$NBIS

Nebius 是逢低买入的候选标的;尽管监管或开发放缓带来短期波动风险,AI 基础设施的长期需求依然完好。

看涨他说的是几年内
《3 Stocks We're Buying If They Dip Again Before Year End!》
The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-16 · 8 段内容
09:44/ 打开原视频

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8 段内容
9:4414:47

接下来进入我选的这只股票,如果出现同样的新闻标题,情况会完全一样,这就是一家 neocloud,或者有人喜欢称之为 AI 超大规模厂商,也就是 Nebus,故事是一样的。我认为 Nebus 在这个周末的这则消息下也可能受到冲击,因为当开源模型、开放权重模型在这整个 AI 故事中占据越来越多的市场份额时,Nebus 是一个大赢家。

他们不在乎你用的是哪个模型,他们只想看到使用量上来。

which moves me into my pick which is actually a stock where if we see the same headline it's going to be the exact same thing and that's a neocloud or AI hyperscaler as some like to call it that's Nebus and it's the same story and I think Nebus with the story of of this weekend could also get hit because Nebus is a big winner when it comes [snorts] to well open source models open weight models taking more and more market share in this whole AI story.

They don't care which model you use. They just want to see usage come in.

Nebus 是一家市值两倍于 Credo 的公司,而且目前从账面上看要贵得多,因为它当下的业务完全不同。Credo 受益于所有的建设,而 Nebus 是这轮建设的一部分。所以,Nebus 越想增长,Credo 可能也会从中获得一些业务。

Now, a Nebuse is a company worth double credo and is way way more expensive right now on paper because it's completely different business at the moment, right? Credo is benefiting from all of the buildouts.

Nebus is part of that buildout. So, the more Nebus wants to grow, probably Credo gets some business there as well.

但我确实觉得,如果回到 deepseek 时刻,我记得 Nebulus 有一天跌了 38%。因为市场当时只是在想,deepseek 从中国出来,超级看空。每一家美国模型公司、每一家美国 AI 公司的股票都在一天之内跌了接近 40% 左右。

But I do feel like if we go back to the deepseek moment, I think Nebulus on one day it was down 38%. Because the market was just seeing, oh, you know, deep sea comes out of China super bearish.

Every American model, every American AI company stock was down in one day close to 40% or so.

当市场在未来几天开盘时,我们可能也会看到过度反应,因为他们把 Nebus 看作一家 neocloud 玩家,如果前沿 AI 模型出现放缓,也许这会影响 Nebus。我已经看到一些讨论,说这可能会影响新的云厂商,主要还是因为这可能伤害或给开源、开放权重模型带来一些压力。

如果所有的权力、所有的集中度都回到,比如说三家特定的玩家身上——虽然我们没有完全提到,呃,Google,在做 Gemini 4,Google 的核心业务极其赚钱;Meta,正在推出一些很棒的模型,他们的核心业务也极其赚钱——也许,也许这正在给其他这些 AI 实验室带来压力,这些实验室确实尚未上市,而且目前仍在亏损相当多的钱。

所以,如果我们看到集中度或权力在整个领域发生转变,从“好,每个人都可以发布模型,每个人都可以尽可能快地推进”,变成“等等,我们相信这并不安全,所以让我们决定要设置什么样的防护措施”。

虽然他们确实谈到了使用第三方,呃,怎么称呼他们,裁判、分析师等等。当你增加额外的步骤、额外的障碍时,通常受益更多的是大公司,而不是小公司。

when the markets open over the next couple of days, we might see an overreaction as well because they see Nebus as a Neocloud player and if there is a slowdown in frontier AI models, maybe that could affect Nebus.

I've already seen some talk about how that could affect new cloud players again mostly because it might hurt or put some pressure on open-source open way models and if all the power all the concentration goes back into let's say three specific players although we didn't fully mentioned uh Google that working on Gemini 4 Google's core business extremely profitable meta which is coming out with some great models out their core business also extremely profitable and maybe maybe that is putting pressure on these other AI labs which yes are yet to go public are still losing quite a lot of money as of right now and so if we see a shift in let's say concentration or power this whole space from okay everybody can release a model everybody can move as fast as they can to hold on a little bit we believe this is not safe so let us decide what type of guards we are going to put it.

Although they did talk about using third party uh how do you call them referees and and analyst and etc etc. It's always when you add extra steps extra hurdles it's usually the bigger companies that benefit more than the smaller ones.

但我确实认为,正如我之前所说,我不认为你现在能阻止 AI。我不认为我们能阻止它的发展,尤其是在开源领域。所以,无论我们从 Nebus 看到的过度反应是什么,在短期内,尤其是未来两年,我看不到任何东西能阻止 Nebus 的建设,甚至,呃,比如说 core reef,需求就在那里,它不会因为有些人想放慢 AI 而消失。

而且这整个放慢是训练的一部分,是整个 AI 故事的一部分;当你看到推理时,你同样无法放慢它。

But I do think that as I've said before I don't think you can stop AI right now. I don't think we can stop the development especially not in open source and so whatever overreaction we're seeing from Nebus and in the short run especially over the next two years I don't see anything stopping the build out for Nebus or even uh a core reef for example the demand is there it's not going to disappear because some want to slow down uh AI plus this whole slowouting is part of the training part of of this whole AI story when you look at inference you cannot slow that down as well.

所以,这将是一段我们会看到大量新闻标题的时期。它可能会影响其中一些名字,但我确实认为这将是一个很好的逢低买入机会。当然,未来几天要预期会有大量波动。但这些业务在其管线中看到巨大的增长,而这不会在短期内改变。

So, it's going to be a period where we're going to see a lot of headlines. It could affect some of these names, but I do think that this will be a good buy the deep opportunity.

Of course, expect a lot of volatility over the next couple of days. But these are businesses that see a huge amount of growth in their pipeline and that's not changing anytime soon.

Neil,你提到的一点我真的很喜欢,这主要是在新模型的训练上,但还有那么多软件公司尚未在其解决方案中实现 AI。我的意思是,有些应用你可能已经在用了,你可以和聊天机器人对话,或者某种形式的 AI 解决方案已经被实现,但还有那么多地方仍然可以加入它。

所以,即使你放慢,即使你放慢,呃,目前任何波形,模型训练,我觉得有如此多的机会,如此多不同的应用、如此多不同的解决方案,随着我们现在拥有的这类 AI 而涌现出来,而仅这一点就会增加对推理的需求,然后你就有像 Nebas 或其他,或者其他,呃,neocloud 玩家这样的公司可以受益。

and and and Neil, one thing I really enjoyed about what you mentioned is this is mainly on the training of new models, but there's so many software companies that have yet to implemented AI in their solution.

And what I mean by that is there's certain apps that you might go to already, you can either do talk to a chatbot or some form of AI solution that's being implemented, but there's so many places that can still add it.

So even if you slow down even if you slow down uh any waveform at the moment the model training I feel like there's such an much opportunity of so many different applications so many different solutions coming out with the type of AI that we have now and that alone would increase the demand for inference and then you have companies like Nebas or other or or other um Neocloud players that can benefit.

呃,最后我想提一件事,就是我最近看到的一些关于 Nebius 的新闻,呃,我知道投资者会很想听到,对吧?与 Palunteer 的合作,关于主权 AI 的好消息,而这是我们越来越多从其他玩家那里听到的大事之一。

然后我们看到 Nvidia 与 Palanteer 在主权 AI 上合作。所以,以一种间接的方式,你可以看到这整个,呃,链条是如何很好地运作的,呃,以及目前正在推动的一些市场需求。

所以挺酷的。我认为那是与他们的一次很酷的合作,以及在这个领域可以合作的一些真正的大玩家。

Uh, one final thing I want to mention is just some recent news that I saw from from Nebius um that I I know investors would love to hear about, right? That partnership with Palunteer, great news of kind of sovereign AI and this is one of the big things that we're hearing a lot from other players.

And then we saw kind of Nvidia partner up with Palanteer on sovereign AI. So in an indirect way, you can kind of see how this whole uh chain works really well um and some of the market demands that are pushing right now.

So pretty cool. I think that was a pretty cool partnership with them and some really big players to kind of work with in that space.

这个频道对 $NBIS 的历次判断

The Motley Fool 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-16看涨本条
接下来进入我选的这只股票,如果出现同样的新闻标题,情况会完全一样,这就是一家 neocloud,或者有人喜欢称之为 AI 超大规模厂商,也就是 Nebus,故事是一样的。我认为 Nebus 在这个周末的这则消息下也可能受到冲击,因为当开源模型、开放权重模型在这整个 AI 故事中占据越来越多的市场份额时,Nebus 是一个大赢家。他们不在乎你用的是哪个模型,他们只想看到使用量上来。
2026-09-14看涨
这就引出了我的选择,这实际上是一只股票,如果我们看到同样的新闻标题,情况会完全一样,那就是一家新云(neocloud),或者有些人喜欢称之为AI超大规模厂商,也就是Nebus,故事是一样的,我认为Nebus在这个周末的这则消息下也可能受到打击,因为当开源模型、开放权重模型在整个AI故事中占据越来越多的市场份额时,Nebus是一个大赢家。他们不在乎你使用哪个模型。他们只想看到使用量上来。
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