NOK 近期 AI/云增长强劲且估值合理,但面临低利润率和缓慢的营收增长,导致相对于其他选择持谨慎态度。
逐段跳播
好了。现在继续看名单上的第四只股票。我们将稍微走出传统数据中心领域,看看支撑全球电信的后端基础设施。那就是诺基亚,股票代码NOK,英伟达持有其价值超过22亿美元的类似大仓位。
All right. Now, moving right along to the fourth stock on the list. We're going to step slightly outside the traditional data center space to look at some of the back-end infrastructure that powers global telecommunications. And that's going to be in Nokia, ticker symbol NOK, where Nvidia holds a similarly large position at over 2.2 billion dollars worth of the stock.
当然,在过去,诺基亚主要以坚不可摧的砖头手机而闻名,我自己也见过几款。我甚至用过他们的新款Windows手机,如果你还记得的话。但如今,这是一家截然不同的公司。他们真正重塑了自己,其后端网络业务很可能在即将到来的6G技术浪潮中发挥主导作用。
Now, of course, back in the day, Nokia was mostly known for their indestructible brick cell phones, which I saw in a couple of those myself, too. I even had their newer Windows phones, if you remember those. But today, this is a much different company. One that reinvented themselves, really, with back-end networking businesses that will likely play a leading role in the upcoming wave of even 6G technologies, too.
与英伟达合作,两家公司实际上签署了战略合作伙伴关系,以开创他们所谓的AI RAN,即AI驱动的无线接入网络。他们不是让普通的蜂窝塔简单地来回传输移动数据,而是将其转变为迷你AI数据中心,甚至将英伟达最新的GPU直接集成到诺基亚的基础架构中。
I see with Nvidia, the two companies actually signed a strategic partnership to pioneer what they call AI RAN, which stands for AI-powered radio access networks. Instead of having plain cell towers that simply bounce mobile data back and forth, they're actually turning them into mini AI data centers that get even integrated with Nvidia's latest GPUs directly into Nokia's base architecture.
诺基亚声称,到2028年,他们可以将现有无线电频谱的数据容量提高一倍以上。这很重要。例如,T-Mobile已经签约开始在实际环境中试用这项新技术。
For which Nokia claims that they can more than double the data capacity of existing radio spectrum by 2028. That's a big deal. Now, T-Mobile, for example, has already signed on to start trialing this new tech in the real world.
如果你看看他们最新的财报,这种势头似乎也在良好发展。他们面向AI和云客户的净销售额同比增长超过100%。尽管这一切听起来很有希望,但我仍会有点谨慎。电信设备往往是低利润业务,该行业的转型以耗时多年而闻名。
And if you look at their most recent earnings, that momentum seems to be moving along nicely, too. Their net sales for AI and cloud customers, it exploded by over 100% year over year. As promising as all of this sounds though, I'd still be a little cautious. Telecom equipment tends to be a low-margin business, and turnarounds in the sector are notorious for taking many years to play out.
这就是为什么诺基亚的财务状况有时会出现下滑,并且未来预计营收仅有个位数的增长。不过,盈利能力正在改善,每股收益增长大幅提高,自由现金流增长也强劲回升。
Which is why Nokia sometimes sees dips in their financials and are only expected to grow by a single-digit rate on the top line moving forward. A profitability is improving though, with much higher EPS growth and a strong return to free cash flow growth, too.
再加上近期股价下跌,估值也不算太糟糕。其市盈率仅略高于行业水平,市销率甚至更低。
That, when coupled with the recent dip in price, the valuation isn't too terrible. It's sitting just a bit higher than the sector on earnings, even cheaper based on sales.
但我仍然认为,从长期来看,其他几只股票更有前景。所以,我要把 Synopsys 和 Neousys 各上调一位,把 Nokia 排在它们之下,位列第四。
But I still feel that a couple of these other stocks hold more promise, in my opinion, long-term. So, I'm going to bump um Synopsys and Neousys up one spot to put Nokia just under them at number uh where we at here? Four on our four on our rankings.
这个频道对 $NOK 的历次判断
Ale's World of Stocks 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。