$META

Meta是强力买入标的,因为其在广告和新模型方面的真实AI投资回报率超过了法律和资本支出风险。

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The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-07 · 6 段内容
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Meta 今年计划在人工智能资本支出上投入高达 1450 亿美元。对于第一只股票,我想转向 Meta Platforms。我认为这是今年我最喜欢的股票之一。该股受到了惩罚,这是合理的。

我认为市场总能找到理由,而且有很多理由。我的意思是,许多人可能会争辩说,这家公司增加的资本支出是其受到惩罚的原因之一,不是吗?我们已经看到今年的资本支出达到约 1300 亿至 1450 亿美元。

第二件事是,不幸的是,Meta 发生了很多法律问题。在过去几周里,我们有一些更新表明情况可能没有市场想象的那么糟糕。但市场仍然有些害怕。我的意思是,在他们最近的第二季度收益中,法律成本导致公司亏损或未能实现其预期的每股收益。

这是一个会一遍又一遍重复的故事。因此,存在与法律诉讼和资本支出相关的风险。

Meta is looking to spend up to $145 billion on AI capital expenditures this year. For the first stock, I want to move to Meta Platforms. I think this is one of my favorite stocks this year. The arrow was punished , and that was justified. I think the market always finds reasons for that, and there are many of them. I mean, many could argue that this company's increased capital expenditure is one of the reasons for its punishment, wouldn't they ? We have seen capital expenditures reach approximately $130 billion to $145 billion for this year. The second thing is that, unfortunately, there are a lot of those legal issues that occur with Meta. We've had a few updates in the past few weeks that suggest things may not be as bad as the market thinks. But the market is still a little scared here and there. I mean, in their most recent second-quarter earnings , legal costs caused the company to lose money or not achieve its expected earnings per share. This is a story that will continue to be repeated over and over again. Therefore, there are those risks related to legal proceedings and capital expenditures.

现在我想解释为什么我对 Meta 如此兴奋。Meta 是在人工智能故事中看到真正投资回报的公司之一。我相信马克·扎克伯格在电话会议中提到,他预计 Meta 将成为有史以来增长最快的广告公司,在增长方面超越其他一些巨头。

这非常令人兴奋。马克提到的另一点是,他们投资的人工智能专用计算能力极大地帮助了他们的核心业务。不是吗?如果你有一个更好的推荐系统,该系统将确保你在应用中停留更长时间。它会向你展示你喜欢的内容,然后它会向你展示一则广告。

他会向你展示一则他事先知道你会与之互动的广告。因此,这将导致广告效率提高。它还会增加你在平台上花费的时间,这增加了你接触更多广告的可能性,等等。这为更多数据创造了最终动力。“哦,这个人正在观看这个以在这里停留更长时间。”

也许如果你这样做,他们会在这里停留更长时间。或者对于下一个观看模式非常相似的人,我可以推荐这个,因为他们喜欢类似的东西。因此,它通常有助于支持这种基本活动。第二件事是,凭借所有这些人工智能收入,马克真的想出售“超级智能”。

他说,“我可以出售我的计算能力。”“我正在投资所有这些数据中心,我已经建立了所有这些计算能力,我可以以很好的价格出售它,就像 SpaceX 所做的那样。”“但我不仅仅想出售计算能力。”

“我想出售智能。”“有了智能,我出售计算能力,我出售代码。”最近,我们从 Meta 团队看到的是他们持续发布新的“Meta Muse”模型。就在昨天,或者本周早些时候,他们发布了一个新的编程解决方案。

根据快速测试,它们已经超越了许多领先模型。这表明马克的想法或愿景并不完美,但包含一些真理。如果他们能让这些模型达到开创性的水平,那么对这些计算和代币就会有需求,我认为市场尚未完全定价这一点。

Now I want to explain why I'm so excited about Meta. Meta is one of the companies that sees a real return on investment in this artificial intelligence story. I believe Mark Zuckerberg mentioned during the call that he expects Meta to be the fastest-growing advertising company of all time, surpassing some other giants in its growth . That's very exciting. Another point Mark mentioned is that the AI-dedicated computing capabilities they invest in greatly help their core business. Isn't that so? If you have a better recommendation system , that system will ensure you stay in the app for a much longer time. It will show you what you like, then it will confront you with an advertisement. He will confront you with an advertisement that he knows in advance you will interact with. Therefore, this will lead to increased advertising efficiency. It will also increase the time you spend on the platform, which increases the likelihood of you being exposed to more ads, and so on. This creates a final impetus for more data. " Oh, this person is watching this to stay here longer." Perhaps if you do this, they will stay here much longer. Or for the next person who has a very similar viewing pattern, I can recommend this because they like similar things. Therefore, it generally helps to support that basic activity. The second thing is that with all this AI revenue , Mark really wants to sell " superintelligence". He says, " I can sell my computing capabilities." "I'm investing in all these data centers, I've built all this computing power, and I can sell it at a great price, just like SpaceX does." "But I do n't just want to sell computing ." "I want to sell intelligence ." "And with intelligence, I sell computing, and I sell code." More recently, what we've seen from the Meta team is their continued release of new "Meta Muse" models. Just yesterday, or earlier this week, they released a new programming solution. Based on rapid testing, they are already outperforming many leading models. This shows that the idea or vision that Mark has is not perfect, but it contains some truth. If they can get these models to a pioneering level, there will be demand for that computing and those tokens, and I don't think the market has fully priced that in yet.

啊,Rachel,我不想过于关注收入增长数字,因为我认为我们可以在很多地方看到这一点。我只想解释这个关于数据中心市场地位的高层论点,以及为什么这种计算能力对 Meta 及其股东如此强大。

Ah, Rachel, I didn't want to get too caught up in revenue growth numbers because I think there are a lot of places where we can see that. I just wanted to explain this high-level thesis about the position of the data center market and why this computing power is so powerful for Meta and its shareholders.

是的,关于 Meta,我现在还在关注其他几件事。如你所知,他们专门的 MTAA 部门已经为每天服务数十亿用户的推荐引擎提供支持,许多投资者可能不知道这一点。但刚刚发生的另一件事是,Meta 昨天推出了新的“New Spark 1.3”模型,用于复杂的编程和多步骤代理任务,他们主要针对构建独立工具和自动化工作流的开发人员。

因此,该模型处理多文件项目、软件工程、大量视觉界面生成,以及一般的人工智能代理工作流。Meta 将通过 Meta Models API 提供两个主要级别的访问,此外还有第三方聚合器。

但这有趣的是,它再次与广告活动相关联,不是吗?因为 Meta 所做的很多事情都回到了它产生 95% 收入的来源,即广告。我认为“New Spark”将是其中的关键部分。如你所知,Meta 计划利用代理模型的能力来真正改善广告定位、自动化创意制作和转化率。

在不深入技术细节的情况下,“New Spark”在广告拍卖的保护伞下运作。因此,它分析用户互动、文本、图像和视频。好的,那么这对广告意味着什么?基本上,公司可以更准确地预测用户结构。

这实现了什么?这提高了广告相关性,并增强了广告商的参与度指标。嗯,如你所知,这只是高层次的概述。我相信我们会在未来的视频中更多地讨论这个更新,但我认为如果你是一个 Meta 贡献者,或者 Meta 在你的观察名单上,这真的很重要。

Yes, there are a few other things I'm keeping an eye on regarding Meta at the moment. As you know, their dedicated MTAA segment already powers recommendation engines that serve billions of users daily, something many investors may not know . But the other thing that just happened is that Meta launched its new "New Spark 1.3" model yesterday for complex programming and multi-step agent tasks, and they are primarily targeting developers who build standalone tools and automated workflows. Therefore, this model deals with multi- file projects, software engineering, a lot of visual interface generation , as well as the workflow of AI agents in general. Meta will offer two main levels of access through the Meta Models API, in addition to third-party aggregators. But what's interesting about this is that it's linked again to advertising activity , isn't it? Because much of what Meta does goes back to feeding the source from which it generates 95% of its revenue, which is advertising. And I think " New Spark" will be a key part of that. As you know, Meta plans to use the capabilities of the agency model to truly improve ad targeting, automated creative production, and conversion rates. Without going into highly technical details, "New Spark" operates under the umbrella of an advertising auction. Therefore, it analyzes user interactions, texts, images, and videos. Okay, so what does this mean for advertising? Essentially, the company can predict user structure with greater accuracy. What does that achieve? This improves ad relevance and enhances engagement metrics for advertisers. Um, as you know, this is just a high-level overview. I'm sure we'll talk more about this update in a future video, but I think this is really important to keep an eye on if you're a Meta contributor or if Meta is on your watchlist.

嗯,我要指出的另一件事是,他们三次上调了资本支出指引。如你所知,他们最初有他们的领域,然后在四月份再次提高,然后在七月份再次提高。因此我们得到了 1450 亿美元的数字。所以,基本上,Meta 继续低估了所需扩张的规模。

这意味着他们在一年内三次上调了基础设施支出。这是一个非常有力的论据,表明人工智能交易的物理基础设施方面,包括能源、土地和冷却,可能比许多投资者目前预期的更长时间内成为瓶颈。我认为这创造了一个真正的买入机会,不仅仅是 Meta,当然。

Meta 是我们在这种情况下谈论的公司,但同样适用于许多其他公司。

Um, and another thing I will point out is that they revised their capital expenditure guidance upwards three separate times. Um, as you know, they had their original domain, then they raised it again in April, and then again in July. Hence we got the figure of $145 billion . So, basically , Meta continues to underestimate the size of the expansion required. This means that if they revised their infrastructure spending upwards three times in one year. This is a very strong argument that the physical infrastructure aspect of AI trading , including energy, land, and cooling, may remain a bottleneck for much longer than many investors currently expect. And I think that creates a real buying opportunity , not just for Meta, of course. Meta is the company we are talking about in this case, but the same applies to many other companies as well.

同一波人工智能支出的两个完全不同的角度。如你所知,Jose 报道的 Meta 公司显然是对人工智能的直接押注。它是世界上最大的公司之一。

Two completely different angles of the same wave of spending on artificial intelligence. As you know, Meta, the company that Jose covered, is clearly a direct bet on artificial intelligence. It is one of the largest companies in the world.

这个频道对 $META 的历次判断

The Motley Fool 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-07看涨本条
Meta 今年计划在人工智能资本支出上投入高达 1450 亿美元。
2026-08-30看涨
我的第一个选择可能看起来很奇怪,因为它不是英伟达所告知内容的直接受益者。两个中的一个是,但我要谈的第一个是Meta。
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