shows 112, or whatever it refers to, 112.14 as my break-even point.
因此,你可以看到,我在卖出“价内”看涨期权的同时,只是单纯地降低了自己的盈亏平衡点。现在,股价在市场糟糕的一天可能大幅下跌,但我仍然持有这只股票,而且在它跌到图表上的这个点之前,我并没有亏钱。这就是我看待这笔交易的方式。
Thus , you can see that I am simply lowering my breakeven point while selling "in-range" call options. Now, the stock can drop a lot on a bad market day, yet I still hold onto the stock , and I haven't lost any money until it reaches this point on the chart . This is how I view this deal.
这个频道对 $INTC 的历次判断
Cash Flow Machine | Mark Yegge | Wealth Architect 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。