$MNDY

Monday.com 基本面强劲且具备上行潜力,但仅凭这一点并不足以构成买入理由。

《If You Missed Palantir at $25... It's Happening Again》
Everything Money发布 2026-09-22 · 17 段内容
17:36/ 打开原视频

逐段跳播

17 段内容
17:3623:26

现在,各位,monday.com。这是我们的第三个也是最后一个竞争对手。交易代码:MNDY。monday.com 过去以一款简单的待办事项应用而闻名。现在不再是了。它已经演变成整个公司用来跟踪其运营的地方。

谁在做什么?什么已经停止?每个部门的下一步是什么?

Now, folks, monday.com. That's our third and final competitor. Trading symbol: MNDY. monday.com used to be known as a simple to-do list app. Not anymore. It's evolved into where entire companies keep track of their operations.

Who's doing what? What's stopped? What's next in each department?

现在,各位,我跟你们说实话。这个对比是华尔街所做的三个对比中最弱的一个。没关系。我们不是来强行编造一个故事去套现实的。我们是来根据华尔街的说法做数学计算,算出这家企业的价值。

Now, folks, I'll be honest with you. This comparison is the weakest of the three that Wall Street makes. That's okay. We're not here to impose A story to fit reality. We're here to do the math based on what Wall Street is saying and figure out the value of this business.

随着系统进行搜索,各位,这是一家估值为 34.8 亿美元的公司。企业价值很低。这再次意味着现金多于债务,这一点我们很喜欢。

As the system searches, guys, it's a company valued at $3.48 billion. Enterprise value is low. That means, again, more cash than debt, which we love.

看看这个。它的售价仅为自由现金流的 13 倍。我打赌这会是上涨的股票之一,而它已经在这里了。

Look at this. It's selling for only 13 times its free cash flow. I bet this is going to be one of the ups, and it's already here.

第一,营收增长依然异常强劲。一年增长 24%。三年年化增长 30%。五年 44%。这非常巨大。第二,AI 在提升客户价值,而不只是抬高成本。Monday.com 正在增加产品和功能。

以 AI 为核心融入他们的平台。如果 AI 帮助客户实现工作流程自动化,这将进一步帮助他们。

Number one, revenue growth is still unusually strong. One-year growth, 24%. Three-year annual growth, 30%. Five-year, 44%. That's huge. Number two, AI is increasing customer value instead of just raising costs.

Monday.com is adding products and capabilities. AI-centric to their platform. If AI helps customers automate workflows, this will help them even more.

第三,现金创造的增长快于运营费用。我很喜欢这一点。看看这个。Monday.com 目前正在产生可观的现金流。去年 3 亿美元。他们的利润率为 22%。当前的市价与自由现金流比率为 12.8%。这些都是重要的事情。

Number three, cash generation is growing faster than operating expenses. I love that. Look at this. Monday.com is currently generating significant cash flow. $300 million last year.

Their profit margin was 22%. The current price-to-free cash flow ratio is 12.8%. These are all significant things.

而他们的毛利率,各位,看看这个。89%。所以,他们现金流的增长将快于运营费用,这很棒。现在说缺点。随着公司走向成熟,增长已大幅放缓。

And their gross profit margin, guys, look at this. 89%. So, they're going to grow their cash flow faster than their operating expenses, which is great. Now, the downsides. Growth has slowed sharply as the company has matured.

他们的净资产收益率仍然弱于其报告的自由现金流所暗示的水平,但还记得原因吗?他们的营业收入更低,这是个问题。但是,看。他们的净资产收益率仍有 4.1%,而且他们的营业利润率正在改善。

Their return on equity is still weaker than their reported free cash flow suggests, but remember why? Their operating income is lower, which is a problem. But, look. Their return on equity is still 4.1%, and their operating margin is improving.

最后,存在对竞争、AI 颠覆以及缓解利润率压力的担忧。各位,这些都是这里的问题,你们很容易就能读到相关内容。哇,看看这个。2021 年 11 月创下每股 450 美元的历史新高。

52 周高点为 220 美元。唉,这家公司已经风光不再。

Finally, there are concerns about competition, AI disruption, and mitigating pressures on margins. These are all issues here, guys, and you can easily read about them. Wow, look at this.

All-time high in November 2021 at $450 per share. 52-week high at $220. Alas, this company has fallen from grace.

让我们看看我们的八大支柱。哦,看看这个。没有其他几家那么糟。这里有六个勾。资本回报率,正在改善。看,我们去年是 4%。而我们的市盈率为负,因为过去五年他们的净利润很差。

Let's look at our eight pillars. Oh, look at this. Not as bad as the others. Six checkmarks here. Return on capital, which is improving. Look, we have 4% last year. And our price-to-earnings ratio is negative because of their poor net income over the past five years.

所以,我认为这家公司有可能在很短时间内就非常接近成为一家八支柱公司。空头此前已经在谈论稀释股票。让我们看看。哦,不。他们在限制稀释这件事上表现出色。他们实际上是在把股票从流通中收回。这很酷。

So, I'm looking at this as potentially being very close to becoming an eight-pillar company in a very short time. The bears were already talking about diluting the stock. Let's see.

Oh, no. They're excelling at the limit-dilution game. They're actually taking the stock out of circulation. That's cool.

让我们看看股权激励将走向何方。那么,我们转到现金流。现金。好。看,不过我不喜欢这个。这是他们的隐忧,股权激励。它在不断增加。如果所有这些期权都按正确方式授予,这可能会在未来导致进一步的稀释。这就是问题所在。

Let's see where the stock-based compensation is headed. So, we move on to the flow. Cash. Okay. Look, I don't like this, though. This is their concern, stock-based compensation.

It's constantly increasing. This could lead to further dilution in the future if all these options are granted correctly. That's the problem.

好,分析师估计预测未来四年盈利将从 450 美元增长到 956 美元,营收增长为 20%、16%、16%、15% 和 5%。所以,随着公司持续增长,其增长率肯定在放缓。

Okay, analyst estimates predict earnings growth from $450 to $956 over the next four years and revenue growth of 20%, 16%, 16%, 15%, and 5%. So, there's definitely a slowdown in their growth rate as the company continues to grow.

好,现在我们进入我们的股票分析工具。好,那么营收增长。我要给营收增长填入 10%、15% 和 20%。利润率,我要聚焦自由现金流。我要填入 18%、24% 和 30%,因为他们有很高的毛利率。

所以,完全有可能得到高于 30% 的毛自由现金流。

Okay, now we're in our stock analysis tool. Okay, so revenue growth. I'm going to put 10%, 15%, and 20% on revenue growth. Profit margin, I'm going to focus on free cash flow. I'm going to put 18%, 24%, and 30% because they have high gross margins.

So, it's very possible to get gross free cash flow that's above 30%.

市盈率方面,我将采用16%、20%和24,与上一家公司相同。然后是9.5%的要求投资回报率。我按下分析按钮。各位,如你们所见,我觉得自己对Monday.com以及其他公司做出了一些相当合理的假设。

For the price-to-earnings ratio, I'm going to use 16%, 20%, and 24, just like the previous company. And then the required ROI of 9.5%. I press the Analyze button. Now, guys, as you can see, I feel like I've made some pretty reasonable assumptions about Monday.com and other companies.

现在我希望你们立刻去做这件事。我希望你们以仅7美元的价格开始7天试用。因为如果我问你们这对你们值多少钱,我保证你们会说每天超过一美元。所以,点击下方链接,立即获得完整访问权限。

分析任何你一直在考虑买入的股票。在你花一美元甚至一分钟之前,先看看这些数字到底在告诉你什么。

Here's what I want you to do it right now. I want you to start a 7-day trial for just $7. Because if I asked you how much that's worth to you, I guarantee you'd say more than a dollar a day.

So, click the link below and get full access right now. Analyze any stock you've been thinking about buying. See what the numbers are actually telling you before you spend a dollar or even a minute on it.

这些就是我按下分析按钮后的分析结果。我往下滚动。哇。低点是145,高点是700,中间价是330。各位,这里有很大的潜力来允许更多的股权激励。所以,这家公司有很大的潜力。然而,我不会仅凭这一点就买入它。

我想确保一旦我看到很多积极指标,我的数字是合理的,办法是与社区交流,并用我的AI分析器做一点研究。

And these are the results of my analysis after hitting the Analyze button. I'll scroll down. Wow. I have a low of 145, a high of 700, and a mid-price of 330. Guys, there's a lot of potential here to allow for more equity-based compensation.

So, this company has a lot of potential. However, I'm not going to buy it based on that alone. I wanted to make sure that once I saw a lot of positive indicators, my numbers made sense by talking to the community and doing a little research with my AI analyzer.

这个频道对 $MNDY 的历次判断

Everything Money 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-22本条
现在,各位,monday.com。这是我们的第三个也是最后一个竞争对手。交易代码:MNDY。
看完整历史 ›
美股听风