$META

META 按约 20 倍远期盈利计算被低估;Meta Muse 的成功表明其未来收入潜力尚未被定价。

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Daniel Pronk发布 2026-09-11 · 14 段内容
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我们需要谈论的第一只股票,也是有很多更新即将出炉的,是 Meta。那么,让我向你们展示 Meta 一直在发生什么,以及为什么该股仅在过去一个月里就从低点上涨了大约 19%。

And the first stock that we need to talk about and has a lot of updates coming out is Meta. So, let me show you what has been happening with Meta and why the stock is up roughly 19% from its lows just over the past month.

现在,你可能已经听说过 Meta 正在发生什么,以及该股为何在上涨。但以防你还没听说,这主要是因为 Meta 推出了其 Meta Muse 智能体应用。

Now, you've probably heard what is going on with Meta and why the stock is rallying. But just in case you haven't, it's largely because Meta launched its Meta Muse Aentic app.

到目前为止,这款应用的反响非常出色,社交媒体一直在为这款应用能做到的事情而沸腾。事实上,在录制本视频时,MetaMuse 今天登上了应用商店的第二名,并且一直在排行榜上持续攀升。

The response to the app so far has been stellar and social media has been lighting up over what this app can do. In fact, MetaMuse reached the number two spot on the app store today at the time of recording this video and it's been continuing to move up the charts.

Alex Wang 也表示,Muse 的早期使用量已经远超他们的内部预测,用户的使用频率是测试群体的 10 倍。

Alex Wang has also said the early usage on Muse has blown past their internal projections and that users are using it 10 times more than the testing cohorts.

据我了解,Muse 可以连接到你移动设备上的应用,并执行诸如预订餐厅、支付账单、为你找到产品并实际购买、告诉你这个月花了多少钱以及你还能在哪里省下更多钱、取消你未使用的订阅、逐一回复你的电子邮件等等任务。

它基本上就是一个个人助理,通过向用户提示需要注意的任务,帮助任何人使用 AI。然后,如果你允许,它就可以去为你执行这些任务。

From my understanding, Muse can connect to your apps on your mobile device and execute tasks like booking restaurants, paying your bills, find you products and actually buy them, tell you how much money you're spending this month and where you can save even more money, cancel your unused subscriptions, go through and respond to your emails, and so much more. It is basically a personal assistant that helps anyone use AI by prompting the user about tasks that need their attention. Then it can go and execute those tasks for you if you allow it to.

好,在这个视频里,Ryan Sirant 明确表示,Metamuse 是他见过的第一个能真正为他执行任务的应用。除此之外,Meta Muse 会进入你的日历,找出你什么时候忙、什么时候有空,然后问你是否想在空闲时段预订晚餐之类的安排。

Meta Muse 还理解到他正在努力提升体能,于是问他是否想预订一家带健身房的酒店,以便在度假期间保持体能。这是它主动提出的,它自己就弄明白了,然后问他这是不是他想要的。这就是这个具备代理能力的 metamuse 应用如何能对普通用户变得更具代理性,因为不一定需要用户自己进去研究如何设置他们的代理、做所有这些工作。

而是代理在浏览你的生活,基本上是查看你的邮件、查看你的日历,然后根据你的目标为你提出建议,再问你是否希望它替你行动。在我看来,这完全是一个颠覆性的变化,也是沿着代理化道路前进的一条不同路径,因为再次强调,到目前为止,代理一直是那种你需要知道如何使用、真正去设置和编码才能让它为你工作的东西。

而现在,它有点在替你完成这些设置,只是让你的生活更轻松,如果这说得通的话。

All right. So, in this video, Ryan Sirant makes it clear that Metamuse is the first app that he has seen that can actually execute tasks for him. Now, in addition to that, Meta Muse goes into your calendar, finds where you're busy, finds where you're available, and then asks you if you want to make a dinner reservation or whatever in your open time slot. Metam Muse also understood that he is trying to increase his fitness and then asked if he wanted to book a hotel that had a gym so that he could maintain his fitness while he's on vacation. That was unprompted. It just figured this out and then asked him if that's what he wanted. And that's how this agentic metamuse app can really become more agentic for your everyday user because it's not necessarily the user having to go in and figure out how to set up their agents and do all of that work. It's the agent looking through your life, basically looking through your emails, looking through your calendar, and then making suggestions for you based on what your goals are and then asking if you wanted to act on your behalf. That is a total, in my opinion, gamecher and a different avenue heading down this agentic path because again, so far agents have been things that you need to know how to use and really set up and code and get it to work for you. Now, it's kind of doing that setup for you and just asking you to make your life easier, if that makes sense.

第二个视频说的是,MetaMuse 基本上就像口袋里有一个你自己的私人助理,能完成所有你不想做的任务。我很喜欢他举的那个例子:他收到一封邮件说有一笔账单到期,Meta 让他知道了这件事,然后说:“你想让我处理吗?”

他点了是,然后账单就付掉了。这真是太棒了。好,作为一个小企业主,不得不登录我的账户、不得不一直给别人转账,真是烦透了。很烦人。就我的时间而言,这不算什么大负担,但如果这件事能直接搞定,那就太棒了。

如果它还能回复邮件,或者只是给我发消息说,嘿,你有一封新邮件需要你处理,你想让我回复吗?回复看起来怎么样?然后我就点一下“好”。那会非常棒。那真的就像拥有你自己的私人助理一样。

The second video is saying that MetaMuse is basically like having your own personal assistant in your pocket that can do all of the tasks that you don't want to do. I really like the example that he brought up where he got an email saying that he had a bill due meta let him know and then said, "Do you want me to take care of it?" He hit yes and then the bill was paid. That is freaking awesome. All right. As a small business owner, having to go into my accounts and having to er transfer people all the time freaking sucks. It's annoying. It's not a huge lift in terms of my time, but if that could just be dealt with, it would be awesome. And if it could also respond to emails or just send me, hey, you have a new email that needs your attention. Do you want me to respond? How does the response look? And I I just hit yep. That would be incredible. It would literally be like having your own personal assistant.

而这最终就是我认为 Meta 股价本周大涨的原因,因为 Metamuse 获得了如此多的好评,而且它似乎是第一个普通消费者真正能用、并且能在日常生活中真正为他们提供价值的代理应用。这让普通人终于看到了人工智能的好处。

And this is ultimately why I think Meta Stock is taking off this week because Metamuse is getting so many good reviews and it seems like the first agentic app that can actually be used by your regular consumer and actually provide value for them in their everyday life. This is causing regular people to finally see the benefit of artificial intelligence.

所以,这是另一个人,他向他妻子展示了 Muse 能做什么:找到他们想要的一件夹克的实时折扣码。然后,Muse 把它加入他们的购物车,并以最低价格买下。另一个例子是,这个人用 Muse 找到一份食谱,并把所需的所有食材都加载到他们的 Whole Foods 购物车里。

再说一次,Muse 就这么做了。你甚至可以让 Muse 执行购买。所以简单来说,你可以告诉 Muse:“嘿,我这周晚餐想做千层面。”在网上找一份评价好的食谱,然后去 Whole Foods 找到所有需要的食材,加载我的购物车,执行购买,并把这些都寄到我家,它就会自己去为你做这些。

So, this is another person that showed his wife what Muse can do by finding live discount codes for a jacket that they wanted. Then, Muse added it to their cart and bought it at the lowest price. Another instance was this person used Muse to find a recipe and load their Whole Foods cart with all of the ingredients that were needed. And again, Muse just did that. You can even let Muse execute the purchase. So, to put that simply, you can tell Muse, "Hey, I want to make a lasagna this week for dinner." find a well-reviewed recipe online, then go and find all of the needed ingredients from Whole Foods, load my cart, execute the buy, and ship all of it to my house, and it will just go off and do that for you.

而由于 Muse 的发布以及积极的反馈,分析师们现在已开始上调 Meta 的股票评级,并终于表示它很便宜。而我认为 Muse 的发布让投资者看到了希望,认为 Meta 在人工智能上的投资正在获得回报,因为 Meta 似乎推出了任何人都能轻松使用的最好的消费者代理工具之一。

And due to the Muse launch and the positive response, analysts have now begun upgrading Meta's stock and finally saying that it's cheap. And I think the Muse launch is giving investors hope that Meta's AI investments are paying off as Meta has seemingly launched one of the best consumer agentic tools that anyone can easily use.

Meta 还向所有人提供 1 亿个免费 token,并提供订阅方案,如果你想增加使用量的话。所以这可能转化为真实的收入,以及关于使用 Meta 应用的人的大量更多数据。

Meta is also giving everyone 100 million free tokens with a subscription offering if you want to increase usage. So this could translate into real revenue and significantly more data on the people who use Meta's apps.

所以我的结论性想法是,我认为这对 Meta 的整体业务非常看涨。想一想,这是他们的消费者代理应用。这甚至还不是他们同样在快速起飞的企业代理,尤其是在 WhatsApp 上,WhatsApp 在约 20 亿美元年化收入的基础上实现了约 70% 的同比增长。

所以,想想他们面向企业的代理应用还能做什么,以及这能为 Meta 的业务创造多大的收入机会。

So my concluding thoughts are that I think this is very bullish for Meta's overall business. And think about it, this is their consumer agentic app. This isn't even their business agents that are also taking off, especially in WhatsApp where WhatsApp is seeing about 70% year-over-year revenue growth on about $2 billion of annualized revenue. Now, so just think about what their agentic apps for businesses could also do and the revenue opportunity that could create for Meta's business.

而我过去几个月在股市里也一直在大量买入 Meta,Meta 实际上已成为我投资组合中的第三大持仓,现在接近 10%,原因是我不认为该股反映了任何这些未来的收入潜力。事实上,我认为相对于现有的广告业务今天的状况,Meta 的股票是被低估的,因为即使经历了过去一个月股价 19% 的上涨,它的市盈率仍然只有约 20 倍的远期盈利。

而这是世界上最高质量的业务之一,它似乎还在继续突破边界,并在人工智能领域也处于领先。它正在创造如此多的新产品,还有如此多的收入可选性即将到来。再说一次,它只有 20 倍的远期盈利。

所以,我仍然相信,即使经历了 Meta 股价的这波小幅上涨,它仍然被低估。如果它维持在这个水平,那么我打算在我的房子交割、现金释放出来后,买入更多 Meta 股票。

Now, why I have also been buying so much Meta in the stock market over the past few months and Meta has actually become the third largest position in my portfolio at almost 10% now is because I don't think the stock is reflecting any of this future revenue potential. In fact, I think Meta Stock is discounted relative to what the existing advertising business is today because even after this 19% bump that the share price has seen over the past month, it is still trading for only about 20 times forward earnings. And this is one of the highest quality businesses in the world who seems like it is continuing to push the boundaries and lead in the AI world as well. And it is creating so many new products and it has so much revenue optionality coming. And again, it's only at 20 times forward earnings. So, I continue to believe that even after this little share price boost that Meta has seen, it is still undervalued. And if it remains here, then I plan on buying a lot more Meta stock after my home closes and my cash frees up.

所以,作为 Amazon 股东,这是我的结论。Amazon 的广告业务是受 Meta 的 Muse 这类代理购物应用影响风险最大的部分。

So here is my conclusion as an Amazon shareholder. Amazon's advertising business is what is at most risk from agentic shopping apps like Meta's Muse.

这个频道对 $META 的历次判断

Daniel Pronk 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-11看涨本条
我们需要谈论的第一只股票,也是有很多更新即将出炉的,是 Meta。
2026-09-08看涨
事实上,Vestra 最近与 Meta 和 Amazon 签署了为期 20 年的购电协议。
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