IWM 处于看跌趋势，下行目标为 277；作为对冲维持空头头寸。
逐段跳播
然后是 IWM，看跌趋势，结构向下破位。还没有出现更低的高点和更低的低点。
And then the IWM, bearish trend, break of structure to the downside. Don't have the lower lower lows and lower highs yet.
我全面看到了看跌信号。SPY、Q's、IWM，全都是更低的高点、更低的低点，全都是结构向下破位，全都处于看跌趋势中。
I've got I've got bearish indications across the board. SPY Q's IWM, all lower highs, lower lows, all breaks of structure to the downside, all in a bare trend.
基本上我得到的是做多 Meta、做空 IWM。
basically what I got is is long meta short IWM.
我真希望自己IWM的空头对冲仓位更多一些。现在不够。自FOMC以来我们一直做多大盘AI交易，并通过TZA做空IWM作为对冲。我已经做了三次，做空IWM，实际上昨天我减了仓，因为我在想，这种不寻常的强势是怎么回事？
也许他们会宣布与伊朗达成某种协议，然后今天底部就塌了。所以277一直是我对IWM的下行目标。看起来这个目标仍然有效。所以有对冲是好事。再说一次，我希望自己仓位更多。现在不够。
Well, I wish I had more IWM hedge. Don't have enough. I've been um you know we've been long the big cap AI trade uh since FOMC and we've been shorting IWM as a hedge uh via TZA.
I've been doing it three time um short IWM and actually reduced my position yesterday because I'm like what is this unusual strength about? Maybe there's they're going to announce some deal with Iran and then bottom falling out today.
So um 277 has been my downside target on IWM. So that looks like it's still in play. So, it's good to have some hedge there. Again, I wish I had more. Don't have enough.
我知道这太疯狂了。看看IWM。277的目标。我希望自己仓位更多。这大概就是我现在的关注重点。就是做多Meta、做空IWM。
>> I know that is insane. Look at IWM. >> 277 target. I wish I had more. And that's kind of where my focus is at now. It's long meta short IWM.
看看这个IWM，各位。IWM。太糟糕了。做空IWM。
look at this IWM guys. IWM. Terrible. >> Short IWM.
但没错，自FOMC会议以来，做空IWM一直是首选交易之一。做空IWM一直是首选。今天通过TZA得到了回报。我刚才很快就买入了IWM的看跌期权。你只需要抓住其中一两根这样的K线。
现在的K线真的很大。而且你没有DTS。我不是说这是最容易做的事。它们肯定有风险，但如果你抓对了方向，通常很快就是相当不错的一天。
But yeah, short IWM has been a top pick for like since FOMC meeting. Short IWM has been a top pick. It's paying off today with the TZA. I And I just hit the IWM puts just now, just real quick.
And all you have to do is catch like one or two of these candles. They've been really big candles right now. And you have zero DTS. I'm not saying it's the most uh the the easiest thing to do.
They're definitely risky, but if you do catch it in the right direction, it's usually a pretty nice day real quick.
就是这样，伙计。这大概就是我脑子里想的全部：做多Meta，做空IWM作为对冲。持有SOC对冲，并在某个催化剂上带有一些上行期权性。
>> That's it, man. That's like kind of all that's on my mind here is long meta, short IWM as a hedge. Got the SOC hedge with some upside optionality on a catalyst.
看看这个。看看这个IWM 277的目标。哇。过去两天我真的很困惑。我在想，IWM为什么这么强？我唯一的论点是，市场一定预期本周会达成某种伊朗协议，因为我的意思是，情况显然就是这样，因为我后来看到了社交媒体上的评论，所有人都对达成协议如此看多，因为有人说：“哦，伊朗总统进城了。
特朗普发推说他想达成协议。本周会达成协议，利率会暴跌，油价会暴跌，市场会暴涨。”昨天这种情绪很多。但这一切都没有发生，而且我并不真的相信。我在想，任何协议都会是扯淡的协议。它不会真的持久，甚至根本不会是真的。
那只会是特朗普的假新闻。但我不知道。我就是被价格走势骗了。我减少了我的IWM对冲。我保留了它。我昨天只是减了仓，这很糟糕。但现在它显然看起来想走向这个上升的200日移动均线，并将与277的K线支撑重合。我已经说了好几周了，那就是我的目标。277。
>> look at this. Look at this IWM 277 target. >> Wow. I was really like the last two days I was really mystified. I'm like, why is IWM so strong? And my only thesis was that the market must expect some sort of Iran deal this week because I mean that's clearly what it was because I saw the social media comments later and everyone was so bullish about a deal because they said, "Oh, the president of Iran's in town.
Trump is tweeting he wants to make a deal. There's going to be a deal this week and rates are going to plummet and oil's going to plummet and the market's going to explode." Like there was a lot of that sentiment yesterday.
Um >> but none of it happened >> and I didn't I didn't really believe it. I'm like, any kind of deal is going to be a BS deal. It's not really gonna last or it's not even going to be true.
It'll just be like fake news by Trump. Um, but I I don't know. I I just fell for the price action. I reduced my my IWM hedge. I kept it. I just reduced it yesterday, which sucked.
But now it like clearly looks like it wants to head to um this 200 day moving average rising and going to meet coincide at 277 candle support. And I've been saying this for weeks that that's been my target. 277.
275。那会，嗯，它会像你说的那样往上走一点，但没错，它与第二浪计数重合。那是我的判断。我的判断是277。
275. That's going to Well, it'll move up a little like you're saying, but yeah, it coincides with count two. That's my call. My call is 277.
这个频道对 $IWM 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。