Meta被低估,是Mag 7中最便宜的股票,并有望在12至24个月内将市值翻倍至3万亿美元。
逐段跳播
Meta 低了 23%。
Met is 23% below.
比如 Meta,在我录制这段视频时股价大约每股 610 美元,市值 1.56 万亿美元。所以 Meta 的股价大约是 15 倍市盈率。但 Meta 这家公司实际上要大 95 倍。
Like Meta at $610 per share roughly as I'm making this video, $1.56 trillion market cap. So Meta share price is about 15 times I ren. But Meta Company is actually 95 times bigger.
所以,这就是为什么人们说 Meta 股票很贵,仅仅因为股价贵,老实说这根本说不通。
So, this is why people say meta stock is expensive just because the share price is expensive, which honestly doesn't make any sense.
Meta 是 23,
Meta is 23,
现在第二个来源,以及下一个论点,就是把自己放在买方的位置上。那么买方是谁?买方是 Microsoft。是 Meta。是所有那些超大规模云厂商。如果你是 Meta,或者你是 Microsoft,或者你是一个正在建设国家级数据中心的主权基金,你即将在芯片上花费数百亿美元,对吧?
Now the second source and the you know next argument is put yourself in the seat of the buyer. So who's the buyer? Well the buyer is Microsoft. It's Meta. It's all the you know hyperscalers. If you're Meta or you're Microsoft or you're a sovereign fund building a national data center, you are about to spend tens of billions on chips, right?
我们来看下一只股票,也就是 Meta。23 倍市盈率。这就是我在说的。非常好的价值,一家 1.56 万亿美元的公司,是名单上最大的企业,也是市盈率最低的公司之一。
Let's go over into our next stock, which is Meta. 23 PE ratio. This is what I'm talking about. Very good value, $1.56 trillion company, the biggest business on the list and one of the lowest PE ratios.
所以一家 1.5 万亿美元的公司以 23 倍盈利交易。在我看来简直好得惊人。而且 Meta 是 MAG 7 中最便宜的股票。
So a trillion half dollar company trading at 23 times earnings. Looks freaking amazing to me. And Meta is the cheapest MAG 7 stock.
Ford 的市盈率最低。你可以在这里看到,最高的是 Tesla。接下来是 Apple。然后是 Amazon、Google、Microsoft 和 Nvidia。再然后是 SPY,也就是整个标普 500。最后是 Meta,最低中的最低。
Ford PE ratio is the lowest. You can see here the highest is Tesla. Apple is next. Then we have Amazon and Google and Microsoft and Nvidia. And then here is the SPY or you know the whole entire S&P 500. And then we have Meta the lowest of the lowest.
所以 Meta 被广泛认为是 Mag 7 中最便宜的股票。像 Meta 这样声誉良好、稳定、庞大的公司,当它在 8 月中旬股价处于 500 多美元区间时,这绝对是一笔捡漏。
So Meta is widely considered the cheapest Mac7 stock. a company as reputable, stable, massive as Meta when it was trading in the mid500 range in mid August. This was an absolute steal.
你可以在这里看到,我刚刚在我的 Discord 社区里说,我买入了 25 股 Meta。这是非常小的数量。我买这么少的原因是我只是在定投。我已经有 Meta 了。我有 Meta 的 LEAP 期权。
我有 Meta 的 560 LEAP 和 Meta 的 580 LEAP。
You can see here that I was just telling my Discord community I bought 25 shares of Meta. Now, that's a very small amount. And the reason why I did such a small amount was because I was just dollar cost averaging. I already had Meta. I had LEAP options on Meta. I had 560 LEAP on Meta and 580 LEAP on Meta.
而且,等我不久后开始我的新挑战时,我大概会在接下来几周内公布。我可能会交易更多 Meta,因为我相信 Meta 非常便宜。
And you know, when I have my new challenge pretty soon here, I'll announce it probably in the next couple of weeks. I'm probably going to be trading more meta because Meta, I believe, is very cheap.
所以,我说过我在这些价位喜欢这些股票,人们很兴奋。你也可以在这里看到,Meta 股票用于多种策略。我一直在用它。我把它用于 wheel 2.0,那是我最近做的一个视频,是我独有的。
我运行 wheel 策略已经很长时间了,但我开始对这个策略做了一些调整。所以,我把 Meta 用于 wheel 2.0。我把 Meta 用于 LEAP 期权。顺便说一下,这些是我在 8 月开立的其他一些仓位。
所以你可以看到这里 8 月 24 日。你卖出 LEAP 看跌期权。你可以看到这里还有更多 LEAP 期权和交易在进行,是我发布在 Discord 社区里的。
So, I said I like these stocks at these levels and people were excited. You can also see here that Meta stock for multiple strategies. I've been using it. So, I've been using it for the wheel 2.0, which is a video that I recently made, unique to me. I've been running the wheel for a long time, but I started to adapt the strategy a bit more. So, I use meta for the wheel 2.0. I use Meta for LEAP options. And by the way, these are some of the other positions that I opened up in August. So you can see August 24th here. You sell LEAP puts. You can see more stuff going on here of LEAP options and trades that I was posting in my Discord community.
Meta 处于 600 出头,它仍有很大的增长空间。这是一个世代性的财富机会。我真的相信这一点。我认为 Meta 将从 1.5 万亿变成一家 3 万亿美元的公司。而且我认为这在 12 到 24 个月内是可能的,这是一个相当大胆和疯狂的陈述,但我不是财务顾问,不过我认为这就是 Meta 可能做到的。
Meta being in the low 600s, it still has a lot of room to grow. This is a generational wealth opportunity. I truly believe that. I think Meta will be a $3 trillion company coming from 1.5. And I think that's possible in 12 to 24 months, which is a pretty bold and crazy statement, but not a financial adviser, but I think that is what's possible for Meta.
所以,先把 AI 的故事放到一边。Meta 是一家广告公司。对,这主要是他们做的事。如果你登录 Meta,你会看到大量广告。你每次刷信息流时都会看到广告。而且 Facebook 上其实有很多年纪较大的一代人。
所以这对广告主来说非常有利可图,因为显然年纪较大的人花钱的倾向更高。所以这对广告主很有吸引力。
So, strip away the AI story for a second. Meta is an advertising company. Okay, that's primarily what they do. If you log into Meta, you'll see a ton of advertisements. You'll see ads every time you're scrolling the feed. And there's actually a lot of kind of older generation on Facebook. So that is very lucrative for advertisers because obviously folks that are older have a higher propensity to spend money. So that is attractive to advertisers.
广告是任何企业最重要的功能,因为如果没有广告,你就没有销售,而没有销售,你就没有生意。如果你没有任何销售,产品根本不重要。对,不幸的是事情就是这样运作的。Meta 是全世界最有价值的公司之一,因为你需要眼球来产生销售,你需要那种注意力,而那是通过广告实现的。
Advertising is the most important function of any business because without advertising you don't have sales and without sales you don't have a business. The product doesn't matter if you don't have any sales. Okay, that's unfortunately how things work. Meta is the most one of the most valuable companies in the entire world because of the fact that you need eyeballs to make sales and you need that attention and that's through advertising.
所以他们有 Facebook、Instagram、WhatsApp 和 Threads。我非常讨厌 Threads。我甚至没有 Threads。其实我现在连 Instagram 也没有。
所以要非常小心。我在 Instagram 的评论区里有很多骗子和垃圾信息发送者。真正与我合作的唯一途径是通过我的简介。对,我之所以想起这一点,是因为我在这里看到 Instagram,而我最近停用了我的 Instagram。
我不太喜欢社交媒体。我只是很喜欢 YouTube。但这里的 Facebook,非常强劲。Instagram 对他们来说显然巨大。WhatsApp,他们并不是真的,他们并不是,天哪,WhatsApp。
对,如果你们在评论区看到像 WhatsApp 这样的东西,所有 YouTube 频道上都有成片的骗子。我有一个助理在删除所有那些假装是我的人。但 WhatsApp,他们没有在变现。
他们正试图稍微更好地变现,但 WhatsApp 有那么多用户。我认为最终它会变得对他们有价值。
So they have Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and threads. I hate threads so much. I don't even have threads. I actually don't even have an Instagram either right now. So be very careful. There's a lot of scammers and spammers in my comment section on Instagram. The only way to actually work with me is through my description. Okay, I was reminded of that because I see Instagram here and I recently deactivated my Instagram. I don't like social media too much. Uh I just like YouTube a lot. But Facebook here, um very strong. Instagram obviously huge for them. WhatsApp, they're not really like um they're not, you know, oh my goodness, WhatsApp. Yeah, if you guys ever see like WhatsApp in the comment section, there's like an ocean of scammers on all the YouTube channels. I have an assistant deleting all those people that pretend to be me. But WhatsApp, they're not monetizing. They are trying to monetize a little bit better, but they have so many users for WhatsApp. I think eventually it'll be valuable for them.
所以不管怎样,数十亿人,每天花好几个小时,在一个向其他公司收费以触达他们的生意里。基本上是地球上最大的注意力池。按小时出租。这门生意已经在印钱了,而且正是它在为 Meta 所做的一切其他事情提供资金,那就是广告业务。
So anyways, billions of people, several hours a day in a business that charges other companies to reach them. Basically the largest attention pool on Earth. Rented out by the hour. The business is already printing money and it's the one funding everything else that Meta does and that is the advertising business.
那么为什么 Meta 在 AI 链条中?我们来谈谈这个。Meta 是这份名单上最大的买家。芯片、电力、数据中心。Meta 正在以几乎无人能及的规模开出这些支票。
So why Meta is in the AI chain? Let's talk about that. Meta is the biggest buyer on this list. Chips, power, data centers. Meta is writing those checks at a scale almost nobody matches.
是的,我知道我把数据中心拼错了。总之,Meta 计划到 2026 年在 AI 基础设施投资上投入最多 1450 亿美元。新发布的是 AI 智能体任务模型,Muse、Spark 1.3。
我非常看好 AI 这一部分。我认为他们真正把它整合好还需要一些时间,但 AI 是一个新兴行业。
And yes, I know I misspelled um data centers. Anyways, Meta planning up to 145 billion toward AI infrastructure investments through 2026. And the new release is AI gentic task models. You know, Muse, Spark 1.3. I'm very bullish on the AI portion. I think it's going to take some time for them to really get it together, but AI is a new industry.
所以,是的,另一面就是,为什么这只股票跌了这么多?AI 支出极其庞大,这一直是担忧所在。他们花的钱是不是超出了他们能承受的范围?如果你是一个日内交易者,如果你是短线操作,也许确实如此,那是有风险的,对吧?
那是有风险且危险的。但对我这样一个长期投资者来说,我并不真的在意。我不是想在赌场里赌博,我也不是在做日内交易。我追求的是可重复、稳定的收益,而且我一直做得很成功。所以,我根本不看短期,我只看长期。
So, yeah, the flip side is now you know why did the stock fall so much? the AI spending is enormous and that's always the concern. Are they spending more money than they can afford? Hey, if you're a day-to-day trader, if you're short-term, maybe they are and that's that's risky, right? That's risky and dangerous. But for me as a long-term investor, I don't really care. I'm not trying to be in the casino gambling. And I'm not day trading either. I'm looking for repeatable consistent income and I've been very successful at that. So, I'm not looking at the short term at all. I'm just looking at the long term.
所以,Meta 遇到了一些法律问题。同样,都是可以解决的问题。他们确实输掉了一场儿童安全方面的诉讼,法律风险继续笼罩着这项业务,而这非常重要,因为是的,那会让他们损失很多钱。但它确实,你知道,不想过多陷入伦理问题,但他们似乎确实有很多伦理问题,而且它们非常容易让人上瘾,还针对儿童等等。
好吧,我不打算深入讨论这件事的政治或伦理。我们在这里只是为了赚钱、投资企业。而从商业角度看,这是一门很强的生意。好吧。他们能不能做得更好?我认为可以。但世界就是这样运转的。
So, Meta has had some legal issues. Again, all solvable stuff. They did lose a child safety trials and legal risks continue to loom over the business and that is very significant because yeah, that's going to cost them a lot of money. But it did, you know, not to get into crazy too much ethics, but they do seem to have a lot of ethical issues and they're very addictive and targeting children, etc. Okay, I'm not going to get into the politics or the ethics of this. We're just here to, you know, make money and invest in businesses. And from a business perspective, it's a strong business. Okay. Could they do things better? I think so. But that's how the world works.
Meta 是一个独特的混合型案例,我在卖出看跌期权、做 LEAPS 期权以及其他期权策略。
Meta is a unique hybrid case where I'm selling put options, doing leap options, and other option strategies.
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
Invest with Henry 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。