$ITW

ITW的估值相对于其缓慢增长而言过高;保持观察,但不要在目前价格买入。

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4 NEW Dividend Increases You Need to Know About!
Dividendology发布 2026-08-18 · 6 段内容
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6 段内容
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现在,我们来看ITW,即伊利诺伊工具公司,其股息增幅接近7%,相当可观。如果我们回顾过去一年,确实波动很大。2月初出现了大幅上涨,随后有所回调,但此后已收复失地,上涨约11.2%,年初至今上涨17.14%。

Now, we come to ITW, Illinois Tool Works, which had a very respectable dividend increase of close to 7%. And if we look at them in the last year, yes, there's been a lot of volatility. A huge run-up you can see in early February, a bit of a pullback, but it's since recovered those gains, up about 11.2% and year-to-date up 17.14%.

让我们转到股息明细表。你会看到初始收益率为2.23%,派息率合理,自由现金流派息率约为66%,并且有着良好的股息增长历史。

So, let's jump over to the dividend breakdown sheet. What you'll see is a starting yield sitting at 2.23% and the payout ratio is reasonable with the free cash flow one sitting at about 66% and a nice history of dividend growth.

而最近的股息增幅与过去5年的情况基本一致,约为6.4%。不过,我们需要指出,过去几年自由现金流的增长相对缓慢。因此,所有这些股息增长都将导致自由现金流派息率上升。所以,我们有必要指出这一点。

And the recent dividend increase is pretty much in line with what we've seen over the last 5 years, about 6.4%. Now, we do need to point out that free cash flow growth has been relatively slow over the last few years. So, really, all this dividend growth is going to result in an increased free cash flow payout ratio. So, it's only fair that we point that out.

话虽如此,你需要了解其商业模式。ITW基本上运营着数百家专业企业,但主要分为七个不同的部门。它基本上是一家多元化的制造商。

Now, with that being said, you do need to understand the business model. ITW essentially operates hundreds of specialized businesses, but it primarily comes down to seven different segments. It's basically a diversified manufacturer.

如果我们看未来几年的盈利预期,你会发现它处于7%到9%的区间,从历史来看,这与他们过去的实际表现相当接近。因此,如果我们看该股的估值倍数,其交易价格与历史水平基本一致,但我们必须指出,对于一只自由现金流和盈利增长缓慢(尤其是过去几年)的股票来说,这有点溢价。

If we look at earnings estimates over the next few years, what you'll notice is it's sitting in the 7 8 to 9% range, which historically speaking has been relatively close to what they've done. And so, if we look at the valuation multiple for this stock, it's trading pretty much in line with what we've seen historically speaking, but we must point out that's a bit of a premium for a stock that seen very slow free cash flow and earnings growth, particularly over the last few years.

2026年,市场确实转向了更具价值导向的机会。我确实认为ITW在一定程度上从中受益。就我个人而言,这个市盈率倍数对于我愿意为这只股票支付的价格来说有点高,但它绝对是一家值得关注的公司。

Now, there's certainly been a shift to more value-oriented opportunities in 2026. And I do think ITW has been somewhat of a beneficiary from that. So, for me personally, that PE multiple is a bit rich for what I'd be willing to pay for this stock, but certainly a company to have on your watch list.

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2026-08-18看跌本条
现在,我们来看ITW,即伊利诺伊工具公司,其股息增幅接近7%,相当可观。
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