由于 RIVN 缺乏盈利能力且估值不佳,说话者回避对其进行长期投资,但执行了一笔看跌方向的期权交易,预期股价将下跌。
逐段跳播
James说:“感谢回顾AAL这笔交易。我喜欢看看SoFi、Rivian和F,寻找类似类型的仓位。”当然,还有MEA。绝对可以。我们已经持有Mera这笔交易了。那么,我们来看一些新的。
James says, "Thanks for reviewing the AAL trade. I like to look at SoFi, Rivian, and F for similar type positions." And of course, MEA. Absolutely. Well, we have the Mera trade on. So, let's look at some new ones.
我从来不玩Rivian。而且我知道它里面有大量的权利金。
I have do not play Rivian ever. And I know there's lots of premium in it.
那么,Rivian,看这个,我们看到这里有一些红色。盈利能力是F。所以,我不喜欢在不盈利的股票上做长期操作。估值是D+,这意味着可能存在一些下行空间。当然,它是一只很小的股票,这挺好的。而今年到目前为止,我们可以看到它只涨了15%。
So, Rivian, uh, looking at this, we see there's some red here. Profitability is an F. So, I don't like to do long-term plays on stocks that have a that aren't profitable. And the valuation is a D+, which means there could be some downside.
Of course, it's a tiny little stock, which is nice. And the on the year, we can see that it's only moved 15%.
那么,我们来看一下Rivian上完全相同的设置,我们会快速对它做一个分析。那么,Rivian现在是15美元。也许我们在10美元买入,对吧?这限制了下行空间。所以,这样做的作用是,它创造了一个下行最大亏损为356美元的仓位。
我们的净支出只有6美元。所以,上行风险非常非常小,因为如果这到了到期日,两者都变得一文不值,那就亏了6美元。
So, let's look at the exact same setup on Rivian and we'll we'll do a quick analysis on on that. So, Rivian's at 15 bucks. Maybe we're buying it at 10, right? Limits our downside.
So, what this does is it creates a position that has a max loss of $356 to the downside. We have a net debit of only $6. So, there's very very little upside risk because if the if this was to go to expiration and both of them expired worthless, lost six bucks.
我们要把Rivian调出来,看看那张图。我们可以看看那些价位,然后说,这个1350在哪里?
And we're going to just pull up Rivian and look at that chart. We can look uh at the levels and say, you know, where's this 1350?
现在的想法是,希望Rivian真的往下走。它真的跌进这个盈利区间,因为这笔交易的最大利润实际上是24美元。不是17美元。是比那多7美元。
Now the idea is that hopefully Rivian actually jobs down. It actually drops down into this profit zone because the max profit on this is actually $24. It's not uh $17. It's it's $7 more than that.
所以举个例子,Rivian大约会是11的看跌期权。SoFi大约会是12的看跌期权。对。好。这不错。这是个不错的参考,可以看看那些。
So for example, Rivian would be around the 11 put. So fire around the 12 put. Yeah. Okay. That's nice. That's a nice little uh reference to to take a look at those.
我其实挺惊讶的。我想看看Ford。因为我理解SoFi,我完全理解Rivian,因为由于业务的性质,它会有隐含波动率,但Ford不是那种我会预期里面有这么多权利金的股票。
I'm actually surprised. I want to look at Ford. Um because I understand like SoFi, I totally understand Rivian because there's a there's an implied volatility that happens just because of the nature of the business, but Ford is a is not not one that I would expect to have quite so much in there.
在Ford上那样做对吗?大概大概不对,但也许在SoFi上可以,也许在Rivian上可以。但也许在SoFi上可以,也许在Rivian上可以。
Is that right to do on Ford? Probably probably not, you know, but maybe on like SoFi, maybe on Rivian. but maybe on like SoFi, maybe on Rivian.
这个频道对 $RIVN 的历次判断
Drawbridge Finance 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。