SCHW 呈牛旗形态；守住 50 日均线对维持上升趋势及开启下一波上涨至关重要。
逐段跳播
一只金融股 Charles Schwab，
one financial stock Charles Schwab,
我们这里要谈的股票中有三只——Five Below、Schwab 和 Biomear——都处于领先象限。这再次意味着它们展现出强劲的相对强度，也就是说它们总体上跑赢同行，但相对强度指标中的动量也很强，对吧？
所以，相对强度强劲，并且朝着正确的方向运行，这就是我的理解方式。
And three of the stocks we're going to talk about here, Five Below, Schwab, and Biomear are all in that leading quadrant. And what that means again is that they're uh showing strong relative strength, meaning they're generally outperforming their peers, but the momentum is also uh strong in the relative strength uh indicator, right?
So they're so the uh the relative strength is strong and uh trending in the right direction is the way I would think about it.
下一个标的，其实再下一个也是，Schwab 然后是 Biomearin，它们相似之处在于，它们正在经历我大概会称之为牛旗形态的走势。
The next name and really the name after that uh Schwab and then Biomearin are similar in that they're experiencing what I would probably label as a bull flag pattern.
那么，经典的牛旗形态是先有一波上涨，然后出现一个由更低的高点和更低的低点构成的平行回落。所以，看这个，我不确定我会不会把它叫做旗形。我甚至可能把它标为楔形，也就是更低的高点和更低的低点。
但你可以看到两条趋势线基本上会在那里收敛，对吧？有点收窄。无论哪种情况，我们都在接近关键支撑，并且正在测试 50 日移动均线处的关键支撑。所以，对于这样一张图，我会认为守住 50 日线相当关键，因为只要我们守住 50 日线，就意味着这个形态仍然相当不错。
如果跌破 50 日线，未必是世界末日，但基本上告诉你我们不再处于战术性上升趋势中，因为我们未能守住关键支撑。历史上强劲的图形都守住了上行的 50 日移动均线，为下一波上涨奠定基础。
这当然就是我要在这里寻找的。现在，我们可以进一步看图，虽然股价已回落至 50 日移动均线，但 RSI 已回落至大约 45 到 48，这相当不错。只要在回调时守住 40 上方，我会认为趋势仍然总体积极，这一点相当清楚。
我们也可以看到，相对强度在过去 3 个月一直不错，在过去几周随着股价回落至 50 日线而略有回落。所以，与我们谈 Five Below 时类似，这里理想的结果是测试 50 日线，然后向上轮动。
这就成为一个非常可行的逢低买入机会。RSI 不跌破 40，相对强度开始转高。那将是 Charles Schwab 理想的下一步。
So, a classic bull flag pattern is where you have a run higher and then you have a parallel decline of lower highs and lower lows. So, looking at this, like I don't know if I would call it a flag pattern.
I might even label this a wedge pattern, which is when you have lower lows and lower highs. But you can see how the two trend lines would basically converge there, right? Sort of narrowing out a little bit.
In either case, we're approaching key support and we're testing key support at the 50-day moving average. So, with the chart like this, I would argue holding the 50-day pretty crucial because as long as we hold the 50-day, that means the setup is still pretty good. we break the 50-day, not necessarily the end of the world, but basically tells you we're no longer in a tactical uptrend because we're failing to hold key support.
Strong charts in history have held an ascending 50-day moving average, setting us up for the next leg higher. And that's certainly what I what I'm going to be looking for here.
Now, we can look further on the chart to see that while the stock has pulled back to the 50-day moving average, the RSI has pulled back to around 45 48 uh which is pretty good.
As long as we hold above 40 on pullbacks, I would argue that's pretty clear that the trend is still generally positive. And we can see that the relative strength has been good over the last uh 3 months, pulling back a little bit in the last couple weeks as the uh stock has pulled back to the 50 days.
So, similar to what we talked about with five below, sort of the ideal outcome here would be testing the 50-day, rotating higher. This becomes a very viable dip. RSI does not break below 40, relative strength starts to turn higher.
That would be the ideal next step for uh Charles Schwab.
所以，也许像 Charles Schwab 这样的资产管理公司能够守住关键支撑。我们拭目以待。
So maybe an asset management like Charles Schwab is able to hold key support. We'll see.
所以，虽然像 Five Below、Charles Schwab、Biomear 这些其他图形已经展现出强劲的相对强度，这告诉我它们正在跑赢，技术形态良好，
So while some of these other charts like Five Below, Charles Schwab, Biomear already showing that strong relative strength, which tells me they're outperforming, they're in good uh technical shape,
观察点
这个频道对 $SCHW 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。