看多 META,认为其估值偏低、执行力强劲且有资本支持,预计未来 12-24 个月将跑赢大盘。
逐段跳播
Meta 现在押注于让 AI 对普通人来说感觉是安全的。周二,Meta 推出了 Muse(拼写为 mus),这是一款个人 AI 智能体,可以替你购物、回复你的邮件、预订你的航班、提醒你喝茶的时间,以及你能想象到的任何事,全部通过像 iMessage 这样的对话式应用界面完成。
这是 Meta 迄今最大的一次押注,试图把今年约 1300 亿美元的 AI 支出转化为普通消费者真正会使用的东西,并帮助他们从这 1300 亿美元的投资中获得一点回报。
Meta now betting on making AI feel safe for the regular person. On Tuesday, Meta launched Muse, spelled mus, a personal AI agent that can shop for you, respond to your emails, book your flights, remind you about your tea times, everything you could possibly imagine on doing, all through a conversational app interface like iMessage. It's Meta's biggest swing yet at turning roughly $130 billion in AI spending this year into something that the average consumer will actually use and help them get a little bit of return on that $130 billion investment.
华尔街立刻为之叫好。消息公布后,Meta 股价大涨 6.5%,收于 654 美元,Missouo 给出 750 美元的目标价,Key Bank 甚至更高,为每股 780 美元。
Wall Street loved it immediately. Meta stock surged 6.5% on the announcement, closing at $654 with Missouo slapping a $750 price target and Key Bank going even higher at $780 a share.
但如果你想看华尔街对 Meta 的所有目标价,请访问 wall street favorites.com。全都在那里。它是互联网上最好的股票聚合工具。
But if you want to see all of Wall Street's price targets for Meta, go to wall street favorites.com. It's all right there. It is the best stock aggregating tool on the internet.
Austin,这就是 Meta 在安全方面实际想要达成的规模。我们知道他们刚刚经历了那笔巨额和解,以及其他种种。所以我认为这对他们来说时机很好。每个 Muse 智能体都运行在自己专属的云计算机上,与其他每个用户的智能体相互隔离,并且有一个第二重监督智能体对其进行监控,除非特别批准,否则会阻止其访问互联网。
所以,我认为这真的很聪明。他们现在正在打安全牌,而在这笔和解之后紧接着推出这个,对公司和对股价都非常非常有利。
Austin, here's the scale of what Meta is actually trying to pull off with safety. We know they just went through this big settlement, everything else. So I think this is good timing for them. And each Muse agent runs on its own dedicated cloud computer walled off from every other user's agent. and a second watchdog agent monitors it and blocks internet access unless specifically approved. So, I think it's really smart. They're playing the safety game right now and launching this right after the settlement is really, really good for the company and the stock price.
同一周,Meta 正在请求数百万普通人把一个 AI 智能体的访问权限交给他们的电子邮件、日历和信用卡。周四上午,有消息传出,Meta 去年据报为招募而开出价值最高达 15 亿美元薪酬包的研究员 Andrew Tullk,就在我们撰写此文之际正离职前往 anthropic。
The same week, Meta is asking millions of regular people to hand an AI agent access to their email, calendar, and credit cards. Thursday morning, news broke that Andrew Tullk, the researcher Meta reportedly offered a pay package worth up to $1.5 billion to recruit last year, is leaving for anthropic as we write this.
而这并非一次孤立的偶发事件。Meta 自己的首席 AI 科学家 Yan Lakun,AI 真正的教父之一,在 12 年后于去年 11 月离开了公司,称他对 AI 研究的愿景已经与 Meta 领导层希望 AI 走向的方向根本不相容。
And this isn't just an isolated blip. Meta's own chief AI scientist, Yan Lakun, one of the actual godfathers of AI, left the company back in November after 12 years, saying that his vision for AI research had gone fundamentally incompatible with where Meta's leadership wanted to go with AI.
股市现在告诉你的是一个故事,那就是 Meta 因为一款非常酷的消费产品而上涨 6.5%,而我正是这款产品的粉丝。Robert 和我,我们讨论过 Meta 被低估了。几周前在这里,我们开始更多地小口买入。
Meta 确实是一家非常酷的公司,我认为我们会回过头来看 2026 年,把 Magnificent 7 作为一个整体来看其回报的缺失。我们会快进 12、18、24 个月然后说:“等等,2026 年是买入更多 Mag 7 股票的大好时机。”
但是,你知道,我们当时却在看这个或看那个。所以,我仍然非常看好 Mag 7,尤其是 Meta。
The stock market's telling you one story right now, which is Meta up six and a half percent on a really cool consumer product, which I'm a fan of. Robert and I, we talked about Meta being undervalued. A couple weeks ago here, we started nibbling more at it. Like Meta is a really cool company, and I think we're going to look back at 2026 and the lack of returns in the Magnificent 7 as a as a sort of group here. We're going to fast forward 12, 18, 24 months and say, "Wait a second, 2026 was a great time to buy more Mag 7 stocks." But, you know, we were kind of looking at this or looking at that instead. So, I'm still very bullish on the Mag 7, specifically Meta.
但这不是卖出 Meta 的理由。我自己的投资组合里就有 Meta 股票。我知道 Robert 也有。Zuckerberg 既有资产负债表,也有意愿继续每年花费 1300 亿美元以上,直到有东西成功为止。
Muse 会成功吗?也许会,也许不会,但他锲而不舍。所以,如果你持有 Meta 股票,你押注的是 Mark Zuckerberg 的执行力以及他们资产负债表上的资本。而不是某个可能会说“哦,看,我们不如去那边,去当时最光鲜的公司工作吧”的 AI 研究员。
这正是为什么每当有人离开,他就不断开出这些九位数和十位数的支票来填补空缺。他们会说:“嘿,谁比他们更强?我怎么把他们招进团队?”因为我们正走向这个 AI 的未来。Mark Zuckerberg 想要引领这条路。
But that's not a reason to sell Meta. I've got Meta stock in my own portfolio. I know Robert does as well. Zuckerberg has both the balance sheet and the willingness to keep spending that $130 billion plus per year until something sticks. Is Muse going to stick? Maybe it does, maybe it doesn't, but he is relentless. So, if you own Meta Stock, you are betting on Mark Zuckerberg's execution and the capital on their balance sheet. Not a single AI researcher that might be saying, "Oh, look, let's go do this over here instead for the flashiest company to work for at the time." That's exactly why he keeps writing these nine and ten figure checks to plug the hole every time someone leaves. They say, "Hey, who's better than them? How do I get them on the team?" Because we're trending toward this AI future. Mark Zuckerberg wants to lead the way.
那么 Meta 也是,对吧?
So is Meta, right?
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
Rich Habits 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。