$RCL

RCL 处于下降趋势;动能方面技术面偏弱,但若能在 230-240 附近守住支撑,对逆向买家可能具有吸引力。

《8 Growth Stocks That Have Nothing to Do With AI》
StockCharts TV发布 2026-09-15 · 7 段内容
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7 段内容
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接下来,在非必需消费品板块我们有三只股票:Planet Fitness、Royal Caribbean 和 Five Below。

Then we have three in consumer discretionary Planet Fitness, Royal Caribbean, and Five Below.

我们还要重点介绍一个抄底候选标的。从 RRG 来看,Royal Caribbean 的得分并不好。但如果你更偏向逆向思维,寻找那些被打压得很惨的股票,也许是那些正在测试关键支撑位的股票——我觉得 RCL 可能正是如此——那么看落后象限并不是一件坏事。

我并不认为那必然是一个应当回避的领域。它只是告诉你哪些股票处于哪个阶段。

We're also going to highlight one sort of bottom fishing candidate. Royal Caribbean does not score well based on the RRG. But if you're more of a contrarian and looking for stocks that are beaten down, maybe stocks testing key support as I feel RCL may be doing, looking at the lagging quadrant isn't a bad thing.

I don't think that's an avoid uh area necessarily. It just tells you which stocks are in which phases.

好,最后我想和大家分享的一个,算是换个角度,这就是 Royal Caribbean。就我个人而言,我并不一定是个抄底者,抄底的意思就是买入严重走弱的股票。我更愿意买入那些曾经疲弱、现在开始显现新强势的股票。

这其实是一种经典的动量或趋势跟随策略。我一般想避开处于下跌趋势中的东西,我在寻找新的上升趋势。所以,我常常会看像 Royal Caribbean 这样处于确认下跌趋势中的股票,然后等待那些吸筹的迹象。

这时候,像 MACD 或 PO 或 PMO 这样的指标就非常有用,能帮我们验证是否出现了新的吸筹阶段或新的向上转折。但我知道在看的各位中,有些人思维更偏逆向,你们可能会买入弱势,对吧?

你们可能会买入处于弱势的股票,也许是它们正在测试某个关键支撑位的时候。我认为这正是 RCL 当前这张图如此关键的原因。它不是我个人最喜欢的图形,因为我们处于超卖状态,我们在 200 日移动均线下方,相对强度在走低。

所以,作为一名技术面投资者,它其实并不符合我那些经典的检查项。不过,如果你是想买入那些被打压得很惨的股票,寻找一些可能准备从弱势中反弹的股票,我会说这实际上可能是一张有吸引力的图。

原因如下。第一,看价格,没错,我们在 200 日移动均线下方。没错,所有移动均线都在向下倾斜。这些都是事实。但看看我们是如何测试主要支撑位的。我们可以看到 5 月的低点在这里,大约 230 到 240。

我们也可以看到去年 11 月和 12 月的低点,也大约在 240。而我们现在在 255,离那些主要低点并不太远。所以,当你看到图上这种形态时,并不是只有你一个人认识到我们正在触及一个长期以来一直很好地充当支撑的支撑位。

所以,如果 RCL 能守住支撑,这张图在当前这个位置相当有吸引力。我们还处于超卖状态,当然,这在股票处于下跌趋势时经常发生。但是,当股票

All right, the last one I wanted to share with you kind of a different look and this is Royal Caribbean. Um, personally, I don't really um, you know, I'm not really a bottom fisher necessarily, and what that means is buying severe weakness.

I would much rather buy stocks that have been weak and that are starting to show new strength. That's really a classic momentum or trend following strategy. I generally want to avoid things in downtrends.

I'm looking for new uptrend. So, I will often look at stocks like a Royal Caribbean that are in a confirmed downtrend and wait for those signs of accumulation. This is where indicators like the MACD or PO or PMO can be really helpful to help us sort of validate that there's a new accumulation phase or a new turn higher.

But I know there are some of you watching that are a little more contrarian uh minded and you might buy weakness, right? You might buy stocks that are in a position of weakness maybe if they're testing a key support level.

And I think that's what's so vital about the chart of RCL right about here. It's not my personally favorite chart because we're oversold. We're uh below the 200 day moving average.

The relative strength is going down. So, it doesn't really check any of my classic, you know, boxes as a technical uh investor. However, if you're looking to buy um you know, stocks that have been beaten down and looking for uh some some uh stocks potentially ready to bounce off of weakness, I would say this actually could be a compelling uh chart.

And here's why. Number one, looking at the price, sure, we're below the 200 day moving average. Sure, all the moving averages are sloping downwards. All true. But look at how we are testing major support.

We can see the May low was here around 230 to 240. We can see the November and December lows from last year, right around 240 as well. Here we are at 255, not too far away from those major lows.

So, you're not the only one when you see that configuration on the chart, you're not the only one recognizing that we are addressing a level of support that has uh served as support very well uh going back over time.

So, if RCL can hold support, pretty compelling chart right about here. We're also oversold, which happens often, of course, when stocks are in downtrends. But, you know, when stocks

像 RCL 这样的图,关键在于:如果它能守住支撑,如果那个超卖状态确实能帮我们识别出一只被打压得很惨、正处于好机会的股票,并且如果图形开始向上轮动,那么底部的相对表现也应该开始改善。

Here's the kicker with a chart like RCL. if it holds support and if that oversold condition does help us identify a stock that's been beaten down at a good opportunity and if the chart starts to rotate higher then the relative performance at the bottom should start to improve as well.

这个之前,就在那个周期的更早阶段。再说一次,我们今天所做的,就是看这些标的,取材于 Barron's 发表的一篇关于不依赖 AI 的增长的文章。

this one earlier, right earlier on in that cycle. Again, what we did today, looking at these uh names, was taken an article that Baron's put out about growth without AI.

最后我想说一点,对于像 RCL 这样测试关键支撑的图,或者像 Five Below 这样我们想看看是否突破的图,使用 stock charts 上的提醒功能是很好的机会,这也是我经常使用的一个工具。

I would tell you one final comment with charts like RCL uh you know testing key support with charts like five below or we're looking to see if there's a breakout really good opportunity to use the uh alerts feature on stock charts which is a tool I use often.

所以,如果我在分析这样一张图,我说,突破 260 将清除那个阻力位,也许是一个有上行潜力的好突破。我立刻点击铃铛,我说,五号上穿 260。

So, if I'm analyzing a chart like this and I say, you know what, a break above 260 would clear that resistance and maybe be a good breakout with upside potential. I immediately click on the bell. I say five crossing above 260.

观察点

价格走势相对于主要支撑位的表现
在230-240附近守住支撑
近期图表价格走势
支撑逆势反弹的判断;若跌破则削弱该判断

这个频道对 $RCL 的历次判断

StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-15本条
接下来,在非必需消费品板块我们有三只股票:Planet Fitness、Royal Caribbean 和 Five Below。
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