$JPM

摩根大通存在高度不确定性,尽管创下历史新高,说话者仍采取卖出立场。

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The Big 3: JPM, TLT, GM
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-02 · 4 段内容
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4 段内容

我们将摩根大通股票作为您的首选。您现在在摩根大通看到了什么?不确定性。很多不确定性。不仅是摩根大通,整个金融服务板块(XLF)都出人意料地出现了强劲的买盘活动。

We have JPMorgan Chase stock as your first choice. What do you see in JPMorgan Chase right now? Uncertainty. A lot of uncertainty. Not only JPMorgan, but the entire financial services sector (XLF) has surprisingly seen strong buying activity.

具体到摩根大通,我对技术面不太感兴趣。我知道该股目前处于历史高位,但我会直接采取卖出立场。11月20日,我会买入行权价为340的看跌期权。我会卖出330的看跌期权。这是10美元的价差,成本为2.90美元。

With regard to JPMorgan specifically, I am less interested in the technical aspects. I know the stock is currently at a record high, but I will simply take a sell position. On November 20th, I will buy put options at 340. I will sell put options at 330 for them. This is a price difference of $10, executed at a cost of $2.90.

看摩根大通的图表,正如Don所解释的,整个夏季动能显然对其有利。我们距离过去52周的高点不到10美元。财报推动我们突破了之前接近344的高点。从那里,366.50点是我们达到的最高水平。

我们画了一条蓝色的短期下降趋势线,它已经被突破了。现在,要关注的点是连接我们接近344的最低点和随后低点的白色趋势线。还有水平位需要关注。显然,366.50是之前水平中的最高点,而相对较低的下跌水平接近350、344和335。

如果价格开始回落,这些水平可能成为潜在支撑,如果我们开始看到更多下行运动。因此,我们的移动平均线在这里出现交叉。我们有指数移动平均线,深蓝色是5日,蓝绿色是21日。这些点在大约356或357水平收敛,这也大致与我们的白色趋势线一致。

因此,这给了我们一个值得注意的潜在突破点。如果这个水平被突破,可能打开测试344水平的63日黄金指数移动平均线的大门。相对强弱指数在这里呈上升趋势。我们位于50中线之上,但也可以说有一条下降趋势线形成了这个三角形形态。

因此,寻找任一趋势线的突破,以提供价格可能走向的更多清晰度。我们的成交量分布在353到358之间显示出一个节点或交易活动集中区。如果我们跌破该点,在330到337之间还有另一个活动区域。

在我们到达这个区域之前,没有什么能阻止我们的下跌,这与我们定义的区间和之前的高点相符。

Looking at the chart for JPMorgan Chase, momentum was certainly in its favor throughout the summer, as Don explained. We are less than $10 away from those highs recorded over the past 52 weeks. The earnings pushed us past our previous highs seen near 344. From there , the 366.50 point was the highest level we reached . We drew a short-term downtrend line in blue and it has been broken. Now, the point to watch here is the white trend line that connects our lowest point near 344 with our most recent subsequent lows . There are horizontal levels to watch. Clearly, 366.50 stands out as the highest of the previous levels, while the relative lower levels for the decline come near 350, 344 and 335. Those levels could be potential support if things start to fall back, and if we start to see more downward movements. Therefore, our moving averages show a crossover here. We have our exponential moving averages, dark blue for 5 days, and greenish-blue for 21 days. Those points converge at approximately the 356 or 357 level, which also generally aligns with our white trend line . Therefore, this gives us a noteworthy potential breaking point here. If this level is broken, it could open the door to testing our 63-day golden exponential moving average at the 344 level. The relative strength index is trending upwards here. We are above the 50 midline, but you could also say there is a downtrend line giving us this triangular shape. Therefore, look for a breakout of either trend line to provide more clarity on the direction the price might take . Our volume profile in this case shows a node or concentration of trading activity here between 353 and 358 . If we slip below that point, we have another area of activity around that area, approximately between 330 and 337 . There is not much to stop our descent until we reach this area, which matches our defined range here and our previous highs.

嗯,摩根大通的股票现在是358.79。这比我们今年早些时候看到的高位低了大约8美元。

Well, JPMorgan's stock is now at 358.79. This is about $8 lower than those high levels we saw earlier this year.

这个频道对 $JPM 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-02看跌本条
我们将摩根大通股票作为您的首选。您现在在摩根大通看到了什么?
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