论点:对META持怀疑态度,因其新AI产品Muse反响负面,且品牌壁垒阻碍生产力用例的采用。
逐段跳播
大家周三快乐,那些也预测Meta绿色行情的人也一样。所以Meta今天也在跳空上涨名单上,因为它的交易价格在走高。
Happy Wednesday everybody who also called for Meta Green Day. So Meta also on the gap up list here today as that is trading higher.
让我们看看Meta的走势,因为我看到他们有新闻,他们发布了一个个人AI,叫Manis或Muse,抱歉,Muse是另一个东西。呃,Muse。
let's look at that meta uh uh movement because I I saw that they had news uh they released uh a personal AI called Manis or Muse, I'm sorry. Muse is the other thing. Uh Muse.
所以,如果我看一些头条新闻,似乎它并没有被很好地接受。据报道,内部测试揭示了隐私风险、安全漏洞、导致不可靠的故障模式,但Meta仍在攀升。所以,我不确定我是否喜欢这样。
So um I I it doesn't seem like it's being wellreceived if I'm looking at some of these headlines here. uh internal tests reportedly revealed privacy risks, security flaws, failure modes that make it unreliable, but yet Meta is uh climbing. So, I don't know that I necessarily like this.
它正在攀升,目前正越过500日简单移动平均线,但我想我会关注650区域。看看我们能否越过那个位置。它正在攀升,目前正越过500日简单移动平均线,但我想我会关注650区域。看看我们能否越过那个位置。
价格正在进入超买区域。还没有完全到,但已经很接近了。所以,可能会有开盘后的上涨,但我认为我们会遇到一些阻力。
Um it's uh it's climbing over the 500 day SMA as we speak, but I'd be I think I'd be watching for that 650 area. Uh see if we can uh climb over that. it's climbing over the 500 day SMA as we speak, but I'd be I think I'd be watching for that 650 area. Uh see if we can uh climb over that. We are getting uh to uh the price is getting into the over uh bought territory. It's not quite there yet, but it's close. So, uh, there may be, uh, you know, a move up out of the gate, but I think we're going to run into some resistance here.
我真的不喜欢新闻的报道方式,所有的负面信息都在宣布的同一个标题里。所以,我们看看这会如何发展。我不喜欢Meta。我不知道这会多好,但如果他们刚发布的产品已经存在问题,我不知道那会有多好。我认为我们应该等待它回落。
I just really don't like, uh, you know, the way that news reads with with all the the negativity, uh, right in the same headline of it being announced. So, we'll see how this uh, works out. I I'm not a fan of of Meta. Um, I don't know how great this is going to be, but if there's already problems with this product they just released, I don't know how great that's going to be. I don't think it's I think we uh we just wait for this to come back in.
现在,Ann Marie提供了一些见解。我用过Muse,它相当糟糕。记住,这确实有一定分量。Ann Marie还说:“我不喜欢说东西的坏话,但它确实有所欠缺。”我想说,Ann Marie,任何认识你超过五秒钟的人都知道你不会说人和事物的坏话。
但我要说的是,如果它确实有所欠缺,我不确定那本质上就是坏事。我认为那听起来可能是准确的。所以,13,你看到一些不太好的新故事,Marie的第一手经验也不太好。一开始对AI就有很多怀疑,但该股今天跳空上涨了5%。
Now, Ann Marie offering uh some some insight here. I've used Muse and it's pretty bad. And remember that actually carries some weight here. Anmarie also says, "I don't like saying bad things about stuff, but it is lacking." And I I would Anmarie I mean anyone that's known you for longer than 5 seconds knows that you don't uh say bad things about things and people. Here's what I would say though. If it's actually lacking, I don't know that that's inherently bad. I think that sounds like it might be accurate. So 13, you're seeing some new stories that aren't that great and Marie's firsthand experience not that great. A lot of skepticism out there about AI to begin with, but the stock's gapping up 5% here today.
所以,针对你的观点,这里有几点。你和我,我想你提到了650。我们实际上有一条趋势线,追溯到去年八月。根据今天的K线,这个位置接近673。所以,我认为就一些水平而言,这可能是我们正在关注的。
So to to your point now, a couple of things here. You me I think you threw out 650 in that uh there. Um we actually do have a trend line that originates back in August of last year. This has a spot given today's candle close to like 673. So I think as far as some of those levels go, this is probably what we're looking at.
另一件事是,今天的跳空在日线图上看起来实际上是建设性的。我们基本上在触及200日均线,无法突破它。现在有了这条新闻,我们跳空突破了200日均线,也跳空突破了20日均线。这可能会给它一些动力,即使这个东西确实回落。
The other thing here is that the gap today actually looks constructive on the daily chart. We were basically running into the 200 day. We were unable to get above it. Now with this piece of news, we've gapped above the 200. We've gapped above the 20. That might give it a little bit of juice here even if this thing does come back in.
现在,值得一提的是,你提到的另一个水平是650,我相信。如果你看看这里,650左右到664在日线图上也有一个小缺口。也许那将是一个阻力区域。
Now shout out because the other level that you mentioned there is 650 I believe. And if you take a look here, this 650ish to 664 has a little bit of a gap there on the daily chart, too. Uh perhaps that is going to be a resistance area.
我唯一要反驳的是,我们正在获得的这次上涨,它正在接近超卖。我的意思是,看看过去几次RSI达到这个水平,就像我们现在所处的这个水平。它只是掉头向下,回落了。是的,这是一个很好的520。
I the only thing that I'm I'm pushing back on is, you know, this move up that we're getting here, and it's approaching oversold. I mean, just look at the last several times the RSI was up at this level, like this very level that we're at right now. We It just turned around and it came back down towards Yeah, it's a good 520.
所以,你知道,我们看看市场开盘时会发生什么。就像我说的,我感觉可能会有向上推动,但我认为因为我们正在接近超买,它可能不会在这里待太久。也许不是今天,但在本周余下的时间里,它会消退。
那将是预期。所以,我们看看会发生什么,但650目前对我来说是阻力区域。
So, I you know, we'll see what happens when this uh when the market opens. I like I said, I I get the sense that there could be a push upwards, but I think we're because we're approaching overbought. Uh it may not be up here for too long. Maybe maybe not today, but later on throughout the rest of this week, it it fades. Uh that's would be my expectation. Um so, we'll see what happens, but 650 is currently the uh resistance area for me.
好的。Lion想提醒大家,他喜欢Meta的股票,但讨厌Mark Zuckerberg。喜欢流动性好的股票总是容易的。
Okay. Um Lion wants to remind everybody that he loves Meta's stock, but hates Mark Zuckerberg. >> It's always easy to love a stock that's liquid.
那非常正确。那非常非常正确。好的,不错。13,关于Meta的好内容。我们看看它今天如何交易。如果我们快速看一下盘中图表,我认为这有点值得注意,对吧?这个648区域,略低于13650点。
这似乎提供了一些阻力。但如果这突破了并走高,我认为650到673左右你可以看作是下一个可能的转折点。
That that's very true. That is very very true. All right. Good stuff there. Uh 13. Good stuff on Meta. We'll see how it trades here today. Uh if we take a really quick peek at an intraday chart, I do think this is kind of notable, right? This 648 area just shy of 13650 spot. This does seem to be providing some resistance. But if this breaks and goes higher, I think 650 uh 673ish I think you can look at as your next possible turnaround points.
Meta从开盘价跌破了其成交量加权平均价。我们看看它是否会反弹。
Meta from its open pulled beneath its VWAP. We'll see if that uh bounces at all.
好的。快速说一下,还有其他一些事情发生。Meta。这实际上是,我确实看到大量看跌期权扫单在Meta中传来。看起来它试图在VWAP处反弹,但我们现在在它下方。
Okay. And real quick there's some other stuff happening here. Meta. This is actually I actually saw a whole bunch of put sweeps come across the wire here in Meta. It looked like it was trying to bounce at the VWAP, but we're beneath it now.
Meta,抱歉,Meta快速看一下,看起来它将收复VWAP并尝试上涨。我们还没有上涨的部分,但我们确实有VWAP的收复。我仍然认为649可能是我们希望收盘站上的位置。
Meta, excuse me, Meta real quick looked like it was going to recover that VWAP and try to go. We don't have the go part yet, but we do have the VWAP recovery. I'm still thinking 649 might be a spot that we'd want to close over here.
Micron,抱歉,Micron,请原谅,Meta实际上看起来将尝试走高。65193是今天的最高打印价。看起来它可能正在挑战那个水平。
Uh Micron or excuse me, Micron uh beg your pard meta actually looks like that's going to try and go higher. 65193 was your high print of the day here. It looks like it might be challenging that
Meta是另一个在移动的股票,我们之前提到过在电话中。这真的无法获得大部分涨幅,大部分涨幅是在盘前。这个东西真的在650处挣扎。
Meta was the other one that was moving that we talked about being on calls here. This really can't get the most of the move was in the pre-market. This thing really struggling with 650.
现在,我会说,Meta 不是停止政治广告了吗?因为那可能对 Meta 也是一个利好。我很确定他们不做政治广告,我不确定,我不在上面,但我很确定他们很久以前就停止了。
Now, I I would have said, didn't Meta stop political ads? Cuz that might have been a tailwind for Meta, too. I'm pretty sure they don't do political I wouldn't know. I'm not on it, but I'm pretty sure that they stopped that a while ago.
对我来说真的很失望。那个 Meta 的发现。是的,Meta 正在飙升。
Av really disappointing for me. That meta spotting. Yeah, meta's popping.
看 Meta。Meta 正在上涨。嘿,让我们看看。让我们做个小调查。对于那些看过 Meta 的 Muse 的人,或者即使你没看过,就是他们昨天推出的 AI 代理应用,你们觉得这对 Meta 来说会是改变游戏规则的东西,还是无关紧要的东西?
改变游戏规则按 1,无关紧要按 2。让我们看看大家的想法,因为昨晚我们在社区里对此进行了激烈的辩论。1 是改变游戏规则,2 是无关紧要,或者写下你想说的其他评论。
look meta. Meta's going. Hey, let's see. Let's do a little poll here. uh for those who have or even if you didn't look at Muse by Meta right the uh the uh AI agent right agent app they launched yesterday all right uh what do you think is this going to be a game changer for meta or is this going to be a nothing burger for meta game changer or nothing burger put one for game changer two for nothing burger let's see what people think because we had a vigorous debate on this in our uh in our community last night one game changer. Two, nothing burger or write any other comments you want. Um,
我站在无关紧要这一边。
I'm on the nothing burger side.
这就是我的论点,为什么我今天没有在 Meta 上赚到 6% 的利润。基本上,在品牌认知和心智份额方面,如果人们想要高效工作并利用 AI 进行高效工作,他们想到的是 Google、ChatGPT、GL cloud;如果人们想到的是乐趣、家庭之类的,他们想到的是 Instagram、WhatsApp、Facebook。
所以我认为这是一个巨大的品牌障碍,让人们觉得我会去 Meta 生态系统,我去那里只是为了随意聊天,去做工作、做高效工作,这毫无意义。我认为期望 Meta 让人们仅仅从品牌和信任的角度来使用这个,是一个巨大的飞跃。这就是我的看法。
this is my thesis for why I I didn't make a 6% profit on Meta today. um is that basically in terms of brand perception and and mind share like if people want to be productive and take advantage of AI in a productive way they're thinking they're thinking Google they're thinking chat GPT they're thinking GL cloud if people are thinking about fun and fun right fun and family or whatever um they're thinking Instagram WhatsApp Facebook right so I think that's a huge brand barrier to think like am I going to go to the meta ecosystem where I go there just to like casually chat with people to do work to do productivity work makes no sense. I I think that's a huge huge leap to expect Meta to get people to to use this just from a brand and trust perspective. That's my take on it.
这不仅仅适用于 Meta。这适用于一切。这正是我昨晚对 Meta 说的。当 Godfather 给出做多 Meta 的想法时,我说,好吧,你可能是对的,但我个人不相信,所以我就是不能做这笔交易。我需要对此有信心。所以我就是没做 Meta。
That doesn't just go with this meta. This is everything. that's exactly what I said last night for Meta I'm like when when laptop gave the not laptop when Godfather gave the idea to go long Meta I'm like okay you might be right but I personally don't believe in it so I just can't take the trade. I need to have conviction in it. So I just didn't do the meta.
尤其是随着推出,Meta 的每个应用,他们为社交媒体做的每次更新,Facebook,尤其是 Instagram。就像没人想要那些功能。每个人都讨厌它。
Especially with the rollouts, uh Meta's each app, uh each update they do for the social medias, Facebook, especially Instagram. It's like no one wants those features. Everyone hates it.
是的。但就目前而言,就今天而言,交易是算法喜欢它。我认为可能也是那样,算法在捕捉并交易它,还有人们现在使用的所有这些即插即用的东西,因为当我输入它时,它说这值得 15% 到 20% 的重新评级,当我给它新闻和一切,图表和所有。
Yeah. But for the moment, for the day, uh the trade is the algos like it. I think it possibly could be that too with them the algos picking up and trading it uh all these plug-and plays now that people are using and uh because when I plugged it in it said this deserves a 15 to 20% rerating when I gave it the news and everything the chart and all.
通常它会过来说,“但 Meta 有一个巨大的品牌障碍需要克服 X、Y、Z,并且应该有一个情绪折扣,而且它不是,你知道,你不能假设他们会成功。”ChatGPT 很可能会构建这一点,并对此有一些评论。
often it'll come and say, "But Meta has a big brand barrier to overcome X, Y, and Z, and there should be a sentiment discount, and it's not, you know, you can't assume they're going to be successful." It's very likely Chat PT will build that in and have some sort of commentary about that.
Meta 正在爆发。所以今天 Meta 的多头们得到了回报。是的。那将是当天的新高。我们社区里有几个人在 642 做多,所以他们现在正在获得回报。Godfather 那次说对了。
meta is just exploding. So the meta bowls are getting paid today. Yep. That'll be new highs there for the day. Few people in our community went long at uh 642, so they're getting paid right now. Godfather nailed that one.
哇,看看那个当日高点。642。他昨晚在盘后在我们的 Discord 中提醒了它。不,我知道。但这是 Howling Wolf。他重新进场了。甚至 Ping 我在聊天中说它。
Wow, look at that high a day. 642. He alerted it last night in our Discord in after hours. No, I know. But this is Howling Wolf. He got back in. Even Ping me in the chat saying it.
哇。看看那个。它正在飙升,这里是一个当日高点。嗯,甚至我们 Discord 中的其他人,我想,说他们认为实现的价值还没有完全实现。
Wow. Look at that. It's just surging a high day here. Well, even even someone else in our Discord, I think, said that they didn't think that the uh full value of the realization uh had uh had been realized yet.
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。