$META

Meta 通过 Muse 实现的收入多元化前景可期,但产生实质性影响还需 2-3 年;当前沉重的资本开支正在挤压自由现金流。

他说的是几年内
GOOGL v. META: Way AI Buildout Present New Mag 7 Opportunities
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-10 · 7 段内容
01:12/ 打开原视频

逐段跳播

7 段内容
1:126:31

而这正是 Meta 的代理式 AI 目前所瞄准的方向。但显然,Muse 的推出提升了 Meta 的潜力,使其有望将收入从纯粹的广告模式多元化,转向寄望于部分订阅收入,尤其是在 WhatsApp 应用上。

which is, you know, where where Meta's uh agentic AI is uh is currently targeting. but obviously, you know, the launch of Muse um has improved uh Meta's potential in terms of just trying to diversify their revenue uh from purely ad-based to hopefully some subscription side, uh especially on the on the WhatsApp uh app.

他们仅今年一年就支出 1300 亿至 1450 亿美元。那里的自由现金流已被大幅挤压。如果像 Muse 这样显然正引发大量兴奋情绪的项目,其变现可能仍需数年之久,那么投资者目前对这类支出还有多少耐心?

I mean they're spending 130 to 145 billion dollars just this year. Free cash flow has been squeezed dramatically over there. How much patience do investors have right now for spending if monetization in something like Muse, which clearly is generating a lot of excitement, is still potentially several years away?

我认为耐心正在增加,因为 Muse 的推出正显示出公司前进的方向。但总体而言,你看这只股票,它在过去 12 个月里仍然呈现出那种未必很有吸引力的下行趋势形态。

I think patience is increasing because Muse, the launch of Muse, is showing the direction towards which the company is moving. But overall, you know, you look at the stock and it still has that that not necessarily very attractive downward trading trending look during the last 12 months.

所以,我想说,如果它涨到突破 680 这一阻力位上方,那么你可能会看到市场或许会更欢迎它一些。

So, I would say that you know, the market wouldn't indicate if this goes up to above six breaks that 680 resistance, then you could see the market, you know, possibly welcome it a little bit more.

但就实际数字而言,收入可能并不显著,我们可能要到两三年后才会看到 WhatsApp 内那条消息带来显著收入。另外,我认为市场会关注的另一点是,那笔收入究竟来自哪里?是直接来自使用 WhatsApp 的消费者,还是也来自那些正在使用、并且长期以来一直在使用 WhatsApp 的中小企业?

所以,他们确实有一些途径可以在企业对企业这一侧取得一些进展,这也会让他们的收入多元化看起来好得多。

But in terms of the real numbers, yeah, I mean revenue is probably not significant we probably won't see significant revenue generated from that news within WhatsApp probably until two three years down the road. And also another thing that everyone should that I think the market would be focusing on is that where is that revenue actually coming from? Is it coming from straight from the consumers that are utilizing WhatsApp or is it also coming from the I would say SMBs, small medium-sized businesses that are utilizing and have been historically utilizing WhatsApp for a long time. So, they do have some pathway to actually make some gain some traction on the you know, business to business side which is which also will make their revenue diversification look a lot better.

但就目前而言,那笔收入要真正变得有意义,还需要两到三年。那么其他云服务提供商呢,我是说我们可以把 Google、AWS 和 Azure 都算进来。它们现在是否也必须达到同等水平的保护,才能让用户相信他们的数据是安全的?

But for the time being, yeah, two to three years for that revenue to actually be meaningful. Do other cloud providers then, I mean Google we can put AWS and Azure in here too. Do they have to match that same level of protection now just to convince users that their data is safe?

实际上,显然,在与各州总检察长达成那份我认为总额约 170 亿美元的协议之后,Meta 如今的折扣力度已经减少了。

Actually, obviously, less discounting going on on Meta these days after that agreement that I think it was around 17 billion total agreement they reached with the AGs.

观察点

股价突破阻力位
突破680美元
近期技术图表点位
若突破680美元,将表明尽管存在基本面担忧,市场对该股的态度正趋于更积极。

这个频道对 $META 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-10本条
而这正是 Meta 的代理式 AI 目前所瞄准的方向。
2026-09-09看涨
我还认为,Meta 的消息正在影响其中一些科技股。
原话 01:13 ›
看完整历史 ›
美股听风