因 680-685 附近的技术阻力以及财报前的预期回调，短期看空 META。
逐段跳播
你这里的最后一个标的是 Meta。Don，我得说，每当你试图给我们抛出一个看涨交易时，我都很欣赏，因为我知道你是个常驻空头，那是你的默认立场。所以，当你有看涨观点时，对我来说总是很有趣。
不过你怎么看 Meta？因为我敢打赌，在这个标的上你会逆着炒作走。
Your last one here is Meta. And Don, I have to say I do appreciate whenever you try to throw a bullish trade in there for us because I know you are a resident bear and that is your default.
So, it's always fun for me when you have one. But how are you looking at at Meta? Because I'm going to I'm going to bet you're going against the hype here with this name.
是的，确实如此。我对交易 Meta 有一种爱恨交织的关系。这与产品无关，只是对这个特定标的爱恨交织。但眼下，这很大程度上是一个重要的技术阻力位，Rick 马上就会给大家展示。大约在 680 到 685 这个水平附近一直是一个重要阻力，你可以看到今天市场就在这个水平附近搏杀，真的是在搏杀。
不过我也看到，甚至今天早上还有大量看涨期权买入，这是极其看涨的活动，但它消退了，而且消退得非常非常快。所以，在这种特定情况下，我要做的就是看空，但只是最低限度地、在财报前非常短期地看空，我就直接做到 O9、10 月 9 日到期。
我选这个，只是因为我想要更贴近当下、在此时此刻交易它。给自己三、四周时间，足以出现一点回调。而这正是我需要的。所以，10 月 9 日到期。我要买入 675 看跌期权，同时卖出 670 看跌期权，就是一个 5 美元宽的看跌价差，目标标的跌破 670。
这个现在报价 235 的权利金。这非常接近我所说的那种风险一比一的交易。但鉴于 Meta 一直相当波动，尤其是在这个区间内，我认为这个交易在接下来几周内实现的可能性不小。
You know, I am. I I have a lovehate uh relationship with with trading Meta. It has nothing to do with the products, just a lovehate relationship with this with this particular product.
But at this point, this is very much a uh big-time technical kind of resistance, which Rick is uh going to display to you guys in just a moment. somewhere in or around this kind of 680 685 level um has been a big time kind of resistance and you know you can see the marketplace today fighting literally fighting right in and around that level.
Um I've also seen though some heavy call buying even this morning which is uh incredibly bullish activity in there but it faded and it faded very very quickly. So, all I'm going to do in this particular circumstance, I'm going to bear up, but just minimally, very short-term before its earnings, I'm just going to go out to the O9 O 9 expiration.
I'm selecting that simply because I want to trade this a little bit more in the here and now in the present. You know, giving myself, you know, three, four weeks is more than enough time for a little bit of a pullback.
And that's all I really need. So, Oct 9 expiration. I'm going to buy the 675 puts and I'm going to sell the 670 puts against it's just a $5 wide put spread looking for the underlying under 670.
This one's going for a 235 debit. It's very close to what I would term like kind of a risk one to be able to make one. But uh given the fact that Meta has been fairly volatile uh especially in this range, I I think that there's a decent probability of this uh playing out in the in just the next couple of weeks to come.
好的。看那个盈亏平衡点，它大约比我们现在的交易价低 4 美元，Rick。现在我们在 676.50 左右。你在技术形态上看到了什么？Don 刚才强调的那些价位里，有哪个让你觉得突出？
All right. And as I'm looking at that break even, it's just about $4 below where we're trading right now, Rick. Right now, we're at 676 and50 or so. Uh what are you seeing in the technical setup here in any of the levels that Don was just highlighting there stand out to you?
对。所以，在经历一轮急剧上涨后，又再次接近一个重要的阻力区。我认为 Don 指的可能是我们看到的这两个高点，它们再次构成了这个阻力区。所以，在大约 687 到 692 之间，在当前这种情况下确实是一个值得关注的区域。
我们确实突破了长期向下倾斜的蓝色趋势线。我们也确实突破了在 659 附近形成的这个缺口。所以缺口已经被回补。所以现在这肯定是一个有趣的形态，因为如果我们再次向下突破，638 到 626 是我们有另一个缺口的地方。
如果我们向上突破阻力区，那么我们在 742 附近还有另一个显著的缺口、一个高点、随后的一个低点，以及另一个高点。所以，有很多价位需要记住。这是一张缺口相当多的图表，尤其是注意到这里有很多非常明显的缺口。
所以，我们的 5 日 EMA，深蓝色，660.14，是短期均线所在的位置。所以，如果我们真的开始跌破通道，那可能是一个值得关注的潜在支撑点。RSI 也推入了超买区域，72.8。
所以，RSI 在趋势市场中通常被解读为未来走强的信号。但我注意到，我们这里更像是区间震荡的区域。我们在同一区域附近有反复出现的高点。我们在同一区域附近也有反复出现的低点。所以，那可能反而是相反的解读，更像是这个名称听起来的那样。
它可能是一个信号，表明随着我们接近区间顶部，情况正变得有点过热。我们也接近控制点，位于 658.64。我们的节点总体在 649 到 676。
Right. So again, uh approaching an a significant resistance area after a sharp upside rally here. So I I believe probably what Don's referring to is these two highs that we saw again giving us this resistance zone.
So here between about 687 to 692 really stands out as an area to watch out for in this in this uh current situation here. We did break above our long-term downward sloping blue trend line.
Uh we did also break through this gap that was formed here near 659. So the gap has been filled. Uh so an interesting setup now to be sure here because if we were to break lower once again 638 to 626 is where we have another gap.
If we were to push higher above our resistance zone, we do we then have a a another prominent gap here and a high, a subsequent low, and another high there near 742. So, a lot of levels to keep in mind here.
Quite quite a gappy chart, particularly uh uh you know, noticing that there's a lot of very noticeable gaps here in this in this uh situation. So, our 5day EMA in dark blue 66014 uh is where that uh shortterm moving average would register here.
So, if we do start to break below our channel, that could be one point to watch for potential support. RSI also pushing into the over uh bought area, 72.8. So, RSI is often typically interpreted as a sign of strength to come in a trending market here.
But what I notice is that we're in kind of more of a rangebound area here. We have our repeated highs around this same area. We have repeated lows around the same area, too. So, that kind of would be probably the opposite read, then more like the name sounds.
It could be a sign that things are getting a little overheated uh as we approach the top of our range. We are near the point of control as well uh coming in at 65864. Our node in general 649 to 676.
好的。Meta 现在在 675.85。本交易日目前上涨接近 1%。
All right. And meta right now is at 675.85. Uh trading close to a percent higher right now on the session.
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 5 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。