Oracle 第一季度财报在营收和每股收益上超出市场预期,尽管软件授权业务小幅不及预期,股价仍上涨逾9%。
逐段跳播
Oracle 让我们多等了五分半钟,不过他们刚刚把数据发了过来,那我们就来看看。营收为 193.5 亿美元,市场预期为 191.3 亿,所以这一项是干净的超出预期。每股收益同样是干净的超出预期,为 1.92 美元,市场预期为 1.75 美元。
第一季度的营业利润为 81.5 亿美元,预期为 78.1 亿。营业利润率好于预期,达到 42%。云基础设施营收为 73.9 亿美元,同样好于预期。软件支持营收为 49 亿美元,这一项也超出预期。
软件授权营收为 6.55 亿美元,略低于华尔街预期的 7.188 亿美元。不过,我们现在上涨超过 9%。他们还给出了第二季度、也就是当前季度的展望。每股收益预计在 1.85 到 1.93 美元之间,我们把它称为符合预期。
市场共识预期大约在 1.90 美元、1.89 美元。所以他们的每股收益展望符合预期,也许在中值上略微偏低。不过,你怎么看这些数字?市场是接受它们的。围绕 Oracle,一直有很多关于资本开支、债务和自由现金流的问题。不过,我们现在上涨 7.75%。
Well, and Oracle made us wait an extra five and a half minutes, but they've just sent their numbers across the wire, so let's dive in here. We've got revenue coming in at 19.35 billion. The estimate was looking for 19.13, so a clean beat there. Also a clean beat on EPS, $1.92. The estimate was looking for $1.75. Their operating income for the first quarter, 8.15 billion. The expectation was for 7.81. Operating margins coming in better than expected at 42%. Cloud infrastructure revenue, that's at 7.39 billion. That's also better than expected. Their software support revenue at 4.9 billion, a beat there as well. Software licensing revenue, 655 million. That's just slightly under the 718.8 million dollar consensus that the street was looking for here. But, we are up and more than 9% right now. They're also uh looking across their second quarter, which will be their current quarter. EPS they're projecting to be a dollar 85 to a dollar 93. We'll call that in line. The consensus uh was looking uh for about a dollar 90 here, a dollar 89. So, uh they've got their outlook here for EPS um in line with maybe perhaps a touch low at the midpoint there. Um but, how are you looking at these numbers? I mean, the street is accepting them. There were a lot of always questions around Oracle with the CapEx and their debt and their free cash flow. Uh but, we are up 7 and uh 3/4% right now.
是的,我认为 Oracle 面临的重大风险是宣布又一次增发,或者试图筹集更多资金,以便在资本开支上花更多钱。希望他们已经做完了这件事。如果他们在电话会议上做出这类表态,股价很可能会继续上行。
事实上,如果你看未来三个月的月度期权到期,200 美元的看涨期权几乎在整个期限结构上都获得了大量关注。所以电话会议可能把这波行情推向高潮。我认为软件业务方面的一点疲软,我们想听听究竟是什么原因造成的。
这实际上是我认为我们看到的第二个季度,软件方面出现了一些疲软。不过,他们也谈到第一季度实际部署了大量的使用量。他们在第一季度交付了 850 兆瓦的额外数据中心容量。显然,关于智能体 AI 以及所谓的个人智能体这些新产品,我们已经听到很多。
今天 Meta 宣布了一个,Open AI 也宣布了一个。他们与 Open AI 有协议和合作关系,他们可能是其中的一部分。如果他们在电话会议上谈到这一点,那对他们来说也可能是一个利好。
但是,你不想听到这家公司再有更多融资,至少这个季度不想,甚至不想听到他们试图下调未来资本开支支出的预期。我相信他们实际上会在电话会议上提供资本开支指引的更新。我认为我们不会在财报里看到这一点。这也可能成为这只股票的重大推动因素。
Yeah, I think the big risk that you have for Oracle uh is the announcement of another shelf offering or try trying to raise uh more capital in order to uh spend more on CapEx. Hopefully, they're done with that. If they make that type of commentary on the conference call, uh the stock probably continue to run to the upside. In fact, the $200 calls pretty much uh across the curve if you're looking at the next uh 3 months on the monthly options expirations, they were getting a lot of attention here today. So, the conference call can take this over the top. I think a little bit of the weakness in the software side, we want to hear uh as to why that is actually occurring. It's actually, I believe, the second quarter that we've seen a little bit more of a uh weakness on the software front. Uh but, they talk about also deploying a significant amount of uh usage actually for Q1. They delivered 850 MW of additional data center capacity in Q1. Uh obviously, we've heard a lot about these new products as far as the agentic AI and the the personal agents, if you will. Uh we've had Meta announce one, Open AI announce one uh today as well. Uh they have a agreement and a working relationship with Open AI. They may be a part of that. If they talk about that on the conference call, that could also be a benefit for them. But, you do not want to hear about any more capital raises uh for this name, at least for this quarter, or even trying to pull back some of their expectations when it comes to CapEx spend in the future. I believe they actually provide an update on that CapEx guidance on the conference call. I don't think we get it out on the report. That could also be a major mover for this name.
是的,当然可能。在我看到的财报里没有这一点,但他们正在上调财年、也就是全年的每股收益和营收预期,只是略高于市场共识,但这也是一项超出预期。Oracle 目前维持着 5.5% 的涨幅。
Yeah, certainly could. It is not in the report that I'm seeing, but they are upping their fiscal uh their full year EPS and revenue estimates, just slightly above the consensus, but a beat there as well. Uh holding on to 5 and 1/2% gains for Oracle.
这个频道对 $ORCL 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。