$ORCL

Oracle 证明 AI 需求存在的能力已经确立,未来的成功取决于能否高效地将积压订单转化为收入并管理好债务。

ORCL Proving AI Growth Exists, Question Lies in Profitability & Efficiency
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-11 · 18 段内容
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Oracle 今早走高,此前公布的财报超出预期,业绩指引也高于市场预估。该公司仍预计 2027 财年的资本支出在 900 亿至 950 亿美元之间。

Oracle moving higher this morning after an earnings beat and guidance that exceeded estimates. The company still expects CapEx between 90 and 95 billion for fiscal 2027.

Oracle 公布的调整后每股收益为 1.92 美元。营收增长近 30%,达到 193 亿多美元,超过 193 亿美元。

So, Oracle, they reported earnings buck 92 per share on an adjusted basis. Revenue up almost 30% to 19.3 such more than 19.3 billion.

但听着,最亮眼的是云业务。云基础设施营收翻了一倍多,达到 74 亿美元。这些数字确实表明,Oracle 正开始将其庞大的 AI 订单储备转化为已部署的基础设施和实际营收。

But listen, the standout was cloud. Cloud more than doubling cloud infrastructure revenue, 7.4 billion. So, you know, it's the numbers are really showing that Oracle is beginning to convert its enormous AI backlog into deployed infrastructure and actual revenue.

关键的转变在于,从证明 AI 需求存在,转向证明 Oracle 能够交付满足这一需求所需的产能。Oracle 已经证明了自己能够销售 AI 基础设施,这是好消息。现在它需要证明的是,围绕这一基础设施,它能够捕获多少企业级 AI 技术栈。

The key shift is from proving AI demand exists to proving that Oracle can deliver the capacity required to serve it. So, really, I know Oracle showed that it can sell AI infrastructure. Great news. Now it needs to show how much of the enterprise AI stack they can capture around it.

我想知道这是否就是投资者对此感到无所适从的原因?因为早些时候我们的股价还高于当前水平。目前股价仅上涨约半个百分点。

I wonder if that's why it feels like investors don't know what to make of this, right? Because earlier we were higher than where we sit. Right now we're just up about a half a percent on shares right now.

听着,他们本季度在资本支出上花了 285 亿美元。有人可能会说,这不过是在这一领域竞争的代价。

And listen, they spent 28.5 billion on CapEx this quarter. Is that I mean, some may say this is simply the price of competing on this front.

好,我们来谈谈订单储备。他们拥有庞大的订单储备,6640 亿美元。投资者对 Oracle 能够兑现这一订单储备应抱有多大信心?

Okay, let's talk about the backlog. They have a massive backlog, $664 billion. How much confidence should investors have in Oracle being able to deliver on that?

我认为这仍有待观察。我认为确实存在一定的信心。更大的问题在于,它能否高效地将这些已签约的需求转化为产能、营收、利润率,并最终转化为现金流。

So, I I think that it remains to be to be seen. I I think that there is definitely some confidence there. Um the bigger question is how efficiently it can convert that contracted demand into capacity, revenue, margins, and ultimately cash flow.

签下这些庞大的 AI 合同只是第一步。交付其背后的基础设施要困难得多,而且请记住,AI 和基础设施只是这件事的第一部分。

Signing these massive AI contracts is the first step. Delivering the infrastructure behind them is much harder, and remember AI and um infrastructure is just the first part of this.

我们最终希望看到的是那些将运行并使用这些基础设施的应用和业务成果。对。所以,如果你想一想,Oracle 不仅仅是在出租 AI 算力。我们确实看到了这方面的兴趣。

What we ultimately want to see are the applications and the business outcomes that will be running and using the infrastructure. Right. So, so if you think about it, Oracle is not only renting AI compute. So, we're we're we're we're seeing the interest there.

Oracle 的与众不同之处,或者说我认为存在一个真正的机会、也是我们应该关注的,在于它已经贴近企业数据库。我的意思是,它就是企业数据库应用、有价值的业务数据。

Um what makes Oracle different, or I think there's a real opportunity, and what we should be watching, is it already sits close to enterprise databases. I mean, it is the enterprise database applications, valuable business data.

因此,它的机会实际上在于将 AI 基础设施与企业已经在运行的数据和应用连接起来。如果这得以实现,OCI 的增长可能会为 Oracle 带来更高价值的数据库和应用消费。

So, its opportunity is really to connect AI infrastructure with the data and applications enterprises already run. So, if that happens, OCI growth could drive higher value database and application consumption for Oracle.

而且你还提到,就竞争格局而言,Oracle 不必在 AWS、Microsoft 或 Google 各自的强项上与他们正面竞争。

And And you also say in terms of the competitive landscape, you say Oracle does not need to be AWS, Microsoft, or Google at their own game.

这要回到他们在 OCI、数据库、企业应用以及多云部署上的组合。Oracle 的软件可以部署在多家超大规模云服务商之上,这让它在 AI 技术栈中占据了差异化的位置。

Well, it goes back to their combination of OCI, databases, enterprise applications, and their multi-cloud deployment. So, So, Oracle software can be deployed across multiple hyperscalers, and that gives it a differentiated position in the AI stack.

随着企业越来越多地在本地以及这些多云模式之间运营,Oracle 能够承接这些 AI 工作负载,而不必要求客户把其整个技术环境完全标准化到 Oracle 上。

So, as enterprises increasingly operate across these multiple cloud models on prem, Oracle can capture these AI workloads without requiring customers necessarily standardize their entirely their entire technology environment on Oracle.

所以,这对 Oracle 来说无疑是一个差异化优势。Stephanie,我得问问你关于债务负担的问题。这显然是投资者在这里面临的挑战之一,或者说问题之一。他们背负着大约 1250 亿美元的债务。

So, that's definitely a differentiator for Oracle. And Stephanie, I got to ask you about the debt load. That's obviously one of the challenges that or one of the issues that investors are challenged by here. They're carrying roughly 125 billion in debt.

对于关注 Oracle 的投资者来说,这有多大的挑战?我的意思是,这是一个挑战。问题在于 Oracle 能否在维持业务经济效益的同时,足够快地增加产能。

How much of a challenge is that for investors who are looking at Oracle? I I mean, it's a challenge. I mean, the question is whether Oracle can add capacity quickly enough while maintaining the economics of the business.

客户集中度、融资以及长期利润率仍是悬而未决的问题。但本季度确实提供了更强的证据,表明需求正在转化为收入。

As customer concentration, funding, long-term margins remain open questions. But, this quarter did provide stronger evidence that the demand is becoming revenue.

这个频道对 $ORCL 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 7 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-11看涨
我觉得这份业绩很好,但华尔街就是不喜欢这只股票。
原话 00:57 ›
2026-09-11本条
Oracle 今早走高,此前公布的财报超出预期,业绩指引也高于市场预估。
2026-09-11看跌
Oracle难以维持我们此前看到的某些动能。
原话 07:44 ›
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