$META

META 被低估;预期每股收益增长 20%(高于市场共识的 15.6%),支撑 1,470 至 1,900 美元的目标价。

看涨他说的是几年内
《why stocks are skyrocketing [spoiler: it's just getting started]》
Meet Kevin发布 2026-09-21 · 13 段内容
03:22/ 打开原视频

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13 段内容
3:2222:28

同时,机会也出现在像 Meta 这样此前被落下的标的上。真正值得注意的是,两个月前我就提出科技股即将迎来一轮转变,并在 8 月 28 日特别点名 Meta,称 Meta 的股价即将大幅飙升。

It's also opportunities coming to left behind plays like MetaP which what's really remarkable here is two months ago I argued that there was a transition coming to tech stocks and I specifically called out Meta on August 28th saying that Meta stock was about to skyrocket.

8 月 28 日 Meta 收于 566,仅略高于这条橙色的传奇线。显然,现在它已经到 712 美元,上涨了 7%。甚至上周,我还重申了我对 700 美元以上的判断,或者说我对本周 700 美元的判断。

到本周五,我的目标是 Meta 会涨到 700 美元。

August 28th Meta closed for 566 which is barely above this orange legendary line here. Obviously, now it's at $712. It's up 7%. Even last week, I reiterated my over $700 call or my $700 call for this week.

By this Friday, my target was that Meadow was going to get to $700.

但我想给你看一些它的财务数据,因为在我看来,这是一个仍然便宜的标的。为什么 Meta 的股价即将猛烈飙升。那是在 8 月 28 日。那甚至是一个公开视频,你甚至不需要是课程会员就能看到,因为我一直大声强调 Meta 已经变得多么便宜。

But I want to show you some of the financials on it because to me, this is a play that's still cheap. why Meta Stock is about to violently skyrocket. And that was on August 28th.

So that was even a public video. You didn't even have to be a course member to see that one because I've been so vocal about how cheap Meta has gotten.

如果你看 Meta 的估值,不只是它的估值,还有 Meta 正在发生的事情。如果你看我们整理的 Meta 文件,你能看到几个不同的东西。

If you look at Meta's valuation, not just their valuation, but what's going on with Meta. If you look at the Meta documents we've put together, you can see a few different things.

第一,我写到他们正在为即将推出的 Hatch 发布投入资金,那最终就是代号 Hatch,最终成为 Muse 项目,而它已经彻底爆红。它基本上就是把智能体带给大众,就像 Rockbot 一样。

one you I wrote that they're spending on their Hatch release that's coming that ended up that was code name Hatch that ended up being the Muse project which has gone absolutely viral.

It's basically bringing agents to the masses like Rockbot.

它实际上只是让像 Metamuse 这样的产品获得更多关注。它确实非常令人印象深刻。他们也在花大量资金为 Metamuse 做广告。他们与创作者做了很多合作。

It actually just brings more attention to a product like Metamuse. It's actually very impressive. They are spending a ton of money advertising Metamuse as well. Lot of partnerships that they've been doing with creators.

我没有参与任何合作。我只是在社区里看到这些。他们也在做的是,把智能体带给大众,就像 Grockbot 一样。而你必须知道 Grockbot X 平台与 Meta 的用户基数差异:前者每月大约 4 亿用户,而 Meta 平均每日为 32 亿。

Um I haven't taken any partnerships. I just I just see this in the community. Uh they've also, you know, what they're doing is they're bringing agents to the masses like Grockbot.

And you have to know the user base difference between a Grockbot X platform which is around 400 million users per month compared to Meta at 3.2 billion on an average daily basis.

所以,广告,AI 基本上是把广告挤进人们去娱乐的目的地,而智能体不会去那些地方。在我看来,Meta 即便在这个价格上仍然便宜得离谱。

So, advertising, you know, AI is is basically squeezing advertising into destinations people go for entertainment, which agents aren't going to. Meta to me is still dirt cheap even at this price.

现在显然我对我这里谈到的一些标的,包括 Meta,有持仓,因为我,我相信这些数字。我们是把资金押在我们的判断上。但我在这里只是保持透明。

Uh now obviously I have exposure to some of the names that I'm talking about here, Meta included, because I, you know, I believe in these numbers. We're putting our money where our mouth is. But I'm just being transparent here.

目前市场只预测 Meta 的每股收益增长为 9.61%。在未来一年,在我看来这真的很低。而我的看法是,他们未来四年每股收益的平均增长可能更接近 20%。华尔街的预期是 15.6。所以我对增长的看法比华尔街更看多一些。

Markets right now are only forecasting that Meta's earnings per share growth is going to be 9.61%. Uh over the next year, that's really low in my opinion. And my take is that uh they're probably going to average growth closer to 20% on earnings per share over the next four years.

Wall Street sits at 15.6. So I'm a little bit more bullish on growth than what Wall Street is.

不仅是即将推出的 watermelon 发布,还有 Metam Muse 的情况。如果你按 20% 的平均增长来算,这只股票的 peg 为 1。在我看来,像这样的股票应该在 2.6 左右交易。

69。这让这家公司的估值介于华尔街预期的 1,470 美元到接近 Kevin 预期的 1,900 美元之间。

Not only with the watermelon release coming out, but also what you have with Metam Muse. If you factor this at 20% average growth, this stock is trading for a one peg. Any like a stock like this to me should be trading for somewhere around 2.6.

69. That puts this company between $1,470 on Wall Street estimates to nearly $1,900 on the Kevin estimates.

例如 Cloudflare 上涨 5.7%,与上涨 5.4% 的 Cerebraas 并驾齐驱。Meta 上涨 7%。苹果收涨。苹果理应比这涨得更多。Nvidia 也一样。但 Nvidia 必须突破 227 这道墙。

一旦 Nvidia 突破 227,在我看来,那才是硬件行情真正启动的时候,而且会水涨船高。你会从 227 涨到 300 以上,这是我对 Nvidia 的看法,而且会非常迅速。

Cloudflare for example is up 5.7% right up there with Cerebraas up 5.4. Meta's up 7%. Apple's green. Apple deserves to be even more green than that. So does Nvidia. But Nvidia's got to break through the 227 wall.

Once Nvidia breaks through 227, that in my opinion is is really when the hardware rally is underway and it lifts all ships. You'll go from 227 to over 300 is my take on Nvidia really rapidly.

或者你能够以更低的利率融资,就像 Google、Meta 或 SpaceX 那样,因为你在硬件之外,也就是数据中心之外,有一项非常赚钱的其他业务。

or you're able to finance at lower rates like Google or Meta or SpaceX because you have a really profitable other business outside of hardware uh for for data centers.

观察点

每股收益的增长轨迹
未来四年均值接近20%
未来四年未来的财报
若实现则支持看涨论点;若增长仍维持在9.61%或15.6%的预测附近,则削弱该论点

这个频道对 $META 的历次判断

Meet Kevin 在这只股票上共 17 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-21看涨
Meta 也一路狂飙。我们在 Meta 上有六位数的敞口,对此我们真的非常非常兴奋,但也不至于这么快。这就是我说的,有时候这东西就是涨得这么快。天哪,当天涨了 12.5%。这简直太离谱了。
原话 02:15 ›
2026-09-21看涨本条
同时,机会也出现在像 Meta 这样此前被落下的标的上。真正值得注意的是,两个月前我就提出科技股即将迎来一轮转变,并在 8 月 28 日特别点名 Meta,称 Meta 的股价即将大幅飙升。
2026-09-18看涨
Meta,我的目标是下周达到 700。我们收在 666,魔鬼的数字。所以,我们看看会发生什么。我看好它。
原话 06:33 ›
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