MU 处于强劲的长期上升趋势中，动能偏多；尽管在财报临近时出现楔形形态且动能减弱，技术面格局仍支持看多前景。
逐段跳播
与其所属板块以及SMH半导体ETF相比，Micron仍然相当强劲。与此同时，Micron目前处于下跌状态，而它在过去一年里上涨了536%。所以，这是非常强劲的表现。
Micron is still quite strong compared to its sector group and the SMH Semiconductor ETF. Meanwhile, Micron is in the red here, having grown 536% in the past year. So, this is a very strong performance.
所以，当我们更具体地看Micron时，会看到这里正在形成一个楔形。我们的两条边界线都指向上方，但随着我们临近财报，它们正在相互靠拢。
So, when we look at the micron more specifically , we see a wedge shape forming here. Both of our boundary lines are pointing upwards , but they are moving towards each other as we head towards the earnings report.
我们尚未完全回补1125附近的这个缺口，甚至还没有接近1255附近的历史高点。我们可以看到，我们此前处于900至1036之间的某个区间内，而现在已经升破这一水平。如今，旧的天花板已经变成新的地板或基础。
所以，这绝对是一个有意思的形态。我们需要看看我们是突破后又回到这个区间内，还是向上走高、回补缺口并开启一轮新的上升趋势。
We have yet to fully close this gap near 1125 , or even get close to the all-time high near 1255. We can see that we were within a certain range between 900 and 1036 and we have now risen above this level.
Now, the old ceiling has become the new floor or foundation. So, it's definitely an interesting setup. We need to see if we break out and come back within this range , or if we rise up, fill the gap, and start a new uptrend.
接下来我们可以看移动平均线，我们的深蓝色5日指数移动平均线在1063附近，最接近当前价格。我们可以看到，代表一个月的青色21日移动平均线目前大约在1013。
Next we can look at our moving averages , our dark blue 5-day exponential moving average is near 1063, which is closest to the current price. We can see that our teal 21-day moving average, which represents one month, is currently around 1013.
RSI即动量指标也呈现出同样的形态，但略有不同。它的形状更偏三角形，表明尽管我们处于长期上升趋势中，动量却开始减弱。在财报公布前动量下降是非常正常的。不过，我们位于50中线上方，因此目前看涨趋势依然强劲。
The same pattern is seen with the RSI or momentum indicator, but it is slightly different. It is more triangular in shape , indicating that momentum is starting to wane , even though we have a long-term uptrend.
It is very normal for momentum to decrease before an earnings report. However, we are above the midline of 50, so the bullish trend is currently strong.
与此同时，我们的成交量分布研究显示，价格波动最剧烈的密集成交区间在875至995之间。除此之外没有太多可说的。我们正处于成交清淡的区域，尤其是当我们开始升破1100时。
Meanwhile, our volume profile study shows that the heavy trading range within which the price has fluctuated the most is between 875 and 995. There's not much more to it than that.
We are in an area where transactions are low, especially when we start going above 1100.
想一想我们对财报的预期波动，我们的橙色方框对应本周末，幅度大约在7.4%左右，或多或少。不过，就我们当前的交易示例而言，我们看的是11月，也就是我们的绿色方框，其上下波动幅度大约为19.2%。这与你在这里看到的旧最高价大致吻合。
thinking about our expected movement for earnings, our orange box is for the end of this week , which could be around 7.4%, more or less. However, for our current trading example, we are looking at November, our green box, which could be up or down by about 19.2%.
Which roughly matches the old maximum price that you see here.
所以，一个看涨观点，加上一笔11月20日11:30、1200/1270看涨蝶式期权，支出615。这样我们就得到了这个山峰形状的风险图，看涨前景，距到期还有51天。最大亏损是615，我们支付的支出将是我们在这笔风险限定交易上的最大亏损，前提是我们持有至到期。
如果到期时正好落在1200行权价上，最大利润将是6385。所以，可能发生很多奇怪的事情，但这不是这里最可能的结果。我们的盈亏平衡点是11:36:15和12:63:85。我们有6.3%至18.2%的上行空间，我们的预期波动约为19%。
它可以超出这一范围，但如果这笔交易开始朝有利于你的方向发展，你完全可以直接平仓。如果你认为你盈利的交易在升破12,36区域后可能转为亏损，你不必持有至到期。
So, a bullish view, plus one, November 20th, 11:30, 1,200, 1,270 call Butterfly 615 debit. So, that gives us this mountain-shaped risk profile, a bullish outlook, with 51 days left to maturity.
The maximum loss is 615, our paid debit will be our maximum loss on this risk- defined trade, if we hold it until expiration. The maximum profit, if we expire at exactly that 1,200 strike , would be 6385.
So, a lot of weird things could happen , but that's not the most likely outcome here. Our break- evens are 11:36:15 and 12:63:85. We have a 6.3 to 18.2% upside, our expected movement is about 19%.
It can go beyond that , but if this trade starts to go in your favor, you can simply close it. You don't have to hold it until expiration if you think your profitable trade could turn into a loss if it goes above the 12, 36 area.
这个频道对 $MU 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 11 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。