$NOW

ServiceNow存在利润率担忧,因为订阅成本增长相对于收入较高;投资者在利润率复苏得到证实之前更偏好Salesforce。

Stock Recovery? Dell SKYROCKETS, Yields/Oil Drop
Meet Kevin发布 2026-09-02 · 4 段内容
2:47:11/ 打开原视频

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4 段内容

我认为ServiceNow就像Salesforce。我更喜欢Salesforce一点。因为,你知道,我们看到的他们利润率的一些转变与ServiceNow相比。但我不认为ServiceNow不好。

I think Service Now is a like Salesforce. I like Salesforce a little bit better. Uh, because it, you know, some of the transitions we've seen in their margins compared to Service Now. But I don't think Service Now is bad.

所以,ServiceNow,让我们把它们扔到这里。我给它们的公允价值是,虽然让我看看我给它们的增长率。我给它们的平均增长率是21%。这是合理的,但我只有为什么我只有我有个14的市盈率与增长比率。

那很低。让我看看为什么。那一定是一个利润率的故事。

So, Service Now, let's go throw them in here. I've got them at a fair value, although let me see what growth rate I have for them. I've got um average growth rate of 21%. That's reasonable, but I only have Why do I only have um I had a 14 peg. That's low. Let me see why. That's got to be a margin story.

那么,利润率是怎么回事?所以,24%的增长。哦,是的。就是这样。那是利润率问题。那是我对ServiceNow的问题。收入增长24%,而订阅成本上涨64%。我认为这是因为代币成本,如果我没记错的话。所以,那是我对它们的问题之一。

So, what's going on with the margins? So, 24% growth. Oh, yeah. That's what it is. It was the margin problem. That was my problem with Service Now. 24% growth on revenues while subscription costs are up 64%. I think that's because of the token costs if I remember correctly. So, that was one of the issues I had with them.

资产负债表我说过。不是很好,也不是很糟糕。所以,有点像黄旗。他们仍然在这里进行现金股票回购。看,这就是变化。他们说随着超大规模厂商成本下降,利润率应该会好转。然后我写道,注意他们不是说我们能够收取更多费用。

所以这就是我们与课程成员分析的内容,当我们偏好Salesforce时,这就是理由,对吧?所以我总是喜欢说,你知道,我不是想贬低任何人的股票,只是试图建议对我来说,那仍然是我希望看到更好地发挥作用的东西。

Balance sheet I called. Not great, not terrible. So, kind of a yellow flag. They're still doing cash uh stock buybacks here. See, this is the the change. They're saying margin should get better as hyperscaler costs go down. And then I wrote, notice they're not saying that we're able to charge more. So that's what what we analyzed uh with course members when we had a preference for uh Salesforce that was the rationale for that right so I always like saying you know I'm not trying to bag on anybody's stock just trying to suggest for me that was still something I wanted to see play out a little better

他说在等什么

随着超大规模云服务商成本下降,利润率改善情况
利润率改善
未来几个季度财报
如果利润率改善则支持看涨论点;否则削弱

这个频道对 $NOW 的历次判断

Meet Kevin 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-02看跌
Bath在0.92,ServiceNow在153.92。Aya 1.53,我有意图在0.9,Axon 2.1。2.19。你说Intuit什么?我已经忘了。我不想写错然后被训斥。0.9。你知道,Snow是这里的异常,不是吗?所以,Snow在这个疯狂的评估中是异常。但奇怪的是,这些公司赚了很多钱,它们却因为恐惧、缺乏利润率或人们认为泡沫结束而受到惩罚。我唯一能猜的是。你知道,当我们看这里的图表时。有一种恐惧,即这种编程转变可能不会持续。所以,你知道,我想如果我看这个,我仍然喜欢我的观点,我的结论是我仍然喜欢现在的软件。但在某个时候,设备将变得极其便宜,以至于它们将再次成为新的机会。嗯,还没有。也许我们需要一个“Anthropic撤退”。好的。我的意思是,戴尔做得很好,但你也有分裂的风险,对吧?此外,关于设备,这就是分裂风险的来源。我们之前谈过这里分裂的风险,即人工智能和前沿推理增长放缓,而低利润的机构推理爆发。这可能是市场试图探索的,我不知道。如果。我的观点仍然是软件真的很有趣。Snowflake真的很贵。在某个时候,硬件变得更可取,但软件很棒。我仍然相信在第三和第四季度触底仍然可能。像Palantir这样的低谷是可以利用的。在我看来。
原话 1:03:07 ›
2026-09-02本条
我认为ServiceNow就像Salesforce。我更喜欢Salesforce一点。因为,你知道,我们看到的他们利润率的一些转变与ServiceNow相比。但我不认为ServiceNow不好。
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